It would appear that the center-right folks have fled the GOP entirely and all that's left are the lunatic-supporters.

@LouisIngenthron Why would you say that?
Trying to understand your interpritation here. But 2/3 opposing Trump as their first choice among those who stuck with the GOP (what is meant by likely GOP voters) would suggests there are still a few moderates around no?

That said if they are center-right im not sure they even qualify as "likely GOP voters" and probably wouldnt be cited here. center-right sound more like swing voters.

@freemo @LouisIngenthron Personally I think Nikki Haley and Chris Christie could pass for moderates these days (not that I agree with them on much of anything), so I'd say... 23% of the GOP at least is still moderate.

However, I do suspect that much of the moderate GOP has left the party, though I admittedly have no numbers for that. I have two conservative family members who have left the GOP, though.

@ML2

One small nitpick. Id argue centrists and moderates are very different things.

Centrists exist near the center point, perhaps with a slight lean, but youll find their policy support largely split for one side or the other.

A moderate will be left or right with the majority of their policy points existing somewhere ont heir side of the spectrum. But all their points will be "moderate" rather than from the extreme part of their end of the spectrum.

The DNC is largely moderate left (or at least was a decade ago, they are verging on the extreme now). The GOP largely the same but perhaps a bit closer to the extreme end in recent years.

The non-moderate extreme left are the people like bernie.

Centrists dont really have a party. They are usually just described as swing voters.

@LouisIngenthron