Just a reminder that in site of the challenges #polling for the #midterms was very accurate. The races that polled as very close were very close. The races that polled as sure things went the way the polls said they would. The issue was media outlets taking some races where polls said Republicans had a 50.1 to 55% chan e of winning and assuming that all of them would be Republican victories. Democrats over-performed the polls by only 2-3% nation wide and that was enough to sneak by some very close contests.

In summary the only way the polling for the #2022midterms was wrong is if you think polls make binary predictions not statistical odds.

#politics #elections

@antares

FYI, you don't need a content warning (CW) for political content that doesn't otherwise contain CW-eligible content.

@Pat I am getting feedback form people that they really want to avoid political posts after a very trying election season. I'm happy to oblige esp on a Sci/Tech focused server.

@antares

This instance is for STEM people, not just STEM content.

@antares

Overuse of CW's in harmful to those who rely on them.

I'll post a full explanation...