TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@qoto.org

🔱Kyiv oblast. The village of Velyka Oleksandrivka

The world's largest coat of arms of Ukraine and the inscription Glory to Ukraine

Good Morning!

Peskov promised that the announcement of a new mobilization in Russia is not under discussion.

Just like he promised there would be no mobilization previously. And that Russia wasn't going to attack Ukraine. A man of his word, definitely.

Too often it’s taken waves of frontline complaints to get attention to problems in the field and Ukraine clearly has a problem with old soviet era mentality trained officers who need retiring. They have no place in this war anymore.
It’s also a little bit damning that Kursk which has gained hectares of farmland, had the general staff’s attention while in effect the Pokrovsk front burned and was left to less than capable commanders. Now that’s been rectified - just about as last minute as you could manage. I can’t help but see the history books condemning Kursk not just as a strategic folly but as having been responsible in yet another way, for what’s gone on in the central front.
Thank god that sense and resolve has been restored to the centre and that Syrski I hope, has learned a valuable lesson about not taking his eye off the ball.
We can only be intensely grateful for the junior officers and frontline troops who have held the line despite terrible odds and conditions, who had the guts to speak up and save the day.

‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!

Volodymyr Terelyuk worked as an oncodermatologist in a private medical center in Kherson.

He had a higher category and about 30 years of experience. He was a bright, sensitive person and a highly qualified specialist.

The man was killed by Russia on September 2, 2024. Then the occupiers launched an attack from a drone on the Kindyika area.

"A wonderful person and a doctor from God. It is impossible to believe in this grief. It is impossible to realize that the life of such a wonderful person was taken away. I am grateful to have worked with you. We will never forget you," said colleague Tetyana Shahina.

CONTINUES (2/2)

The former defence secretary of the United Kingdom writes:

"I have a concern that has grown ever larger this summer. It is now so pressing that I cannot stay quiet about it any longer.

Given the way that Putin is targeting men, women and children using glide bombs frequently launched from Russia, we must now urgently approve the use of our long-range weapons into Russia.

Just last week, a devastating Russian missile attack targeted the city of Poltava, striking a hospital and surrounding residential area, killing at least 51 people and injuring more than 200, marking one of the deadliest attacks of the year.

We know that many attacks are launched from Russia itself. And yet, with the exception of our giving permission to allow UK missiles to strike Crimea, we have remained cautious about allowing our Ukrainian allies to target the source of these attacks.

It is no longer credible for us to cheer on Ukraine, invite the president to No 10, and yet fail to allow our defensive weapons to be used where they would be most effective.

It’s time to stop asking President Zelensky’s brave population to fight with one arm tied behind their backs.

Instead the UK must issue a straightforward warning to Putin. If you continue to murder men, women and children with glide bombs launched from Russia, then we will lead the rest of the world to authorise our long-range missiles to take out your launchers, regardless of where they happen to be — even inside Russia.

Now is the moment to remind ourselves that what is happening in Ukraine isn’t just about them. It is about us too. It is about defending our entire way of life. Our imperfect, often frustrating system of self-government. The same system that sometimes leads to the governing party being booted out of office due to underperformance.

Putin is wrong about us. Maintaining a system with democratic winners and losers isn’t weakness. It is strength. But we can only maintain that legitimacy if we stand up for others whose democracy is under attack. And that does need raw muscle. So Britain must regain her place as the country willing to lead again.

We should provide permission for our Storm Shadows to be used, and invite the French, the Americans and even our more reticent German partners to follow us. With a simple ultimatum to Putin: stop your inbound attacks on Ukraine, or we will support Ukraine’s response.

I know that freedom, democracy and elections are complete anathema to Putin. But we are stronger because we willingly accept that elections may not always go our way. He would rather impose his autocracy on Ukraine, but if you value freedom, this is not just a battle for Ukraine, it matters the free world over. Or to put it another way, this is a battle for the right to be a political loser."

Romania did not shoot down the russian Shahed UAVs that entered the country's NATO airspace

One UAV flew all the way to Sabangia in Romania and then entered Ukraine through Vylkove and moved in the coastal waters of the Sea of ​​Odesa.

A Shahed is an airborne weapon with a high-explosive warhead that weighs 30–50 kilograms (66–110 lb).

Allowing the enemy to fly this attack weapon unchallenged poses an obvious risk to life, all too often experienced by the people of Ukraine.

MILITARY & STRATEGIC:
BATTLE FOR POKROVSK ENTERS NEW STAGE

Russian assaults on a wide front designed to push their lines closer to Pokrovsk have increased to as many as 28 per day in many parts of the front. The war here is intense with some of the most demanding fighting so far encountered. Russian desperation to break the lines here is palpable.
Pokrovsk is the centre of six major highways that supply the frontlines over a wide area as well as a major rail junction. Its loss would be a strategic blow of some significance. It is the domino that should it fall, has the potential to take down so many others along the front. This is why Russia is expending so much effort on it.
Ukraine’s defence in the centre hangs on two villages currently in the heat of the battle - these are the last urban areas before open land and Pokrovsk itself.
The Russians are also trying to force their way south of the salient to widen it because they’re aware it’s become too extended and risks counter attacks and spoiling operations.
Their fear is that if the salient remains too narrow the Ukrainians will have too easy a time of hitting their artillery as they move it forward for the assault on Pokrovsk itself. Widening the salient is just as important as moving it forward.
They’re already trying to move artillery up but it’s quickly spotted and destroyed by FPV drones.
Moving south from the salient and west from the front below it also puts pressure on the important town or Kurakov.
The problem the Russians are facing is that months of repair and refurbishment work on hundreds of soviet era BMP type armoured vehicles has largely disappeared- the loss rate has been phenomenal during these offensives and there’s clearly a lack of vehicles to support secondary operations if the main Pokrovsk front is to proceed.
The result of the level of intensity the Russians have maintained is rapidly increasing exhaustion of its fast dwindling armour reserves. It’s becoming difficult to find any of the many Russian stockpiled armour bases with anything but dregs left in them.
Their own pace of operations in trying to do too much is undermining their ability to achieve their primary goal.
Part of Ukraine’s problem has been its own commanders from the regional to the three tactical commands.
This became such an issue that Syrski and his staff - obsessed with the Kursk operation had to down tools and head for the Pokrovsk command to sort it out. This resulted in some changes in structure and after banging a few heads together a new vigour and sense of purpose was created. This had reasonably rapid results and Ukrainian coordination and defence capabilities rose noticeably.
Russian manpower losses just in the Pokrovsk front are close to 1,200 per day, let alone the rest of the frontline. It simply isn’t sustainable.
Ukraine has placed rested combat ready formations into the line and recommenced counter attacks against weaker areas of the Russian lines - actually halting the Russian advance for almost eight days now. One inventive Ukrainian tank commander used his vehicle to drag destroyed Russian armour under a railway bridge so that the Russians couldn’t get through.
It’s a little early to declare the Russian offensive culminated but it’s certainly looking like they have no chance of reaching Pokrovsk this year - and maybe they never will. The vast expenditure of men and material is finally sapping their capacity to attack.
Russia is likely reorganising accepting that the Pokrovsk target is unviable. They will therefore have to carry on trying the southern expansion of the salient because it’s vital to Russia to prevent Ukrainian counter attacks. Ukraine knows this and isn’t going to make it easy for them.
The fact it took Syrski and the General Staff weeks to identify what was happening at Pokrovsk because they were so caught up in the Kursk offensive, and that it took their personal intervention to put it right - and then only after a wave of complaints publicly aired by frontline troops, is not an encouraging sign.

Former British defense minister calls for lifting restrictions on Storm Shadows strikes against Russia

Former minister Grant Shapps also called on the British government to encourage France, the US and "more restrained" Germany to also lift restrictions on long-range weapons for Ukraine "with a simple ultimatum to Putin: stop your constant attacks on Ukraine or we will support Ukraine's response."

In recent weeks, Ukraine has actively urged its allies to lift all restrictions on strikes with their long-range weapons against Russia, explaining that this would allow it to hit, in particular, aircraft that launch cruise missiles and guided aerial bombs.

CONTINUED (1/2)

Goodnight Resisters everywhere

Doctors removed 156 pieces of shrapnel from the body of a Ukrainian Defender.

A Warrior from the 20th Separate Battalion, Oleksandr, call sign "Koshchei," was seriously wounded in action near Urozhaine in Donetsk region. Russians attacked with gas and stormed the positions, supporting their attacks with artillery. During a battle with drones, the man received numerous injuries, including serious damage to his right arm and debris in his right lung.

Despite his injuries, Oleksandr continued to fight, destroying the enemy. On his way to evacuation, he was attacked by a drone again, but he survived and managed to get to medics. His life was saved.

His son, who is also a Ukrainian Defender, brought Oleksandr an award from the President of Ukraine.

Glory!

📷: 20th Separate Battalion

Time will tell

Speaker of Ukrainian Parliament, Stefanchuk has met with his US counterpart, Mike Johnson in Italy regarding ending the US policy that protects Russia's airfields and launchers.

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From "The Analyst":

RUSSIANS OPEN SECOND VUHLEDAR ATTACK

With the northern pincer attack already underway the Russians launched the second pincer move future south and west, by striking at the village of Prychistivka. Ukraine knew this was likely as they’d observed Russian forces massing for the attack.
Once captured the next village to the north is Novokranka and from there they can begin the swing northeast towards Vuhledar and come in from behind it.
Prychistivka, by the time you go through the months of combat reports, has been under almost daily bomb and artillery assault for three months so there is little left in terms of defensive positions. The Russians do this and signal their intention only when they want to take a settlement relatively quickly so they can move on to the next.
The trouble with Russian old style thinking is that they don’t account for the fact that by doing this and making it impossible to defend, they push the Ukrainians to find another defence line and prepare other fortifications that the Russians even if they see them, largely ignore.
The Russians have been given a target and that’s what they’re going to work on, that’s how success or failure is measured in their world.
Part of the Ukrainian defence was to move to a small river just above Prychistivka and install defences in the village of Novokranka.
Prychistivka is in a shallow valley, the Ukrainian defences look down into it, so the Russians are faced with a literal uphill battle against prepared defences in open farmland that’s also probably mined- and they have a river to cross they seem to have forgotten even existed. This is what happens when all initiative is removed and nobody is allowed to question or offer up advice to higher command. You do or die, you don’t ask why.
An armoured group of 12 vehicles with 100 supporting storm troopers assaulted the village - and they took it inside if two days because the Ukrainians weren’t stupid enough to defend a pointless ruin at a disadvantage. A covering force did as much damage to the advancing Russians as it could then slipped away to prepared defence lines over the river.
However there have been noticeable changes to the way the Russians operate.
They have finally become aware they have manpower limits. This is reflected in other areas too.
Operations have a reserve force, large meat wave attacks have stopped and while still wasteful in their approach because men are not well trained and prone to higher loses, they are better organised and less haphazard in their approach. There is even evidence of improved coordination. In a word the Russians are showing a degree of ‘semi-professionalism’ in their approach rather than throwing mud at the wall and hope it sticks. This is going to help them stretch out their obviously dwindling resources by being more efficient and ultimately productive. It still doesn’t stop them making stupid mistakes and they still rely on numbers.
The Ukrainians have long recognised that the Russians would eventually have to operate differently to the way they have in the past and have adapted their defences and strategic outlook to match it. Russian behaviour has evolved because they have no choice. The war they have waged has been wasteful, high cost and ineffective for the most part - now they no longer have the luxury of being so wasteful and that means the cost of the war is starting to increasingly effect their behaviour and reduce their capabilities.
Ukraine made some excellent defensive preparations locally and the Russians obtained a minor success that’s brought them no advantage. Despite operating more efficiently, their overall planning and performance is still hampered by centralised command and lack of initiative.

‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!

https://open.substack.com/pub/robertreich/p/todays-jobs-report-what-it-means?r=70k1h&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

J.D. needs to take a class on how to impersonate a person.
https://open.substack.com/pub/jefftiedrich/p/this-week-in-stupid-september-7-edition?r=70k1h&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

https://mailchi.mp/kyivindependent/ukraine-weekly-7c4gnoopk4-17587910?e=7763f0b74a

Poland

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnXbISOiEUI

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/trump-craps-the-bed/58061/

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/donald-trump-has-berserk-meltdown-begins-making-insane-threats-after-dick-cheney-endorses-kamala-harris/58060/

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/donald-trump-has-unhinged-meltdown-about-football/58059/