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WSJ這篇用地圖詳細解說俄羅斯與白羅斯的軍力佈署:

"The U.S. and its North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies have sent antitank weapons, Stinger air-defense missiles and other battlefield systems to Ukraine. Ukraine also has acquired Turkish-made drones, one of which it used in October to destroy a howitzer manned by Russian-backed separatists. Still, the arms shipments the U.S. and its partners have provided haven’t included sophisticated air defenses or antiship missiles, hampering Ukrainians’ ability to defend themselves against Russia’s more modern military."

"The battalion tactical groups are capable of fast maneuvering on open terrain, including a rush toward Kyiv, U.S. officials said, but are also too small to defend large areas. If a major attack is ordered, traditional Russian regiments and brigades would likely follow to consolidate gains, according to current and former officials. Russian helicopters, which have been observed moving toward the region, could also be used to insert airborne troops at road junctions and bridges, and to fire at Ukrainian reinforcements moving to the front.

Adding to Russia’s firepower are Iskander surface-to-surface missile brigades, whose deployments within range of Ukraine have tripled since October, according to Phillip Karber of the Potomac Foundation, a policy research organization. Along with Kalibr cruise missiles deployed on vessels in the Black Sea, the Iskander missiles could strike airfields, ammunition storage sites, air defenses, army bases and command centers throughout Ukraine. Russia could use bombers to fire air-launched cruise missiles."

wsj.com/articles/russian-build

北約盟國已經在為戰後收尾預做準備:

"德國司法部宣布,七大工業國集團(G7)各成員國的司法部長、國際刑事法院(ICC)首席檢查官卡林汗(Karim Khan)、歐盟執委會司法執行委員瑞恩德斯(Didier Reynders)、烏克蘭司法部長馬尤斯卡(Denys Maliuska)等人,今天起一連兩天在柏林集會,協調如何向俄羅斯追究戰爭罪行責任。

這是七大工業國集團司法部長史上首次的會議,德國司法部長布希曼(Marco Buschmann)表示,國際刑事法院、烏克蘭當局、德國等國都在調查俄羅斯在烏國境內所犯下的戰爭罪行,不過各國司法制度不同,有必要簡化證據交換的方式,避免多次訊問同一位證人。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

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台灣可以打鐵趁熱為自己做的事:

"張佳康強調,台灣是否符合羅馬規約締約國資格,完全交由ICC法官依據國際法判定,他國不得介入;做為反對ICC管轄權的非締約國,中國對ICC的影響力極其有限。在此情況下,台灣有機會成為ICC一員。

不過,無論是否成為ICC一員,ICC管轄權對侵略行為的嚇阻力才是重點。張佳康因此呼籲台灣及早依據適用非締約國的羅馬規約第12條之3,在尚未成為締約國和ICC成員的情況下,直接請求ICC行使管轄權,且為此不需正式提出任何理由。"

cna.com.tw/news/aipl/202303210

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