Here. Right here is when it all went wrong.

https://hachyderm.io/@mekkaokereke/113296098233486301

I'll admit I did not know that the effect on Black turnout would be this bad. I knew it was bad, but I significantly underestimated how bad. I didn't pay attention to it. I didn't know that the backslide in support continued.

Another miscalculation I made: I was pretty sure that the majority of white women would vote for Trump, and that white women's turnout would be high, but I did not anticipate how high. They showed up.

@mekkaokereke Just from looking at the total tally, I noticed that voter turnout seems to be about 8 million less than 2020. Trump will end up with about the same number of total votes, and Harris will have about 8-9 million fewer. It shocked me. You are so right - no one was responding to the message after the initial momentum. She could have won, but she listened to her "seasoned veteran advisors" who told her to dash to the center.

@johnmark @mekkaokereke
That assumes stuff not in evidence. She was out there doing rallies to the LAST NIGHT. She wasn't "dashing to the center".

@PJ_Evans @mekkaokereke She was touting the support of the Cheneys and other Republicans. If that's not dashing to the center, I don't know what it. The whole "bipartisan advisory board" thing - what would you call that?

@johnmark @PJ_Evans @mekkaokereke you can get more specific about policy points, too. For instance, she (and Biden) eagerly embraced a racist and xenophobic immigration policy, she ran on increased exploitation of fossil fuels, she said the big difference btw her and Biden would be that she’d put a Republican in her cabinet, etc etc etc