俄羅斯真部署重兵了,結果美國官員說因應方案還沒提給阿拜。騙誰啊? :ablobunamused:

"美方官員估計,目前陳兵克里米亞與烏克蘭附近的俄軍已多達8萬人,約為4週前的近兩倍。歐盟外交與安全政策高級代表波瑞爾(Josep Borrell)則估計俄軍有10萬之譜,比2014年併吞克里米亞時部署的部隊還多,也遠高於目前陳兵烏克蘭東部的規模。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202104220

忍不住笑出來: 派海防隊的巡防艦去黑海是滿節制的,意思意思一下避免刺激北極熊呢。

"俄羅斯國際傳真社(Interfax)報導,俄羅斯黑海艦隊今天表示,其光榮級飛彈巡洋艦「莫斯科號」(Moskva)將和其他艦艇及軍方直升機聯合實施實彈軍演。

數小時前,美國駐歐海軍表示,美國海岸防衛隊「韓密爾頓」(Hamilton)級巡防艦正在駛往黑海海域,以和這一帶的北大西洋公約組織(NATO)盟邦及夥伴合作。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202104280

雷根號還沒進入南海, 英軍最大艘的驅逐艦就在黑海門戶的土耳其這邊, 據說要晃到月底為止:

"The vessel will remain embarked in Istanbul until entering the Black Sea with the dutch frigate. Thus, two ships will most likely remain in the Black Sea for 20 days.

HMS Defender is the fifth Type 45 built for the Royal Navy. Thus, she is the eighth ship to bear the name. She is also the largest and most powerful destroyer in the Navy’s fleet."
turdef.com/Article/hms-defende

洩密裡的黑海各方空軍交手風雲:

"這份文件詳述10月至今年2月底期間,俄羅斯對美英法偵察機的數次反應,其中包括12月30日,另1架英國「鉚釘」偵察機在2架英國「颱風」(Typhoon)戰鬥機伴隨下,遭到俄羅斯飛機攔截,俄機甚至飛近至100英尺(約30.5公尺)以內。這份文件印有SECRET/NOFORN標記,代表其內容不會與非美國公民共享。

在另一起例子中,1架美國MQ-9無人偵察機於2月22日遭攔截,當時俄機飛進約100英尺範圍內。3月14日,2架俄羅斯蘇愷-27攔截1架美國MQ-9,向無人機傾倒燃料並最終與其相撞。美國官員表示,這次碰撞促使美軍以遙控方式讓無人機墜入離克里米亞海岸約90公里的黑海中。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202304100

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照外洩機密看,北約各國援助烏克蘭軍機的理由更充分了:

"Since those early days, Ukrainian air defenses have held off an onslaught of Russian missile and drone attacks. But those systems, according to American military officials and the leaked documents, are rapidly depleting, potentially offering a window for Russian planes to do severe damage.

Air defenses are layered, with different types of weapons designed to intercept aircraft and missiles flying at different altitudes — from low-flying helicopters to high-altitude bombers and cruise missiles. In Ukraine, these defensive weapons have also been used to target drones and cruise missiles as Ukrainian forces have tried to defend their cities from Russia’s campaign against the country’s infrastructure."

nytimes.com/2023/04/09/us/poli

這次洩漏的目標效果更像是在北約內埋下猜疑,而非動搖正在交戰的俄烏兩國:

"And the mere fact that the materials leaked — and in particular the confirmation they offered that the U.S. government spies on allies and adversaries alike — may prove damaging to the generally unified coalition that has emerged to help Ukraine fend off the Russian invasion. It may also make allies think twice about sharing sensitive information."

"Officials in Washington have described the documents’ release as a major intelligence breach, but in Kyiv and Moscow, there is agreement on two things: The information is suspect, and the goal is subterfuge. They just don’t agree on who is behind it."

nytimes.com/article/leaked-doc

這次外洩扯後腿效果顯著:

"The probe reflects the U.S. government’s deep concern that the leaks disclosed sensitive information about the war in Ukraine, intercepted communications about U.S. allies, and American penetration of Russian military plans. The accompanying diplomatic outreach also highlights the blow these leaks could deliver to close relationships the U.S. maintains with allies and security partners. "

wsj.com/articles/pentagon-prob

五角大廈洩密案的後續:

"機密情報洩密者泰謝拉所屬的第102情報聯隊,其中行動指揮官及分隊指揮官遭到美國軍方停職處分,並暫時取消了該部隊的機密系統及訊息的訪問權限。目前2人正等待空軍監察長的調查結果。

21歲的機密情報洩密者泰謝拉,於13日在麻州的家中以違反「間諜法」的罪名,遭到聯邦調查局逮捕。泰謝拉在第102情報聯隊中擔任系統管理員,他利用職務之便取得數百份機密文件,並在通訊軟體Discord上與朋友炫耀,其中牽扯到許多美國的高級情蒐資料。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

"根據美國掌握的古巴國防部高級官員計畫訪中行程,美方相信中國在古巴建立訓練設施的談判已進入新階段,研判距離正式落實不遠。

一位美國現任官員和一位前官員透露,該計畫為解放軍預計二○三○年底以前建成的海外基地與後勤保障網絡「一四一項目」一環,為美國最憂心之處,恐其成為中國在古永久駐軍、對美國擴大蒐集情報,包括對美進行電子竊聽的平台。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/pap

布林肯這次去中國, 姿態再友善也是帶著警告去的:

[ On Tuesday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said he had told his counterparts in Beijing that the U.S. had “deep concerns” about Chinese spying and military activities in Cuba. ]

wsj.com/articles/u-s-tracked-h

中國的一四一項目內容都是軍事基地或設施:

"Other Project 141 sites include a deal for a Chinese naval outpost in Cambodia and a military facility whose purpose isn’t publicly known at a port in the United Arab Emirates, a former U.S. official said. None of the previously known Project 141 sites are in the Western Hemisphere.

Some of those facilities include intelligence-gathering capabilities as well, including a Chinese base in Djibouti on the Horn of Africa, Beijing’s only military base outside the Pacific region, where China has been working to build a facility for gathering signals intelligence."

wsj.com/articles/beijing-plans

古巴突然跟韓國建交這事透著古怪:

“路透社報導,南韓外交部在聲明中指出,雙方聯合國(UN)代表已在紐約互致信函,同意建立大使級別外交關係。

此外,古巴今天也宣布與南韓建交。古巴外交部發表簡短聲明表示:「2024年2月14日,古巴與南韓建立了外交和領事關係。」”

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202402150

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