直接將作戰風險區域劃在換日線以西, 擺明是做好打海戰的準備了...
[“The most dangerous concern is that of a military force against Taiwan. To combat that, the forward posture west of the international dateline is how [current INDO-PACOM Commander Adm. Phil] Davidson describes it – and I concur with that: forces positioned to be able to respond quickly, and not just our forces,” Aquilino said.]
https://news.usni.org/2021/04/21/senate-confirms-aquilino-to-serve-as-next-indo-pacom-commander
「中國崛起讓國際舞台焦點逐步東移,北京在南海島礁的軍事化為區域帶來不安、台海軍事緊張可能引發的動盪、第一島鏈穩定受到威脅的全球風險,都讓印太區域穩定逐漸成為國際議題焦點。確保台海和平,不僅能確保區域穩定,也能確保國際安全。
也因此,七大工業國集團(G7)外長5月初在倫敦舉行會議,會後發表的公報首度列入台灣,強調重視台海和平穩定;近日在倫敦舉行的G7領袖峰會公報,也表明台海和平與穩定的重要性,鼓勵和平解決兩岸議題。這是G7前身G6自1975年成立以來,36年來首度在峰會聯合公報中納入友台文字。
隨後在布魯塞爾舉行的歐盟美國領袖峰會後發布的公報,同樣重視維護台海和平穩定的重要性,並鼓勵以和平方式解決兩岸議題。」
歐美高峰會公報第五頁的東海、南海、台海議題:
“26. We intend to closely consult and cooperate on the full range of issues in the framework of our respective similar multi-faceted approaches to China, which include elements of cooperation, competition, and systemic rivalry. We intend to continue coordinating on our shared concerns, including ongoing human rights violations in Xinjiang and Tibet; the erosion of autonomy and democratic processes in Hong Kong; economic coercion; disinformation campaigns; and regional security issues. We remain seriously concerned about the situation in the East and South China Seas and strongly oppose any unilateral attempts to change the status quo and increase tensions. We reaffirm the critical importance of respecting international law, in particular the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) noting its provisions setting forth the lawful maritime entitlements of States, on maritime delimitation, on the sovereign rights and jurisdictions of States, on the obligation to settle disputes by peaceful means, and on the freedom of navigation and overflight and other internationally lawful uses of the sea. We underscore the importance of peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait, and encourage the peaceful resolution of cross-Strait issues. We intend also to coordinate on our constructive engagement with China on issues such as climate change and non-proliferation, and on certain regional issues.”
https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/50443/eu-us-summit-joint-statement-15-june-final-final.pdf
從即時航運圖看, 要封鎖航運量能高度密集的台灣海峽, 等於跟日韓宣戰沒兩樣了...
"China could try to strangle Taiwan economically. Business ties between the two countries have grown into a dense web of interdependence: Taiwanese companies have invested $190 billion on the mainland, and more than a million Taiwanese live there. Yet these ties are now fraying as talk of economic decoupling occupies businesspeople and politicians in Taiwan. Faced with this undesirable trend, China could mount an economic blockade to coerce Taiwan into submission, as the United States tried with Cuba in 1962. This strategy would rely on China’s military and come with the risk of escalation as the U.S. tried to end the blockade."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/07/dire-straits-taiwans-fragile-status-quo/
美國的反應:
"美國國務院發言人普萊斯(Ned Price)今天在媒體簡報會上表示,事情核心是以規則為基礎的國際秩序,美國堅定認為所有國家,不論大小,都應在領海權上遵循一套全球通用規則。
根據聯合國海洋法公約(UNCLOS)規範,不論是沿海國或內陸國,其船舶均享有「無害通過」(innocent passage)他國領海的權利。只要不損害沿海國的和平、良好秩序或安全,通過就屬無害。
UNCLOS也要求,沿海國不得妨礙外國船舶無害通過領海,包括對外國船舶強加要求,造成否定或損害其無害通過權利的實際後果。"