中國修改反間諜法可能令外商卻步,從而對經濟雪上加霜:

"Some foreign business executives say they worry the rewriting of the espionage law means that many topics, ranging from the status of Taiwan to China’s human rights record to technology such as semiconductors, are now becoming off limits in discussions with their Chinese counterparts."

wsj.com/articles/china-ratchet

WSJ對美思明智與貝恩兩間美企先後遭到搜查的原因作出解釋:

"Mintz and Bain both operate businesses involving collection of information, an area that some executives worry are coming under increasing scrutiny from Chinese authorities. As a due-diligence firm, Mintz offers services such as background checks and investigations on potential business partners, rivals and new hires.

Bain—whose presence in China includes offices in Beijing, Shanghai and Hong Kong—specializes in providing counsel to businesses and conducts and publishes research on local markets."

wsj.com/articles/chinese-autho

"特別令人關注的,是取用「萬得資訊技術股份有限公司」(Wind Information Co)的數據也受到限制。萬得是中國一個非常重要的數據庫,公司位在上海,其經濟和金融數據被中外分析師和投資者廣泛使用。

有西方研究員及宏觀分析師表示,隨著中國日前修訂「反間諜法」,擴大其適合範圍,很多外國智庫、研究公司及非金融實體也發現不能延長訂閱萬得的數據庫,而萬得形容這涉及「遵從」的問題。"

cna.com.tw/news/acn/2023050101

WSJ對萬得限制非中國用戶取用數據內容的進一步報導:

“Wind aggregates official data from local finance bureaus, housing departments and statistics bureaus as well as buying third-party data from private companies. It has signed agreements with exchanges, index companies, brokerages, overseas financial market data providers such as Tullett Prebon Information and Chinese government-run clearinghouses such as China Central Depository & Clearing.”

wsj.com/articles/a-chinese-alt

現在輪到廣告傳播業外商了嗎...

"報導指,群邑是全球最大的媒體購買和策畫機構之一,擁有42000名員工,去年的全球媒體銷售額,即向客戶收取的費用達600億美元。該企業的年收入約佔WPP集團140億英鎊總收入的三分之一。中國是WPP集團的第四大市場,也是其在嚴峻的全球廣告市場中實現增長的重要來源。群邑是WPP集團全資擁有的媒體購買和策畫機構。"

rfi.fr/tw/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B/2

中國用來殺雞儆猴的方式:

"侯男在與雅各多次會面後,雅各拿出一份協議書,邀請侯擔任該公司諮詢專家,並承諾依照提供的情資,每次支付600至700美元。隨後兩人便多次會面,由雅各向侯提問,侯男也因此向雅各提供大量資訊。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

Follow

舊金山的拜習會除了緩和關係外也可能有較低層級的實質議題要解決:

"What China might accept in exchange for prisoners, current and former U.S. officials say, is far less obvious than with nations such as Russia and Iran that have freed Americans detainees in clear-cut deals. They say the answer could be honoring a Chinese request for the U.S. to hand over certain people wanted on criminal charges there or making an adjustment to American policy that is unrelated to justice issues."

wsj.com/world/china/china-resi

拜習會被當成減壓工具~

"她列舉面對中共威脅的「五大方針」,第一,美國及其盟友都要加強對中共的嚇阻,讓習近平了解動武必須付出很高的經濟和內政代價;第二,強化民主國家的合作與聯盟,「當中國過度擴張,大家才能有志一同推回去」。

佛洛諾伊接著表示,第三則是從國家層級打造多元供應鏈,降低對單一市場的依賴,抵禦中國的經濟脅迫作爲,避免成為因應端的弱點;第四,持續推動人工智慧、量子科學等客科技創新力。

她強調,第五個方針是「維持與中國的溝通管道」,以美國而言,「拜習會」年底登場,可透過面對面對面談話,清楚表態立場與底線,對話並不代表妥協,也可降低產生衝突的風險。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/

外界預期拜習會是緩衝墊而非推進器:

"美國外交關係協會(CFR)中國研究資深研究員張彥(Ian Johnson)撰文分析,台灣、打擊類鴉片止痛劑芬太尼(fentanyl)、以色列與巴勒斯坦武裝團體哈瑪斯(Hamas)之戰、因應氣候變遷是「拜習會」4大焦點議題。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202311090

這次大選則是拜習會裡台灣議題的焦點:

"Administration officials have largely avoided detailing how Mr. Biden plans to bring up those issues with Mr. Xi, but said the president would address other concerns, including noninterference in the election in Taiwan.

政府官员在很大程度上避免详细说明拜登计划如何向习近平提出这些问题,但表示总统将谈及其他关切,包括不干涉台湾选举。"

cn.nytimes.com/usa/20231115/bi

美中各自對台灣的主張立場:

[ 法新社援引美国官员的说法,拜登在与习会谈中要求中方“尊重台湾选举进程”,在峰会前,美方一直怀疑中方会干扰台湾总统选举。

习近平则要求美国“停止武装台湾”,并称“统一是不可避免的”。新华社稿件这样表述:“停止武装台湾……,中国终将统一,也必然统一。”]

rfi.fr/cn/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD/2

米國繼續務實中國繼續大外宣的角色扮演:

"黎寶文指出,對美方而言,「追求對話,減低誤判」是美國作為印太強權的責任義務,避免中美戰略競爭轉變為軍事衝突。因此,美方今年已多次派遣部長級官員訪問中國,美方的邏輯十分清楚,即「該對抗時就對抗,該對話時就對話」。

但對中國而言,黎寶文認為,拜習會是輿論戰與操作政治形象的機會,中國不在乎對話內容,也不在乎是否能降低衝突誤判機率,反而更在乎政治宣傳與國際輿論戰的效果。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202311170

從二戰後和平條約體系檢視拜習會的秩序較量意義:

“正如峰会举办地旧金山所象征和提醒的,在经历了漫长的冲突和融合之后,中国在若干最基本的问题上选择了拒绝,这不是简单的两国差异,而是对现有国际秩序的保留性拒绝:中国现政府没有签署代表战后太平洋秩序安排的《旧金山和约》,也一直否认这一和约的国际法效力;中国现政府也不是《联合国宪章》的签署代表,虽然在1971年顶替国民政府成为联合国成员国,但是随着经济崛起、国富兵强之后开始与此宪章若即若离。

不仅在南中国海海洋纠纷、乌克兰战争、原住民人权和公民权利等诸多联合国宪章所承诺的国际法和公约义务等问题上背道而行,而且大有以所谓人类命运共同体来取代联合国秩序特别是太平洋地区秩序的野心。在太平洋安全核心的台海问题上,中国过去几年倡导以所谓中国统一下的永久和平来取代战后美国治下的台海和平。

对这种秩序颠覆的危险和世界极化政治冲突的担心,弥漫在西太平洋和欧洲,也弥漫在旧金山峰会会场。如此,才能理解秉持执中之路的德国社民党联合政府坚决支持乌克兰的抗俄斗争,在以哈冲突中坚决站在以色列一边,并且开始改变难民容忍政策。”

voachinese.com/a/biden-xi-summ

制裁帶來的多重壓力是中國這次願意和談的最重要動機:

"For the first time in years, a Chinese leader desperately needed a few things from the United States. Mr. Xi’s list at the summit started with a revival of American financial investments in China and a break in the technology export controls that have, at least temporarily, crimped Beijing’s ability to make the most advanced semiconductors and the artificial intelligence breakthroughs they enable.

中國領導人迫切需要美國提供一些東西,這是多年來的頭一遭。習近平在峰會上提出的清單首先是美國恢復對中國的金融投資,以及對技術出口管制的放鬆,這種管制至少暫時限制了北京製造最先進半導體和實現人工智慧突破的能力。"

cn.nytimes.com/usa/20231117/bi

華爾街吃慣了與北京合作的大餅,忘記習近平的共產黨本質是壟斷統治而非追求獲利:

"Wall Street for years has profited enormously from investing in Chinese startups, managing money for Chinese institutions and taking Chinese companies public. Its relationship with Beijing has always been transactional. The prospect of big rewards from its Chinese investments meant Beijing could count on Wall Street to lobby Washington to loosen trade and investment restrictions."

wsj.com/world/china/china-wall

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