This one’s way above my pay grade, so I’m really not sure. However, if it comes to choosing between Turkey or Sweden & Finland, that’s a no brainer. Two well developed, long-standing democracies versus a country with a lousy human rights record, teetering on becoming a dictatorship.

Also, going forward for the rest of this century, the Arctic will become much more strategically significant as the polar ice melts away, freeing up resources and navigation. Meanwhile Turkey’s geographic importance will wane as oil and gas goes away and pipeline routes and tanker navigation become less important.