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@freemo @YorkshireTea I'm genuinely sceptical of how much you can demonstrate with statistics in general society, the physicist in me gets very suspicious once you have so many confounding factors

@freemo @YorkshireTea "never believe statistics unless you faked them yourself" ;)

@freemo @YorkshireTea to a first approximation i think you can assert that government doubling down on lockdown measures would be thick as shit

doesn't look like that's on the cards but it's good to have some data to back it up

thanks for the feedback in any case

@freemo @YorkshireTea what else, other than government policy, can cause such a huge shift

first, do no harm

@freemo @YorkshireTea there's not a lot you can say with any confidence with this data

one thing that stands out is that once excess mortality is outstripping covid mortality, it seems likely that the collective shift in government policy is doing more harm than good

@freemo @YorkshireTea agreed, but again of the bat this would suggest that government policy is making things worse, not better.

throwing your hands up and screaming "it's the vaccines!" is bullshit though

@freemo @YorkshireTea the reason I tagged you is because you're the only person I know who could credibly give a detailed synopsis of the logical fallacies

whatever though

you know the maths is getting serious when you turn the page horizontal

@freemo @YorkshireTea

Appears a very unscientific attitude, but I won't waste your time further.

Scuba looks cool tho

@YorkshireTea @freemo interested to hear your critique of this dude, looks troubling from my perspective

skells boosted

@11112011 idc just want a short stop loss to justify obscene leverage

@mkwadee and from personal experience Germany is far more hard line in Covid response than the UK

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