@Pat Looks like that article is from 2020. It's far from succesful nowadays. Kinda funny how that turns out.

@trinsec

What's the current infection rate and death rate in China? What's the death rate in the US and Europe? How many people have died in total in China versus other countries? Who is more free to go where they want, a Chinese citizen living in a relatively virus-free country, or someone in the US who can't walk across the room without losing their breath?

How do you measure success?

@Pat

As a pro statistician I can say this is a very common failing people apply to tons of subjects... You can **not** compare absolute rates between countries and presume it is the result of a policy, thats considered invalid analysis.

When we analyze policy we look at the rate of change in the background incident rate immediately following a change in policy. You must compare the country to itself at an earlier period before the policy was adopted. It is the only way to reasonably hold most other factors constant.

@trinsec

Follow

@freemo

Results speak for themselves. Who did a much better job at protecting their citizens?
China.

@trinsec

@Pat

No, they dont, again, invalid analysis... There are **tons** of other factors, many of which have nothing to do with decisions the government or the people made, which may attribute to the absolute results... assuming there is causation is known-bad-analysis.

@trinsec

@freemo @trinsec

>"...There are **tons** of other factors, many of which have nothing to do with decisions the government or the people made.."

Like what? The weather? It's more than 100:1 difference in death rate. Other countries that also had zero-Covid strategies did very well, too.

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