Gelman on the conceptual status of likelihood vs. Bayesian priors
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/04/27/straining-on-the-gnat-of-the-prior-distribution-while-swallowing-the-camel-that-is-the-likelihood-econometrics-edition/
"Density matrix realism"
https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/23356/
Analogy between writing and statistical analysis.
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/04/08/people-have-needed-rituals-to-turn-data-into-truth-for-many-years-why-would-we-be-surprised-if-many-people-now-need-procedural-reforms-to-work/
Ny artikel om "Om begreppet evidens i evidensbaserad medicin" i en finsk filosofitidskrift. #EBM
https://journal.fi/ajatus/article/view/125458
...I wish I'd seen this when I wrote about feminization and de-feminization in science history in this blog post in 2017:
Botany had become so feminized in the late 1880s, that there was even an article in Science asking if botany was a suitable profession for men.
There's a lot to learn from botany's subsequent de-feminization. It's not the only example, & it will likely happen again in other fields.
Review of Cochrane reviews' handling of nonsignificant results
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0895435623001488
This list of academics on Mathstodon is somewhat useful:
https://github.com/nathanlesage/academics-on-mastodon
But it doesn't list mathematicians or physicists. It *does* list "theologidons". What's a theologidon? A don who is a theologian?
Japan's COVID-19 & AI Simulation Project
https://www.nature.com/articles/d42473-023-00183-9
Pedagogical explanation of loudness vs. sound wave amplitude
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Is_wu0VRIqQ
Fann en relaterad studie: Mycket mer raffinerat räkneexempel med modeller för ekonomi och virusspridning, men beslutskriteriet är ett något enklare minimax-kriterie.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9926232/
"Understanding and combatting misinformation across 16 countries on six continents" out today in Nature Human Behavior! There have been a huge number of msinfo-related studies in the past 5 or so years, but almost all of them have been US/Western populations. So here we examined the psychology of misinformation, and the effectiveness of various interactions, across 16 countries (total N=34k).
We find:
➤Consistent cognitive, social & ideological predictors of misinfo belief across countries
➤Interventions (accuracy prompts, digital literacy tips, using crowdsourcing to identify misinfo) are all broadly effective across countries
Give it a read and let me know what you think! https://rdcu.be/dfGtT
Även om försiktighetsprincipen för det mesta inte är menad som mer än en lite vag tumregel, kan man fundera på hur den kunde preciseras och formaliseras. Basili & Franzini (2006) låter beslutfattares kunskaps/osäkerhet representeras av en mängd sannolikhetsfördelningar och värdering av utfall av nytto-/kostnadsvärden. För att få ut en konkret rekommendation förespråkas förväntad nytta från (a) den mest pessimistiska sannolikhetsfördelningen, och (b) den mest optimistiska sannolikhetsfördelningen viktas samman. (alfa-MEU)
Med tanke på att Coronakommissionen förespråkade en försiktighets-/handlingsprincip kan det här vara intressant läsning.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00761.x
Interesting attempt to bring order to the notion of temperature in relativistic physics
http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/22271/
Beryllium is the third element in the periodic table, giving it many special properties.
But it hasn't been studied as much as other light elements - because beryllium dust is so poisonous! It can cause fatal scarring of the lungs.
Now a chemist named Boronski 🤨 has made some big progress.
He took beryllocene - two pentagonal rings of carbon and hydrogen connected by a beryllium atom - and managed to stick in an extra beryllium, creating diberyllocene!
Until recently diberyllocene was purely theoretical, and nobody knew if the two berylliums in this molecule would be held together by hydrogen atoms. Now we know they're not.
So it's not like diberyllocene is not like dicobaltacene, which has two cobalts held together by four hydrogens. It's more like dizincocene. I'd never heard of any of these molecules! But in a way this is not surprising, because zinc is a lot like beryllium.
More here:
See those diagonal lines? They are straight, not bent - it's an illusion!
I submitted this illusion (called the paperclip illusion) to the 2023 best visual illusion contest. I think it's a really neat effect, but it's up against some pretty stiff competition though. Check out the entries and vote for your favourite ones!
It sounds trivial and obvious, but are you reading error bars correctly?
Do you know whether you're looking at standard errors (measures of inferential uncertainty), standard deviations (measures of spread of individual observations), or 95% confidence intervals around the mean?
And are your intuitions about what each of these mean correct?
Here's a nice primer, refresher, or teaching article.
https://www.nature.com/articles/nmeth.2659
h/t @jakehofman
Even giraffes use statistics to make decisions! 😉
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-32615-3
New commentary on statnews #masks #cochrane
https://www.statnews.com/2023/05/02/do-masks-work-rcts-randomized-controlled-trials/
computational scientist, interested in science, news, politics