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@grimalkina

I meant the difference between variability (i.e. noisy/oscillating changes) vs changes that have a trend. Developmental changes over significant fraction of lifespan are one example of the latter; the example I was thinking of was changes due to social environment one enters (that, I'd anecdotally estimate, happen on the scale of months to years). (BTW. I think that not all of the former -- variability -- kind of changes are quick: for example depression episodes -- if I understand their typical progression correctly -- are examples of slow variability).

I think I am such a person, so let me answer these questions about me. First, let me respond in a way that's topic-agnostic (I think it's helpful, because most of my learning experience was about subject that don't describe human behaviour). I hope that reading about a phenomenon will let me develop a model of it and lets me associate pieces of that model with evidence for their correctness, or will show me that the model I already have for it is incorrect (and will also help me create a correct, though often less predictive, model)[1]. That means for me that I can (at least for somewhat idealized situations) predict observations and have some handle of (at least relative) accuracy/certainty of such predictions.

Often (even in much less noisy areas than ones that study humans) having a reasonably complete model is infeasible. The second best thing then is having what physicists calls symmetries: sets of changes in the modelled phenomenon that, when applied together, do not change outcomes. (BTW. Even if we can have a ~complete model, such symmetries are often part of a nicely structured argument for its correctness.)

For some parts of the phenomenon, neither of the two is feasible. Then we often can still make "directional" statements: that changes in one parameter in some direction change some outcome in a particular direction.

[1] Most insightful things I consciously learned about human behaviour was from the model breaking bucket (e.g. that people ~never communicate the literal meaning of what they say, or that gender is not purely social).

@delroth @dominicstucki

Ich vermute, dass man Platz für ein Tram zwischen die Kreuzung und die Haltestelle schaffen möchte.

@grimalkina

I would really like to read something on this topic, esp. if it was written in a way friendly to people who have a reductionist approach to reality.

I wonder where would you put within-individual variation that's a result of slow but consistent drift over time (it's within-individual, but is not "some days are xy and some are zy").

@whitequark

Where is the fuse on AC IN?

I've seen similar designs (in old oscilloscopes) that compare various voltages on the PSU output and if they seem to be out of whack wrt each other they latch up and disable switching PSU's oscillator.

@grimalkina

I'm not quite in the middle of watching Sapolsky's lectures on biology of human behaviour, and a topic that repeats there is how reasons for interpersonal variances were gotten very obviously wrong (or less obviously, but still badly wrong), and how to recognize such problems.

(The lectures are altogether pretty long, available iiuc as audio only, and done at a "podcast pace" -- you can listen to them with nonfull attention and don't need to backtrack.)

@GossiTheDog

I'm of two minds about this.

On one hand, clearly flouting the law is ~punished (even though the measure is not supposed to be punishment, but an acute way to prevent repeats of similar offenses).

On the other hand, "driving without a license" is part of a positive feedback loop is many states and often means "driving while being in debt". Some states:
a) refuse license renewal/suspend licenses as part of debt collection,
b) condition license reacquisition on relative lack of driving infractions, which include "driving without a license/with a suspended license" regardless of the reason for the license's suspension.

(I spent a week of evenings in 2020 or 2021 watching proceedings around misdemeanors from some random court in Michigan, and traffic cases seemed to mostly be parts of that or similar feedback loop.)

@kenshirriff

What's the range of digits on the presumed hundreds-of-degrees wheel, and what is on the hundreds wheel for the latitude at all?

@penguin42 @theodric

I would guess it was timed, and the brush was always dipped after a long enough travel without painting (the only time in the video when a stroke doesn't start with dipping are those weird looking very short interrupted strokes, where interruptions do not involve redipping).

@grrrr_shark @Teri_Kanefield @dcm

I thought that those requests were made and responded to in writing.

@Teri_Kanefield @dcm

Do you know how does requesting that the judge read them again work after the jury starts deliberations?

@slavistapl

Strzelam, że większość tych sklepów jest uwzględniona w openstreetmap, ale nie widzę tam za bardzo tagów, które by je wyróżniały (`operator=` niby winien, ale jest bardzo niejasnym jak winien on działać w przypadku franczyz).

Może wartoby stwierdzić, jak rozsądnie oznaczać takie sklepy w OSM i to uczynić z tymi, o których ludzie ci napiszą?

@_thegeoff

Or unless you are in a fog (which iiuc might not be dangerously contaminated) or underwater.

@dgar

So.. confusing correlation and causation is a symptom of some terrible illness? :)

@timorl

So your model of me is afraid of ceilings? :)

@Suiseiseki

I think you are right on limited consequences of a fire. I would expect though that an ignition source should be pretty easy to find in a car accident: the exhaust systems of all involved cars are likely got enough.

@ZachWeinersmith this reminds me of thinking how large a mole of buses would be

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