Today, the Main Intelligence Directorate of Russia asked how much more resources the country would have for a potential war against Ukraine. Unfortunately, the GUR and Lithuanian military intelligence both believe that Russia would only have enough resources for two years of such a war. The military also believes that they could fight until 2023 or 2024 at the latest, assuming it is a conventional war. If sanctions are tightened, this reserve would be even smaller. European countries are already considering tightening sanctions due to Russia's transfer of Iskanders to Belarus, which could potentially include tactical nuclear missiles. In response to the question of whether the occupiers have a shortage of missiles, it appears that surface launchers have been brought to their basing points, but they are not equipped. Submarine missile carriers are still in place, which is why the missile threat is still considered high. Russians have a large stockpile of bombs which they are converting to guided bombs to imitate missiles. Ukraine has experience in shooting down such bombs, and it is important to shoot down the aircraft themselves in order to counter the occupiers' methods. It is also important to listen to alarms when there are submarine missile carriers at sea, as they can launch missiles all over Ukraine.
Today, the Main Intelligence Directorate of Russia asked how much more resources the country would have for a potential war against Ukraine. Unfortunately, the GUR and Lithuanian military intelligence both believe that Russia would only have enough resources for two years of such a war. The military also believes that they could fight until 2023 or 2024 at the latest, assuming it is a conventional war. If sanctions are tightened, this reserve would be even smaller. European countries are already considering tightening sanctions due to Russia's transfer of Iskanders to Belarus, which could potentially include tactical nuclear missiles. In response to the question of whether the occupiers have a shortage of missiles, it appears that surface launchers have been brought to their basing points, but they are not equipped. Submarine missile carriers are still in place, which is why the missile threat is still considered high. Russians have a large stockpile of bombs which they are converting to guided bombs to imitate missiles. Ukraine has experience in shooting down such bombs, and it is important to shoot down the aircraft themselves in order to counter the occupiers' methods. It is also important to listen to alarms when there are submarine missile carriers at sea, as they can launch missiles all over Ukraine.
MP Yegor Chernev, Deputy Chairman of the National Security and Defense Committee, discussed the potential consequences of the deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus. He questioned what Lukashenko would do with these weapons if they were deployed, and stated that he could not envision a scenario in which Lukashenko would be able to use nuclear weapons, as he does not have the right to possess them. Chernev also noted that Belarus, which does not have strategic nuclear weapons, would not benefit from having tactical ones either. He concluded that there is no good way out of this situation for the Belarusian dictator.
The village of Blagodatne in the Mykolaiv region can only be accessed by travelling through fields, as the only road is blocked. There are now only 8-10 residents remaining, compared to the 500 that lived there before the war. Despite the fact that the nearest humanitarian village is only 6 km away, the locals have not received any aid. They report that the village was destroyed by three Russian tanks that fired at it from close range for almost an entire day.
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry urged Belarusians to stop the placement of tactical nuclear weapons on their land. The ministry stated that this would make Belarus a hostage of the Kremlin and have disastrous effects on its future. It also asked the G7 countries and the European Union to caution the Belarusian government about the long-term consequences of nuclear weapons deployment and requested an urgent meeting of the United Nations Security Council to discuss Russia's decision.
In the spring, prices for some food products in Ukraine may fluctuate. Prices for cucumbers, tomatoes, pork and dairy products are expected to increase, while chicken, eggs, flour, bread, and buckwheat may become cheaper. This is due to issues with greenhouse farms, high gas and electricity prices, and a lack of vegetables in the Kherson region. Food inflation is also likely to cause prices to rise. However, the livestock is being restored, which may lead to a decrease in the price of chicken and eggs. Additionally, prices for flour, bread and buckwheat are not expected to change significantly.
Ukrainian forces have been successful in stabilizing the situation in the Bakhmut region, as there were 18 attacks along the entire front yesterday, and only 17 today. This is a significant decrease from the previous number of 35 to 50 or more attacks. According to Eastern group spokesman Cherevaty, the enemy may be moving their reserves.
NATO is paying close attention to the situation and has not seen any changes in Russia's nuclear posture that would require them to make adjustments to their own. The NATO spokesman also condemned Russia for continually disregarding its nuclear arms control commitments, in response to President Putin's statements about deploying tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus.
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British intelligence has identified another target of the occupiers, which is the launching of Iranian-made Shahed kamikaze drones from the Krasnodar Territory and the Bryansk Region. This activity has been ongoing since the beginning of March, with at least 71 drones being launched in total. It appears that the occupiers are attempting to overwhelm the Ukrainian air defense system by launching drones from two directions.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes that the placement of tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus is a part of an information campaign to create fear in the West of a potential nuclear escalation due to Putin's statements. ISW also believes that Putin is exaggerating the capabilities of the Russian military-industrial complex to demonstrate to Western countries the futility of investing resources in supporting Ukraine. The United States, however, has not seen any signs of Russia preparing to use its nuclear arsenal.
On the morning of March 26, there were consequences of hostile shelling in the Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Zaporizhzhia regions. In Donetsk, shelling of Avdiivka resulted in one death in Chasiv Yar and another in the Northern Toretsk community, while 15 houses were damaged in Zvanivska. In Kharkiv, a tank shelling of the village of Tymofiyivka destroyed a residential building and damaged two other houses. In Kherson, 49 shells were fired, resulting in nine wounded and damage to a humanitarian aid distribution point, private and apartment buildings. In Dnipropetrovsk, a drone dropped an explosive device in Nikopol, but there were no casualties. In Sumy, Russians shelled Krasnopilska and Bilopilska communities, and in Zaporizhzhia, Pologovsky and Vasylivsky districts were fired upon, resulting in 20 reports of destruction of houses and civilian infrastructure.
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2993. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.