日本外交隨著情勢緊繃而被迫明確。

"日本外交藍皮書是日本基於本身的外交立場,紀錄近期的國際情勢與外交動向,外務省每年都會製作。

今年藍皮書中,對台灣的記載延續去年的立場與文字,指台灣對日本而言「是極為重要的夥伴、重要的朋友」。"

"內文並首度提到,中國公務船在釣魚台列嶼(日本稱「尖閣諸島」)周遭的活動是「違反國際法」;對中國允許動武的海警法有「深刻的疑慮」。"

cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/2021

第一島鏈鏈頭的北國糾葛。

"根據蘇聯最高決策機關共產黨政治局1972年8月3日磋商改善對日關係的一系列機密文件,蘇聯明確認識到二次大戰後尚未劃定日蘇的領土和邊界,必須透過雙邊和平條約決定。蘇方對日美同盟感到不安,要求日本和駐日美軍承諾不會攻擊蘇聯,做為向日本移交兩島的回報,並希望取得日方的經濟援助。

蘇聯外交部、國家安全委員會(KGB)和國防部警告,中國為了阻止蘇聯與日本改善關係,正加速推動日中關係正常化。政治局因而認定,改善對日關係、締結和平條約是蘇聯外交首要課題之一,同意按照以移交兩島為核心的和平條約草案,對日展開交涉,但拒絕日方歸還4島的要求。

和平條約草案將「不以武力威脅和不動武」、「不讓第三方利用本國領土採取給對方帶來軍事上損害的行為」訂為雙方義務,並寫明基於1956年的「日蘇共同宣言」,同意移交齒舞和色丹兩島,但日方必須使兩島「永久非軍事化」,日蘇「同意邊界最終劃定」,並載明「將來不提任何領土要求」。

然而,政治局在接獲外交部指稱日本要求歸還4島要求不變的報告後,立場轉為強硬,1973年10月與來訪的日本首相田中角榮會談時,蘇方連領土問題的存在都不予承認,也未向日方出示以移交兩島做為核心的和平條約草案。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

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俄中兄弟艦隊出沒日本海域催化出北約駐日辦公室:

"目前代表北約協調與日本事務的丹麥駐日本大使塔克索─簡森(Peter Taksoe-Jensen)指出,自北約上一份戰略概念於二○一○年發表以來,地緣政治面貌已經大幅改變,當年連提都沒提到中國,如今北約已認知中國的崛起會、而且可能影響跨歐洲安全。未來北約─日本的合作將聚焦在跨區域挑戰,如網路威脅、破壞性科技和假資訊活動,"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/pap

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東北亞政權交替後與北約交好的戰略走向一致:

"尹錫悅政權取代被指傾向於中國和北韓的前任文在寅政權,去年5月剛剛起步,同年12月就制定了韓國自身的「印太戰略」,中心內容是要與享有共同價值的美日協同合作,並明文記錄「臺灣海峽的穩定對於朝鮮半島和平也很重要」,要加強與日美及NATO的合作,政策出現明確轉向。"

"日本和NATO雖然2010年就已經簽訂了情報保護協定,但雙方開始緊密合作的契機,則是2014年5月時任日本首相安倍晉三訪問位於布魯塞爾的NATO總部,發表演說呼籲要警惕中國異常的軍備擴張。安倍以中國在南海和尖閣諸島(釣魚臺)周邊的挑釁行動為例證,要求NATO成員國嚴格管控對中國的武器出口,還發表了旨在深化日本與NATO之間基於共同價值和戰略利益開展相互合作的「合作夥伴國合作計畫(IPCP)」。"

nippon.com/hk/in-depth/d00884/

紐時這篇認為台灣海峽是美日韓三方的共同利益點:

"Seoul, Tokyo and Washington share a strong common interest in keeping peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait.

Security analysts fear that China might attempt to invade Taiwan, similar to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. If that happened, some experts warn that North Korea might take the opportunity to start a war on the Korean Peninsula and realize its own territorial ambitions.

Such a move would open two simultaneous battlefronts for the American military in the region."

nytimes.com/2023/05/07/world/a

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認同美日韓利益相同觀點的WSJ則另外指出中日韓三方會談的中斷尚待恢復:

[ China is the largest trading partner of both Japan and South Korea. Three-way summits between China, Japan and South Korea haven’t taken place since 2019, as Tokyo and Seoul argued over the forced-labor issue. Officials from the three nations have said they are considering resuming trilateral summitry this year.

“Implicitly South Korea and Japan will be discussing how to make themselves more resilient against China’s economic coercion as they cooperate more closely with the U.S.,” Prof. Kim said. ]

wsj.com/articles/japans-kishid

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日韓和好的站隊米國具有象徵性:

"More broadly, the entire U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy rests on working in concert with allies and partners in the region. It’s easier to align our approach to bolstering Indo-Pacific security and advancing a free and open Indo-Pacific — two of the goals of the administration’s strategy — if our partners in the region are also able to work more closely together on such issues. The message this sends about ally unity and the ability of the United States and its allies in the region to overcome difficulties for the sake of shared priorities is also important.

So Yoon and Kishida’s efforts to mend ties between their countries are generally seen as a plus from the perspective of the U.S. government, which has been consistently encouraging the two sides and strongly welcomed the leaders’ initiative."

usip.org/publications/2023/03/

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