今天先後出現了「人與人的連結」金句與興達電廠變壓站匯流排故障導致停電事件,遂重新拾回系列:

即使沒有爆發韓戰,沒有如史明那樣改名換姓、從頭開始的決心,廖文毅的台獨之路大概也無法成功吧。

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好奇這次美國是用甚麼好處換到韓國對台海表態的?

"白宮國安會昨天下午就文在寅到訪舉辦背景簡報時透露,美韓領袖聯合聲明會與上個月的美日聯合聲明一樣,提到中國對台灣的動作,也將會提到整體區域安全及維護和平與穩定,強度上也不會比美日聯合聲明輕。資深官員說,美、日、韓都面臨相同挑戰,而這些挑戰就包括中國。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

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簡單一句話帶過~

「拜登總統和文在寅總統強調維持台海和平穩定的重要性。作為重視多元價值和個人自由的民主國家,無論是在國內外,我們都會以促進人權和法治為共同目的。」

pourquoi.tw/2021/05/22/intlnew

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聲明連結:

“ President Biden and President Moon emphasize the importance of preserving peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. As democracies that value pluralism and individual liberty, we share our intent to promote human rights and rule of law issues, both at home and abroad.”

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/s

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南韓外長掃玻璃心ing~

"根據《韓聯社》報導,鄭義溶昨日在新聞節目中明確指出,台灣海峽和平穩定對於區域和平至關重要乃是客觀事實,美韓峰會後發布的聯合聲明是以籠統的措辭在此基礎上加以提及。

對於中國外交部怒批美韓聯合聲明不應損害包括中國在內的第三方的利益,鄭義溶強調,台灣海峽問題需用和平方式解決這點,與南韓面對的北韓問題完全相同,希望中國理解韓方立場。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

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南韓外長意圖平衡翹翹板ing~

"就韓方是否與中方討論在韓美聯合聲明中提台灣問題一事,鄭義溶表示,韓中始終保持緊密溝通,韓方堅持在尊重一個中國原則的同時,推動韓美同盟關係和韓中戰略合作夥伴關係協調發展的立場。韓美聯合聲明充分體現出韓方的這些立場。"

cb.yna.co.kr/gate/big5/cn.yna.

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美國這個鬆綁瞄準的沛公雖是西邊的韭國,但金小胖還是森氣氣啦...

"路透社報導,南韓總統文在寅這個月稍早與美國總統拜登首度舉行峰會後,宣布廢除限制南韓研發彈道飛彈射程不得超過800公里的韓美飛彈指南。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202105310

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「美國希望南韓在台灣問題上表態,就說明了美國已將朝鮮半島與台灣海峽的問題連結在一起,一起來思考如何在西太平洋圍堵中國,在這樣的大戰略下,朝鮮半島的重要性會下降,而台灣身為第一島鏈的樞鈕,重要性將會快速上升。在川普主政的時代,一直希望削減駐韓美軍的數量,其目的就是要將人力轉移到新的戰略據點,以更有效執行全新的印太戰略。拜登在競選時雖然一直反對削減駐韓美軍的數量,但此次也未積極邀請南韓加入美、日、澳、印四國同盟,這對南韓來說其實是個警訊。

雖然許多人都認為,親中的文在寅是故意不要加入這四國同盟,以避免進一步觸怒北京,但無論原因是什麼,未來這四國同盟,將是美國印太政策的重要基礎。南韓過去都是美國在西太平洋最重要的盟友之一,卻沒有加入這四國同盟,在某種程度上就是被邊緣化。一旦美國的大戰略架構改變,南韓卻仍然維持過去的思維,想要繼續透過中國來制止北韓妄動,就一定會造成美國與南韓的歧見,長期以來一定會鬆動美國與南韓的盟友關係。之前美國駐南韓大使哈里斯與南韓政府的嚴重齟齬,其實就反映出這樣的根本問題。」

vocus.cc/sophist4ever/60bd94f6

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因應美方印太戰略下的南韓戰略調整:

"Many military experts have interpreted this to mean that the ROK-U.S. alliance will no longer be focused entirely on the military situation of the Korean Peninsula. In the future, the South Korean military and Combined Forces Command (CFC) of the two countries could become involved in military roles and missions throughout the wider Indo-Pacific region, perhaps in the South China Sea or the Taiwan Strait. In that case, the ROK-U.S. alliance surely needs to be adapted to encompass new concepts of joint operation and new doctrines."

thediplomat.com/2021/07/remaki

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這篇將軍事上的美韓聯盟解釋得很清楚,把極音速飛彈納入討論是較新穎的補充:

"Nuclear ballistic missiles can be identified, tracked, and classified as incoming threats by missile defense systems, for example those established by the MDA, but PGS and medium-range hypersonic missiles equipped with conventional warheads cannot be intercepted by any missile defense system. It is unclear whether the U.S. prefers hypersonic-capable and conventional PGS weapons to the existing medium-range ballistic missiles with nuclear capability. This uncertainty opens an opportunity for South Korea, now that limitations on its indigenous missile development have been lifted. New South Korean medium-range ballistic missiles would supplement U.S. capability in countering Chinese military threats to Northeast Asian security, as well as deterring the North Korean military threat."

thediplomat.com/2021/08/like-i

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美俄對中國發展的極音速飛彈也高度關注:

"Details about the Chinese system are scant. But the system has been described as a rocket that carries a glide vehicle into a low earth orbit. That glide vehicle separates from the rocket and maneuvers toward its target on the ground at a high rate of speed, with a flight path less predictable than that of a typical ballistic missile. U.S. and Russia are also working on hypersonic weapons. "

wsj.com/articles/china-tests-h

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美中在極音速飛彈的競賽越形明顯:

“There is a potential for weapons to be launched into space, then go through this old concept from the Cold War called the Fractional Orbital Bombardment System…which is a system that basically goes into orbit and then de-orbits to a target,”

[ China has about 350 nuclear warheads, one-third of which are on long-range missiles, according to the Arms Control Association, a private group that supports arms-control accords. U.S. officials have projected that Beijing’s small arsenal could at least double over the next decade. ]

wsj.com/articles/u-s-military-

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美國在今年要讓第一款由海陸軍聯合開發的高超音速飛彈服役了, 部署地點尚未公布:

"The Army has worked with industry to build the hypersonic weapon glide body industrial base, but it also separately produced launchers, trucks, trailers and the battle operation center needed to put together a ground-launched hypersonic weapon battery. An Aug. 25 report by the Congressional Research Service said the service's Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon program is expected to pair the common glide vehicle with the Navy’s booster system for a range exceeding 1,725 miles."

defensenews.com/news/your-army

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