Was discussing w/ friends how I think Mamdani would perform as mayor. I was curious to see what prediction markets had to say. Surprised that only Kalshi had any on post-election acts; Polymarket and Manifold only on election itself. (I don't really use them; is this typical?)
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@shriramk I think a whole lot of people from around the world have strong opinions about the guy without actually knowing how the city government is structured, how it works, what the mayor actually does, etc.
I know I certainly don't know how that government is structured, so I don't have an informed opinion. But a whole lot of people have strong opinions than I know aren't informed.
@phf Sure, but I don't see what this has to do with my post.
