台灣備戰需要雙重加速: 爭取短期內購入軍備與強化軍員實戰能力.
"U.S. officials, former Taiwanese military leaders and security experts say they believe that means Taiwan needs to do more to ensure it can inflict enough damage to discourage an invading force or hold it off until the arrival of help—possibly from the U.S. After years of increases in military spending, China now has around 100 times as many ground force personnel as Taiwan and a military budget 25 times as large, according to Pentagon data."
中國武裝攻擊前,致力打擊台灣自衛信心的動機: PLA逾卌年無實戰經驗,且有印太鄰國的包圍壓力。
"Launching a full-scale amphibious incursion 130 kilometers from the mainland would be a daunting exercise, and the PLA has not had major combat experience since 1979. Beijing would risk major resistance from Taipei as well as a devastating military response from Washington. In addition, it would do grave, if not, irreparable damage to its ties with the United States and the European Union, not to mention the four militarily and economically formidable democracies it counts as neighbors: Australia, India, Japan, and South Korea. Indeed, it is hard to think of an action that would do more to jeopardize China’s long-term strategic prospects. It would be far less risky for Beijing to continue its present lines of efforts: increasing its bilateral military advantage across the Taiwan Strait, working to undermine Taipei’s self-confidence, and persuading Taiwan that it will eventually have to acquiesce to resolving cross-strait tensions on China’s terms."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/05/taiwan-at-the-nexus-of-technology-and-geopolitics/
維尼帝這波堪稱細膩的整肅時機很微妙:
"報道更指出,軍隊正掀起「肅清劉亞洲餘毒」運動。軍方2月底下發通知,要求在3月份清除「劉亞洲有害訊息」,各單位以自查的方式,對照《涉劉信息資料統計表》,包括涉及劉亞洲的圖書、報紙、期刊、文章、題字、講稿等,確保清理清查全面徹底。
大陸網上流傳多份內部通知,其中一份是太原第七干休所於4月10日發出,通知下令要「全面徹底清查」所內有關劉亞洲的有害信息,除了圖書、報章、題字、演講稿、音像製品等,還包括畫冊紀念冊、歷史年鑑、史料傳記、文獻匯編、教材教案等。以這樣的清查規模,相當於把劉亞洲從歷史中完全抹掉。"
https://www.rfa.org/cantonese/news/cn-liu-04122023221803.html