美國國防情報局的聽證會聚焦在美中俄的策略競爭膠結:
[ The hearing focused on a number of threats to the United States, including Chinese activity related to Taiwan, Africa, advances in technology, and Russia’s development of hypersonic weapons. “The nature and scope of the national security environment in which we operate is largely shaped by strategic competition – the continuous push-pull among the United States, China and Russia for global strength and influence,” said Berrier. ]
空軍雜誌報導該場聽證會中, 美國情報單位認為中國預期在2027年能阻止或擊敗第三方軍事介入的情況下, 在幾場高強度短暫軍事衝突中武統台灣. (轉頭看日本: 變綁定附件了?
"By 2027, China expects to be able to win a small number of brief but high-level military conflicts—“including the forcible unification of Taiwan”—while deterring, dissuading, or defeating any third-party military intervention. By 2050, China plans to be the dominant world military power. "
熱線什麼的肯定不甩你美國的啦, 中國才不想留話柄被束手束腳咧~
" Hotlines between military and civilian leadership was a safety feature of the rivalry between the US and the Soviet Union during the cold war. But as China’s military might has risen in relation to Russia’s, efforts to establish enduring lines of crisis communications between Washington and Beijing have failed.
President Bill Clinton and General Secretary Jiang Zemin, agreed to establish a hotline in 1997, but it was never put to proper use, even when Nato accidentally bombed the Chinese embassy in Belgrade in 1999. "
“For a host of reasons, the Chinese have been reluctant to engage deeply in these efforts. China has different calculations on the proper conduct of civil military relations,” ... “They fear that by establishing these mechanisms they give credence and legitimacy to American military exercises and operations near their borders and they don’t want to do that.”
中國企圖竊取俄羅斯潛艇設計:
"The individuals who launched the cyber attack on Rubin are not identified in this report, which only says that the "previously undocumented backdoor [was] assessed to have been developed by a threat actor likely operating on behalf of Chinese state-sponsored interests. Beyond that, the RoyalRoad RTF "weaponizer" is a tool that has become very closely associated with Chinese government-linked entities, known by names like Goblin Panda, Rancor Group, TA428, Tick, and Tonto Team, according to Cybereason and other sources. "
當塔利班接手阿富汗而ISIS-K躍出檯面後,局勢丕變,俄中同時要面對後院起火的多重極端伊斯蘭威脅:
「俄中聯合軍演完全沒有任何所謂軍事同盟的成分,重點在於,俄國希望中國能多擔負遏制塔利班的反恐任務,而缺乏實戰經驗的中國則希望能多研究遏制恐怖主義的方案,在中亞問題上俄中雙方各有算盤,並各取所需。
阿富汗塔利班對俄國來說是一個沒有辦法帶來任何利益的地方,不同於敘利亞和伊朗,阿富汗資源貧瘠,交通不便,幾乎沒有什麼重要的戰略價值,而塔利班迫使俄國需要支出更多國防支出來應對塔利班。因此俄中 8 月 7 日的聯合演習意義在於俄國希望中國能多點參與這個地區的事務,也幫財政吃緊的俄國減輕壓力。而中國則不得不面對,因為現在塔利班已是中國的鄰國,這就是俄中這次聯合軍演的意義所在。」