Perfume @Perfume@qoto.org
2024/02/29停用。
Joined Nov 2020
中國武裝攻擊前，致力打擊台灣自衛信心的動機: PLA逾卌年無實戰經驗，且有印太鄰國的包圍壓力。
"Launching a full-scale amphibious incursion 130 kilometers from the mainland would be a daunting exercise, and the PLA has not had major combat experience since 1979. Beijing would risk major resistance from Taipei as well as a devastating military response from Washington. In addition, it would do grave, if not, irreparable damage to its ties with the United States and the European Union, not to mention the four militarily and economically formidable democracies it counts as neighbors: Australia, India, Japan, and South Korea. Indeed, it is hard to think of an action that would do more to jeopardize China’s long-term strategic prospects. It would be far less risky for Beijing to continue its present lines of efforts: increasing its bilateral military advantage across the Taiwan Strait, working to undermine Taipei’s self-confidence, and persuading Taiwan that it will eventually have to acquiesce to resolving cross-strait tensions on China’s terms."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/05/taiwan-at-the-nexus-of-technology-and-geopolitics/
螞蟻這隻金雞母被取卵後的損傷統計:
[ For the quarter ended in March, Alibaba’s net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was 5.5 billion yuan, equivalent to $836 million, compared with a net income of 3.2 billion yuan in the same period a year earlier. Its sales rose 64% to 187.4 billion yuan, equivalent to about $28.6 billion, beating analyst expectations.
In April, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation levied a $2.8 billion fine against Alibaba, equal to 4% of the company’s domestic annual sales. The regulator said its investigation, launched in December, found that the company punished certain merchants who sold goods both on Alibaba and on rival platforms, a practice known as “er xuan yi”—literally, “choose one out of two.”]
法新社這張放推特的新聞照精準抓到左方以色列鐵穹防禦系統與哈瑪斯火箭炮的對決瞬間。
「如果你來到一個陌生的國家，看到那裏的報紙上全是好消息，那麼有好人正在監獄裏。」
“If a person goes to a country and finds their newspapers filled with nothing but good news, there are good men in jail.”
—— Daniel P. Moynihan, 美國社會學家、參議院、駐印度大使、駐聯合國大使
德國和波蘭的戰機互通領空協議擺明是北約在防北極熊~
"Announced on 12 May, the agreement signed in Warsaw between the German and Polish defence ministries will allow Luftwaffe Eurofighters to cross into Poland and Polish air force (Inspektorat Sił Powietrznych: ISP) Lockheed Martin F-16 Fighting Falcon and MiG-29 ‘Fulcrum’ fighters to cross into Germany."
https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/germany-poland-agree-to-defend-each-others-airspace
"台電直言，停電較長有綠電預測不準、水情不好水力發電不足、用電超乎預期、以及大型機組歲修等四大原因。"
"原本當日預估有10％備轉容量，實際用電量約3550萬瓩，實際是3670萬瓩，多了5％。而水力發電卻因水情少180萬瓩，相對少5％。供電與用電能力上出現一些誤差。"
"台灣受極端氣候影響，近年豐水期降雨量更多、更集中；枯水期雨量反而更少，豐枯水期差距日漸擴大，再加上南部主要水系坡陡流短，難以留住雨水。"
"高雄、台南雙城在水資源調度上唇齒相依，當高雄水情吃緊，需仰賴台南的南化等水庫支援；若是高屏溪川流水位高，也會抽取河川水進入南化水庫。"
草案階段放風聲出來感覺是方便讓中國及早施壓用。
"提及台灣局勢對日本的影響是鑑於日美首腦4月聯合聲明中52年來首次提及“台灣”，有意展現出防備突發事態的姿態。中方可能會反對。
草案首次譴責中國海警局船隻在尖閣諸島（中國稱釣魚島）附近相繼駛入領海“違反國際法”。草案斷言，允許海警局使用武器的《海警法》也在國際法上存在問題。
草案分析，中方的軍機在台灣附近活動活躍，另一方面美國通過出售武器和艦艇駛過台灣海峽支援台灣的姿態鮮明。草案強調，兩岸的軍事平衡傾向於中方有利，這一差距正在擴大，有必要關注動向。"
"Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad have fired at least 1,750 rockets toward Israel since Monday evening, including 300 that have fallen short and landed in Gaza, he said, adding that Israel’s Iron Dome missile-defense system has had a 90% interception rate.
Israel and Hamas have fought three wars since the militant group seized control of the Gaza Strip in 2007. They also have seen several escalations since spring 2018 that have almost developed into full-blown conflict."
美國左派偏愛關注的加薩走廊就這樣被哈瑪斯玉石俱焚了。
"獨立新聞媒體「中東之眼」（Middle East Eye）總編輯赫斯特（David Hearst）指出，在去年阿拉伯國家與以色列關係正常化後，巴勒斯坦人對阿拉伯國家徹底幻滅，認清今後的建國道路只能靠自己。
以巴雙方10日晚間開始相互砲擊前，危機已連續多日在耶路撒冷醞釀。東耶路撒冷希克加拉（Sheikh Jarrah）街區多個巴勒斯坦家庭被逐出家園累積緊張情勢，因以色列高等法院準備就一樁數十年之久的產權爭端判決，恐將一些巴勒斯坦人的住房移交猶太屯墾居民，讓當地每天都在示威。"
搞多邊主義的阿拜一上台，中東就如他所願的出問題了。(鄙夷臉
"《法新社》報導，以色列軍方發布簡短的訊息說，「以色列的飛機和地面部隊正在加薩走廊發動攻擊。」衝突升級獲得以色列軍方發言人康里克斯（Jonathan Conricus）的證實，他說，「我們已經做好準備，並將繼續為各種情況做準備。地面部隊進入只是一種情況。」
受哈瑪斯統治的加薩衛生部說，境內自10日以來至少有103人死亡，其中包括27名孩童與11名女性，另外有580人受傷。在以色列境也有7人死亡，包括1名6歲的兒童，還有1枚火箭彈襲擊民宅。以國攻擊加薩目標超過600次，哈瑪斯發射超過1600枚火箭。"
大家被上回蘇彝士運河塞子事件嚇到風聲鶴唳了...
"美國海岸防衛隊（U.S. Coast Guard）的加拉薩（Carlos Galarza）週四下午指出，排隊的船數量已來到47艘船隻和771艘駁船。福四通國際（StoneX）高級風險管理顧問霍爾斯（Colin Hulse）認為，密西西比河是美國中西部玉米和豆類出口的樞紐，而堵塞時間會持續多久是關鍵。
報導認為，密西西比河運輸若出現長時間停滯，可能進一步對農作物市場造成影響，在拉美不佳的天氣和中國大量採買的狀況下，大豆和玉米期貨價格已持續飆高。"
“2019年日美外交和防務閣僚磋商把網絡攻擊作為了規定美國防衛義務的《日美安保條約》第五條的適用對象，此次的要點提及了該成果。此外，還舉例疑似中方參與的針對日本宇宙航空研究開發機構（JAXA）等國內約200家機構的攻擊案例，寫明「包括外交和刑事起訴手段在內，採取恰當應對」，將以嚴肅的態度對待。”
"我國當年向美採購150架F16戰機，並且分批交機。1997年的4月，首批2架F-16戰機從美國德州沃斯堡起飛，歷經近22小時飛行時間、19次空中加油，期間停留夏威夷及關島，最後抵達嘉義基地。
一名夏威夷航空迷「Aeros808」近10小時前在Instagram上公布貼出照片，指出我方的F-16起降於丹尼爾．K．井上國際機場，並透露「一共數出5架F-16，和2架『父母』（意指加油機）起飛離開」。
其中一架飛機已經漆上我國軍序號6621，另一架則仍是美軍序號93-708。研判這批便是飛回台灣進行性能提升的戰機，按照上述過往交機路徑，接下來應會再停留關島，並接續飛返我國。"
再繼續聽中國和譚德賽的話嘛~(嗤鼻
" It said that the agency first learned of the outbreak from Taiwan, from news articles, a public bulletin, and from an automated alert system that scans the internet for mentions of unexplained pneumonia. "
美中競爭的態勢越發確立:
"「無盡邊疆法」（Endless Frontier Act）將要求美國政府在5年內投入1000億美元，用於投資基礎和先進科技研究、商業化，以及重要科技領域的教育、訓練計畫，包括人工智慧、半導體、量子計算、先進通訊、生物科技與先進能源等。
法案另將撥款100億美元給指定的至少10個區域科技中樞，並創造供應鍊危機因應計畫，來解決諸如衝擊汽車生產的半導體晶片短缺等問題。"
感覺陳紹彥作品有抓到線條與精練的平衡. 蔡宜芬作品的流動性似乎還欠準頭.
"ASPI also unearthed government notices showing that Xinjiang officials are being given quotas to lower birthrates, with punishments meted out to those who failed to meet family planning targets. A target set in one heavily Uyghur county is lower than the birthrate of South Korea, the lowest in the world."
"The report also found that about half of Xinjiang’s 106 county-level administrative units have not published birthrate figures for 2019, though they should have been published last year."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/05/drop-in-xinjiang-birthrate-largest-in-recent-history-report/
ASPI報告連結:
"The sharp drop in birth-rates in Xinjiang (a region with a population of nearly 25 million) is proportionally the most extreme over a two-year period globally since 1950. Despite notable contextual differences, this decline in birth-rate is more than double the rate of decline in Cambodia at the height of the Khmer Rouge genocide (1975-79)."
https://www.aspi.org.au/report/family-deplanning-birthrates-xinjiang
2024/02/29停用。
Joined Nov 2020
