@vnarek In fact no only is not a scientific consensus that such a law is, in fact, a law, if you just go tot he wikipedia page about the law there are multiple counter examples that disprove the "law" listed.

@freemo Yea it says "tend to favour two-party system". I am just saying that it is hard to go against the system which makes two parties stronger and vote for third party. It is the same as systematic oppression of some race/ethnicity. You can escape poverty, but it is highly unlikely if the system does not want you to.

@vnarek Except it doesnt make the two party stronger. The only thing that makes twh two party system stronger is the fact that people beleive the lie that a two-party system exists in the first place.

It takes only very simple logic to realize as a voter there is no incentive to vote for the two parties. But enough propaganda has spread to convince people that they must vote two parties anyway.

Its little more than people being idiotic and letting that effect their vote. Ideally the system shouldnt need to correct for their idiocy, the people should be thoughtful enough not to let themselves fall into that line of thinking in the first place.

@freemo We can empirically see that it does. Most of the time this happens so we should adjust to the fact that it happens right?

@vnarek The reason that makes no sense is just because two parties tends to win in your area has nothing to do with if you should vote for one of two parties or not.

Its unrelated. The mentality is "voting for a third party throws away your vote". that statement is untrue whether a two parties are dominant or not. So arguing that two parties is dominant is not an argument for supporting one of two parties.

@freemo @vnarek the point is that the math is RIGGED unless we eliminate first past the post. We can be held hostage to by the two party voter without something that isn't rigged statistically like ranked voting

@penny

The math isnt rigged, feel free to show whatever equation you think disproves this however. There is no statistical rigging.

People can and should vote for whoever is best. The idea of anything being "rigged" is little more than propaganda people bought into and as such change their choices.

the only thing rigged is the stupidity of the common voter that causes them to believe it is rigged and thus must vote for two parties int he first place. If they didnt believe that lie and actually bothered to vote for the best candidate, then we wouldnt have two dominant parties to begin with.

@vnarek

@freemo This argument is not about whether you should vote for one of two parties, but that the actual system implemented in U.S favours two parties.

@vnarek the two are unrelated. the **only** reason a two party system emerges is specifically because people buy into the lie that that they need to vote for one of two parties.

If we could remove that lie from the minds of the populace than there would be nothing inherent in the system that would favor two parties and there would not be a two party system.

@freemo I understood what you meant. So your argument is that it tends to favour two-party system because people think that it favours two party system right?

So shouldn't the system change to break this understanding?

@vnarek more or less thats the jist of it. People incorrectly think if two parties are dominant that voting for a third party is a less significant vote. Thus they feel erroneously compelled to vote for one of two parties. The cycle would be broken if people didnt beleive (or spread) this false logic in the first place.

I have no problem with using ranked choice voting. It has no downsides and will cause the original false assumption, if otherwise bought into, to become invalid. Thus could potentially move us away from a two party system. Since I see no harm in ranked chocie voting I have no object to switching to it in the hope it might create this effect.

The the truth is, when you try to fix people not thinking for themselves by correcting the system according to their false expectations, you likely wont get very far. If we adopted ranked-choice voting across the USA you are likely to see the exact same result. a two party system, because people will just come up with some new failure of logic to justify it to replace the old.. people will start saying nonsense like "If your first choice when you vote isnt one of the two parties its throwing away your vote".. yea its just as much nonsense as with the system of voting we have now, but that wont stop them from believing it and executing on it either.

There is no shortage of evidence to back this up either... 1) In countries where voting systems are in place that resembles america's current system in several ways we often see exceptions where we simply dont see a two-party system and thus debunks the fundemental logic... 2) in states in the USA where ranked choice voting has been implemented we continue to see a dominance of a two-party system suggesting what I said, that you basically cant fix stupid.

@penny

@freemo @vnarek it's not a myth, it's math.

You need a mixture of both conservatives and progressives, a simple majority of them rebelling against the two party system- most of the population(plus much more due to gerrymandering)to vote for the same person despite the IRRECONCILABLE differences mind opinion. How could we ever vote together?

@penny

the world isnt made up of conservatives and progressives, most people are neither of these. Conservatives and progressives just happen to be the extreames of the spectrum, not the majority.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek the math is designed so that as long as 50% of the population believes two different things, we can never escape, and through thousands of years of manipulation we are all stuck in boxes where one box actually wants a lot of the other box dead

@penny

The failing in the logic is that everything is 50%, a dichotomy. Politics isnt broken down into left and right, thats the fallacy. Its a huge multidimensional landscape with overwhelming nuance that often doesnt fall into left and right.

Its only americans who have strived to make it that way out of ignorance.

@vnarek

@freemo
I am not a fan of ranked choice voting, which is still better than what you have now. I think that systems without proportional representation are going to have these problems.
@penny

@vnarek @vnarek I really have no problem with proportional representation either.

In fact in congress itself we already have proportional representation, and congress is the more important arm of the government more so thant he president. Yet despite employing proportional representation in congress it doesnt change the fact that the vast majority is a two-party system. Because again, the fallacy persists, not because of any functional aspect to the system, thats secondary.

@penny

@freemo
Really? I did not know about that interesting. How long its that way?
@penny

@vnarek

since the USa was founded. We have parties in congress other than just republican or democrat (labeled as independents or third party seats) and they get an equal vote in any bills along with the other parties.

@penny

@freemo @vnarek it's just a gesture, a signal to everyone out there that we're here

@freemo
Problem is that even if you don't think this way others do. And one of the candidates is just better. Should I try to change people misconceptions about two-party system, get like 15% to third party and let somebody like Trump be blatantly racist and deny climate change for an additional 4 years? I think that the majority just forces you to don't do that.
@penny

@vnarek @freemo it's like playing blackjack with a hostile dealer, blackjack's odds are normally 50% but not if the dealer cheats

@vnarek

Yes people do think like that. Just because most people are idiots isnt an excuse you should act like an idiot too though :)

In fact the only real way to dispel the two party system myth is by voting outside the two-party system, making sure the statistics around the vote show a greater split and thus breakt eh cyclic logic int he first place by demonstrating the logic is failed.

@penny

@freemo @vnarek we already see that it's broken, the world knows, but because it is impossible to vote out of we have a problem

@freemo @vnarek it's fine to protest vote as third party, but it is impossible to vote one even into Congress without an incredibly successful campaign

@penny

thats no more true than any other party. It just so happens that the two major parties keep having successful campaigns because people keep insisting on giving them their money.

Their campaigns need to be just as successful, well funded, and supported as any third party would need to be. Sadly people are just gullible enough to keep supporting it.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek if only 25% of each group want them to stay in power, the math is rigged to keep them there unless everyone who dissents votes for the same one. Otherwise they're all proxy votes

@penny

Generally we see that when third parties win it is sudden and happens over the course of only one or two elections when the people shift bases.

My hope is people will come to their senses and it will happen in the next few years.

This election we already have Handsy Joe and Prejudice donald at the reigns.. Its like watching two racist people from a nursing home with dimentia having an argument.

My hope is much more of this we might see a flip to a third party as we have seen historically. But that will only happen if people stop buying the propaganda of a two-party system.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek Read about first past the post, it's mathematically impossible for what you're suggesting to work; enough people BENEFIT from this system that they can hold us hostage to the two party system by complying with it. They WANT to force us to use it and their numbers allow this. You can't outvote the rich in first past the post.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/First-past-the-post_voting

@penny

while it is certainly true that many people benefit from and want a two party system. Specifically those who are loyal to one of those two parties, in truth they have absolutely no power to force us to follow along.

The best they can do is spew advertisements at us (the rich).. but if we listen to those advertisements or not, or whether we actually bother to think for ourselves is entierly on us.

When the rich try to manipulate the public into a two party system, or a vote in general, and it happens to work, it isnt the rich who are to blame, it is the masses who were weak and gullible enough to turn on the TV in the first place, let alone listen to whatever nonsense it spewed at them without bothering to think for themselves.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek we can seize power by force, that's true, I'm into that. But it is mathematically impossible to vote our way out without achieving a better voting system

@penny

Incorrect for aforementioned reasons.

If a majority of people voted for a decent candidate, the decent candidate would win... There is no math diminishing their vote so long as people stop believing the lie that they are forced into two parties in the first place.

It is entirely circular logic that such mathematical pressures exist at all, and becomes self fulfilling by ones belief in it.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek The math does not work, you are arguing against simple basic logic. A simple majority of people fundamentally can't all vote for the same person, because they would always be a mixture of progressive and conservative people want. I don't want fascism, the other 50% does. I want healthcare, the other 50% wants me to die. I want to exist as a trans woman, the other 50% wants me dead. How can a simple majority like this ever vote together? What would this theoretical canidate support?

As long as no canidate can unify our ideals it's impossible. You can't say it isn't, a simple majority can never be achieved.

@penny I think @freemo ment that it would not be 50% 50%, but more like 30% 20% 10% 40% for example. Not all republicans wants fascism and not all left-leaning people have the same idea for leftist ideology, but we are grouped together into two wide parties that we lean more towards.

@vnarek @freemo Right, but we both have to vote for the SAME person. 50% of Republicans and 50% of conservatives have to vote for the same person. How would that be possible? What would they support?

@penny

Except we dont all have to vote for the same person, we just need to make sure one person gets more votes than any other.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek

You don't understand. A simple majority has to all vote for the same person. It is mathematically untrue

That means that one population base made of voters of both parties(or an entire party?)have to all decide to rebel and vote for the same third party. Otherwise, the "Conservative B Party" and the "Progressive B party" act as proxy parties and both sap 25% of votes from republicans, 25% from republicans, and after gerrymandering.... Republicans win.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vote_splitting#Spoiler_effect

This system is designed to be almost impossible to escape, it is hostile, and it adapts

@freemo @vnarek also, gerrymandering, voter suppression, outright cheating. The game isn't just rigged by the numbers, everyone is working to make sure the numbers are "right"

@penny

Those are all excellent examples of things that rig the system and need to be fixed. but they are separate issues to some extent and not so much examples of things that guarantee a two party system.. well not too much anyway.

There is some truth in those examples though I'll give you that. But I think thats more general corruption than corruption guaranteeing a two party system.

@vnarek

@penny

No you can have 40% vote for party A, 30% vote for party B and 30% vote for party C, and you will have a congress that represents those parties just fine. There is no requirement that everyone needs to vote for the same party for that party to see some level of success.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek these numbers apply to microeconomics too, you can't get even get Congress as a third party because you will be competing against a conservative republican and a progressive democratic and you will act as a spoiler canidate for the one the most similar to you, causing both of you to lose. It's just math, first past the post it just rigged

@penny

being a spoiler vote for an otherwise evvil candidate, even if it is the lesser of two evils, should be the goal. Especially considering there are "spoilers" on both sides.

voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek Right, I'm protest voting for the green party. But I'm aware it is mathematically impossible for them or any third party to win until we fix voting.

@penny

then why is it possible for third parties to have won past elections, multiple times, without a change in voting?

The truth is, it isnt impossible, it just requires people to not be stupid. Which perhaps is pretty impossible in its own right, granted, but it has happened before.

@vnarek

@freemo @vnarek usually when third parties win, there hasn't been an adjacent oponent. A republican/Democrat could have sapped their votes, whichever was most similar, but no showed. And sometimes just every republican/democrat in a small community with a large majority of similar do and just decide to do that, but that's just an incredibly successful win! Back to blackjack, you still win a lot of hands when the odds are rigged- you just lose a whole lot more

@penny
I think it is possible, but it is never going to be a radical change.
@freemo

@vnarek

Radical in what sense? In every historic example we have of a third-party winning it always came about through a radical shift in voting that takes place over very short periods of time.

@penny

@penny

the flaw in your logic is that 50% of people are on one side and 50% on the other.

Most people I talk to vote democrat not because they thought it was the best vote but because they thought it was the lesser of two evils. Similarly most people who voted for trump didnt feel he was the best choice but simply felt it was the lesser of two evils and anything was better than the democrats.

Most people dont want to be polarized, they are forced into it. In all reality maybe 5% of people want fascism, 5% of people want anarchy, and 90% of people want a reasonable balance of each.. In all reality 5% of people want the idea of sex to disapear and for trans to be the accepted norm, 5% of people want trans people to die, and 90% of people want something in between.

It is only because they buy into the lie of there being only two votes and they must pick the lesser of two evils that the divide occurs alone 50/50 lines in the first place. Very few people actually agree wholly with the side they wind up supporting, and feel they made a huge compromise to fight against what they perceive as a greater evil from the other side.

If the fallacy of the two party system was something people stopped ascribing to I think you'd find there is a lot more room for compromise than people think. the issue, especially in america, extreamism and polarization is so high (as a result of these two parties) we dont see much compromise from either side.

@vnarek

@penny

by the way I'm not against ranked choice voting, I do support it.

But my point is, its an attempt at invalidating the thinking behind the inherent myth of two-party system. since beleive beleive the logic, however flawed, by introducing ways of voting that invalidate that logic, the idea is it destroys the myth and as such would dissolve the two party system.

But the truth is we dont **need** other forms of voting to do it. If the populace just werent gullible enough to buy the myth in the first place it would be a non issue.

@vnarek

@penny @freemo @vnarek
(i know im late to the party but i wanted to read the thread, then i ended up going for a walk lol)
first past the post is interesting because i think the idea is that it simplifies the election process in order to try and get more people to go and vote whilst also trying to avoid the paradox of choice
the issue imo is that a lot of people simply arent actually interested in politics and will either just not vote, or vote based on one issue
i have to admit, my voting has been largely single issue, i dispise the conservative party in the UK for the most part because i hate their anti freedom stuff but because labour isnt any different in that regard and brexit has been the big issue ive voted for them
i voted brexit party in the EU thing the year prior and that was the only time ive really seen a seperate party come in and smash it, and that wasnt for a general election.
people largely arent interested in local party politics, just the big country wide stuff.. which im guilty of too, its very rare for me to think 'oh i wonder what my local council are planning'

it was interesting to see the tactical voting stuff in the last election, people not wanting to vote labour voting libdem and greens, getting shouted down because the options are conservative or labour
as for fixing it im not too sure, first past the post is useful for a country because it narrows down the regional differences but it only really works when picking an A or B, i think the issue is that the smaller parties dont actually have any regional options, i cant remember which party but at one of the local elections i remember looking at the ballot and thinking 'wow no X candidate' lol (i think it mightve been ukip or something idr)
i think our current voting system could work if the public was either more interested in the actual policies and not the red vs blue or even if there was a proper third choice, and i mean one people actually voted 33% for, that would allow labour and conservative to actually make their stances clear in order to get votes.... maybe i dont really know
also looking at the wikipedia article I WONDER WHAT THE WRITER THINKS LMAO

anywho thats my rambly post without any concrete solutions, best enjoyed with a bit of bbq sauce

@lumeinshin

I dont have time right now to give this response a full read and a full reply but I want to say one thing.

I dont think getting people out to vote should be the goal. People who arent interest in politics, and especially people who dont bother to research the politicians and their viewpoints should be actively discouraged from voting.

If ranked-choice voting discourages people from voting I'd see that as a step in the right direction honestly.

@penny @vnarek