TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@qoto.org

According to Donald Trump, if you vote for him as the President of the United States, he will end the war in Ukraine (on the day he is elected no less), and if you don't, there will be World War III.

It is a stark message: "Vote for me and there will be peace, but if you don't, the world will come to an end!".

And it sounds like an easy choice - everyone wants wars to end and new wars to be prevented.

"Just vote for Trump and it will all be fixed overnight."

So what will it take to stop the war against Ukraine according to Donald Trump? Essentially a deal with Putin, where Ukraine gives up the occupied Ukrainian territories and then Putin would agree to stop.

For Putin it would be perfect at this point as we move to winter to pretend to agree to this - it would allow him to consolidate the territories that he has taken and rebuild his mechanised armed forces that Ukraine has been wearing down with a fair amount of success for the last two years. He would be seen as willing to compromise and make Trump look like the peacemaker. Some might even say that this is a plan they have already agreed during Orban's visits to Mar-a-Lago.

The problem? A bully doesn't stop when you give in to him, when you show weakness. A hungry thief doesn't stop stealing if you let him keep what he has already stolen from you. Putin will be back for more.

Putin plays the long game, longer than the US 4-year election cycle, not having to worry much about elections himself.

If you attempt to appease Putin, you can be certain that he (or his successor) will be back to build the ruzzian empire ever larger soon again. It will not be a lasting peace.

That is the lesson from World War II. That world war wasn't avoided by appeasing Hitler, and appeasing Putin won't prevent World War III. If anything, it will only encourage China, Iran and other autocratic countries.

A lasting peace in Ukraine is achieved by defeating Putin, by showing strength, by allowing deep strikes against the enemy in self defense and by providing enough support to win.

Anything else will cost many times more. Many republicans (and democrats) in the US believes this. Trump doesn't.

J

Ukrainian soldier on leave with his best friend 😻

Good night friends, wherever you are ❤️
@ukrainejournal

Illegal Starlink terminals helped Russia advance on the front, including the capture of Vuhledar — The Washington Post.

According to Ukrainian military personnel, there is a thriving black market supplying Starlink terminals to Russians on the front line, and their distribution has become a key factor in Russia’s recent successes during its offensive.

Six Ukrainian soldiers and officers from various units in Donetsk told The Washington Post that Russia has bridged the technological gap, making its forces more cohesive and increasing the number and accuracy of their attacks.

An officer from the 72nd Mechanized Brigade, which has been defending the Vuhledar area since 2022 and was recently forced to retreat, called Russia’s use of the Starlink system one of the critical factors, alongside a shortage of manpower and weapons, that hastened the fall of Vuhledar.

🪐 Subscribe to Live: Ukraine

The completely idiotic Russian propaganda filmed a video with Ukrainian prisoners, where they are driven around the so-called LPR to show how life supposedly is in Luhansk, claiming that they are not savages

At the same time, the idiotic Russian propaganda forgot its previous statements that Ukraine had allegedly been "bombing Donbas" for eight years, which promoted the invasion, yet in the footage they show a completely intact Luhansk.

Meanwhile, what the so-called "Russian army" is doing to Ukrainian cities is something we've all clearly seen and know — it doesn't just bomb them, it reduces them to dust, and then drops munitions on the peaceful residents of Kherson and other cities.

If Russia's supporters think they can get away with all this, they are gravely mistaken.

Source: WarTranslated

🪐 Subscribe to Live: Ukraine

Footage from the 30 Seconds to Mars concert in Belgrade, Serbia

It seems that what is a war for Ukrainians is merely an inconvenience for Jared Leto, preventing him from performing in St. Petersburg and Moscow.

🪐 Subscribe to Live: Ukraine

In Donetsk oblast, Russian forces killed 2 people and injured 10 more

The occupiers launched an FPV drone at a civilian vehicle, killing a 19-year-old driver. A woman was also killed as a result of Russian shelling.

Several people were injured in attacks on Selydove, Siversk, Myrnohrad, and Shevchenko.

🪐 Subscribe to Live: Ukraine

Ukraine training army of robot drones to take out Russian targets - Forces News

Ukraine is training an army of robot drones, teaching them how to distinguish Russian soldiers on the battlefield by their uniforms and the way they move, a new report has said.

Ukraine has been called a 'war lab for the future' and nowhere more so than in the military use of drones, with Kyiv aiming to produce a million UAVs this year.

However, the report, written by US-Ukrainian journalist David Kirichenko, warned Nato that Western military ethics may hand Russia an advantage when it comes to the use of AI drones.

⚡️Russian fighter jets likely left Belarus, monitoring group says.

Two Russian MiG-31K jets that were transferred to Belarus this week have most likely returned to Russia, the Belarusian monitoring group Hajun reported on Oct. 12.

Their sudden appearance in Belarus prompted speculation from Ukrainian officials and military experts that Russia may have moved the jets to Belarus to evade Ukrainian strikes, or to prepare for another massive attack.

https://kyivindependent.com/estonia-considering-buying-defense-equipment-from-ukraine-official-says/

Hey, I want my very own space laser. If meteorologists can afford them then surely I can.
https://open.substack.com/pub/jefftiedrich/p/maga-morons-are-now-threatening-meteorologists?r=70k1h&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

Ukraine Report News Update 🗞️

🔹Ukrainian defenders eliminated another 1,300 Russian occupiers in a day.

🔹An anti-missile shield base will soon be operational in Poland, which will shoot down Russian missiles flying towards Poland.

🔹The Armed Forcesprobably shot down a Russian Su-34 fighter from an American F-16, - ISW

if confirmed, the incident would be the first Ukrainian downing of a Russian manned aircraft from a Western-provided F-16 fighter jet," the report said.

🇺🇦@ukraine_report 🇺🇦🔱

According to the journalist, Russian soldiers killed in action in 2024 tend to be increasingly older in age as the average age for volunteer recruits continues to soar. The plurality of volunteer recruits killed in the war fall most prominently between the ages of 48 and 50 years old.

🇺🇦@ukraine_report

Russian military shot 9 captured Ukrainians in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation, claims Ukrainian OSINT project DeepState

Analysts cite sources in the 1st Separate Brigade. According to them, this happened on October 10 in the area of the settlement of Zeleny Shlyakh.

"Additional details of the circumstances are being clarified, but it is known that the guys went to positions thinking that they were in the relative rear, but were forced to make contact with the enemy and fired back. However, the number of ammunition was limited and they were forced to surrender," the report says.

There is no confirmation of this information however :

📄 The Ombudsman sent letters to the UN and the Red Cross regarding the shooting of soldiers in the Kursk region.

"These actions should not go unpunished, and the enemy should bear all responsibility. Russia is a terrorist country that violates all the rules and customs of war. The international community should not turn a blind eye to such crimes," emphasized Commissioner Dmytro Lubinets.

🇺🇦@ukraine_report 🇺🇦 Liz

The Wildberries feud - flashback
All 26 people arrested in the criminal case on the shooting near the Wildberrys office in central Moscow have stated their desire to go to war, reported state controlled Lenta.ru.

Earlier, the State Duma adopted a bill that will allow defendants to sign into contracts even before sentencing and exempt them from criminal liability for participating in the war.

The Z-channel Alex Parker Returns commented on the elegant legal loophole that will simultaneously help the Kremlin save face and the Chechens to avoid punishment:

"The circle is closed. The attackers on the WB office in Moscow will go to the SMO after killing two people. 26 arrested defendants in the case were charged with murder, attempted murder and other articles, but all of them have already expressed their desire to sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense, so they will be able to avoid punishment. Akhmat Circus will avoid punishment because it will go to serve in Akhmat Circus. Cleverly!"

@freerussia_report

Operational information of the General Staff as of 08.00 on 13.10.2024 regarding the Russian invasion

Glory to Ukraine!
The nine hundred and sixty-third day of the large-scale armed aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine has begun.

In total, 186 combat clashes were recorded during the past 24 hours.

According to detailed information, yesterday the enemy launched five missile strikes against the positions of Ukrainian units and populated areas using eight missiles, as well as 90 airstrikes, in particular, dropping 158 anti-aircraft missiles. In addition, he fired 4,243 shots, 156 of them from rocket salvo systems.
The aggressor carried out airstrikes, in particular, in the areas of the settlements of Richki, Katerynivka, Bunyakyne, Volfyna, Budka, Shalygine, and Gudove of the Sumy region; Kupyansk-Vuzlovy, Podoli, Kivsharivka, Kruglyakivka and Pershotravneve of Kharkiv region; Torske, Yuryivka, Toretsk, Petrivka, Myrnograd, Selidove, Rivnopil, Bogoyavlenka and Zelene Pole of the Donetsk region; the city of Zaporizhia and Mala Tokmachka of the Zaporizhia region; Lviv, Poniativka, Kherson region.

Over the past 24 hours, missile troops and artillery of the Defense Forces hit an air defense vehicle, six areas of concentration of weapons and military equipment, and one field ammunition depot of the Russian invaders.

There were 23 attacks by the occupiers in the Kupyan direction during the day. The defense forces repelled enemy assaults near Petropavlivka, Kucherivka, Kolisnykyvka, Kruglyakivka, Myasozharivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Pischany, Vyshnevoy, and Lozova.

The enemy attacked 19 times in the Lyman direction. Tried to move forward in the direction of Novomykhailivka, Grekivka, Nevsky, Novosadovo, and Torsky.

In the Siversky direction, Ukrainian defenders repelled three assaults by Russian invaders near Verkhnokamyanskyi, Ivano-Daryivka, and Vyimka.

In the Kramatorsk direction, the occupiers attacked nine times in the areas of Kalynyvka, Chasovoy Yar and Stupochky.

In the Toretsk direction, the enemy, supported by aviation, carried out 15 attacks in the Toretsk and Shcherbinivka areas.

In the Pokrovsky direction, our defenders stopped 36 assault and offensive actions of the aggressor towards the settlements of Myrolyubivka, Lysivka, Krutiy Yar, Selidove, Novotroitske, Myrnograd and Mykhailivka.

In the Kurakhiv direction, the Defense Forces repelled 47 attacks. The occupiers most actively tried to advance in the areas of Izmailivka, Hirnyk, Kurakhivka, Zhelany Drugy, Tsukuryny, Novodmytrivka, Novoselidivka, Georgiyivka, Kostyantynivka, Kurakhovoy, Zoryany, Dalnyy, and Antonivka.

In the Vremivsk direction, the enemy carried out four assaults on our positions in the Bogoyavlenka area. Actively engaged attack and bomber aircraft for strikes on the direction.

One enemy attack near Robotyny was repulsed in the Orihiv direction.

In the Dnieper direction, invaders attacked our positions nine times. They were repulsed and suffered losses.

No signs of the formation of enemy offensive groups were detected in the Volyn and Poliske directions.

On the border with the Chernihiv and Sumy regions, the enemy from the territory of the Russian Federation is actively using artillery and aviation in the areas of Ukrainian settlements.

The operation is ongoing in the Kursk region.

Our soldiers inflict significant losses in manpower and equipment on the occupying forces and actively undermine the offensive potential of the enemy in the rear.
In general, the Russian invaders lost 1,300 people last day. Also, Ukrainian soldiers destroyed 9 tanks, 49 armored combat vehicles, 29 artillery systems, one anti-aircraft missile system, two air defense systems, 45 operational-tactical UAVs, 71 vehicles and a unit of special equipment of the occupiers.

Join the Defense Forces!
Together we will win! Glory to Ukraine!

@ukrainejournal

Ukraine Must Join NATO After the War for Lasting Peace, Says Former US Ambassador William Taylor

William Taylor, former US Ambassador to Ukraine (2006–2009) and Chargé d’Affaires of the US to Ukraine (2019–2020), argues in The New York Times that peace in Europe depends on Ukraine’s integration into NATO once the war ends.

Taylor notes that the conflict will likely conclude when Ukraine either repels russian forces or international pressure forces russia to withdraw, or both, as President Zelenskyy has suggested. However, without NATO membership, Ukraine will remain vulnerable to future russian aggression, which has threatened its sovereignty for 300 years. Taylor asserts that Europe’s security is also at stake.

He recalls that Vladimir putin’s intent to destroy Ukraine as a nation has been evident since 2014 when russia invaded and annexed Crimea. Since February 2022, russia has intensified efforts to subjugate Ukraine through its full-scale invasion. Despite facing such brutality, Ukraine, with support from the US, Canada, Europe, and Indo-Pacific allies, has managed to hold off russian advances for over two years. Ukrainians are determined to continue their fight and, as President Biden said, they will win, but Taylor emphasizes that Ukraine needs more support now and guaranteed NATO membership after the war.

Reflecting on the NATO summit in Bucharest in 2008, Taylor believes the failure to secure Ukraine and Georgia’s membership path emboldened putin. russia subsequently invaded Georgia and later Ukraine. Had NATO provided stronger backing in 2008, the current war in Ukraine might have been averted. The key lesson from 2008, Taylor suggests, is that NATO membership is crucial for deterring russian aggression, and the US must act decisively at the next NATO summit in June.

Taylor acknowledges that russia will oppose Ukraine’s NATO membership, but stresses that the priority is ensuring peace and security, not appeasing moscow. In the meantime, NATO should take interim steps to integrate Ukraine, such as including Ukraine’s ambassador in the North Atlantic Council and inviting Ukrainian officers to NATO Military Committee meetings. Ukraine should also contribute to the Joint Expeditionary Force, a multinational unit led by the UK.

Most importantly, NATO should begin formal membership talks with Ukraine immediately so the country can swiftly join the alliance after the conflict ends. According to Taylor, Europe will not be secure or whole until Ukraine is part of NATO, and Ukraine will not agree to peace without that guarantee. The US has a leading role to play, and with sustained, determined, and innovative leadership, Ukraine’s NATO membership can become a reality, bringing lasting peace to Europe.

Source : NYT

~ France, Britain, Poland, Baltic States, Nordic nations, and most of Central and Eastern Europe now support Ukraine's NATO membership

The obstacle is the U.S. and Germany

The war can end if NATO accepts Ukraine, but politicians are afraid to show leadership and so people die ~

@ukrainejournal

https://www.euronews.com/2024/10/12/harris-releases-health-report-ahead-of-us-presidential-elections-drawing-contrast-with-tru?utm_source=newsletter&utm_campaign=today_newsletter&utm_medium=referral&insEmail=1&insNltCmpId=209&insNltSldt=10080&insPnName=euronewsfr&isIns=1&isInsNltCmp=1

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/simmer-down/58506/

Dream on old fool. Trump thinks Obama will vote for him. Meanwhile Obama is all in campaigning for Kamala.
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/the-sheer-absurdity-of-donald-trump/58509/

With Speaker Johnson declaring he no is no longer interested in “feeding Ukraine”, adding that he really believed Trump and Putin could end the war in a matter of a few phone calls, none of us can even risk a Trump administration.
If you have the right to vote in the US election please, I beg of you, make sure you do.