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Russian losses after strikes on refineries minus 10-15% of daily oil refining – Bloomberg.

Gunvor Group Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Torbjörn Törnqvist estimates about 600,000 barrels of Russia’s daily oil-refining capacity has been knocked out by Ukrainian drone strikes.

"It is significant because obviously this is gonna hit the distillate exports straight away," Törnqvist said during an interview at the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston on Monday. "So that will probably take down exports by a couple of hundred thousand barrels, so to me it’s a distillate problem."

@ukrainejournal

TOP NEWS TODAY

🇨🇿 Czech FM said it had so far secured 300,000 shells to Ukraine, first deliveries before June.

🇪🇸 Ukraine will receive another 20 Leopard 2A4 tanks from Spain, - InfoDefensa.

🚀 Last month, Ukraine began production of missiles with a range of more than 640 km.

💪 "There will be new defense packages, in particular scarce artillery", - Zelensky

🇫🇮 Finland handed over several combat boats to Ukraine, personnel train in Romania.

🇽🇰 Kosovo will send two packages of military aid to Ukraine: mortar rounds, armored vehicles.

🔥 Ukraine has sunk or damaged about 20 ships of the Russian fleet, - Lloyd Austin

✈️  Engels airfield, where the Russian strategic aviation is based, was attacked by UAVs!

🇨🇦 Canada wants to buy Ukrainian-made drones, - Bill Blair

🇪🇺 EC paid out €4.5 billion to Ukraine — first tranche of macro-financial assistance.

😏 An air defence system similar to NASAMS is being developed in Ukraine.
@ukrainejournal

Americans and British fear that the German state has been infiltrated by Russia and avoid cooperation

The United States and the United Kingdom are working closely together to counter Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Information is also shared with Poland and the Baltic states, but not with Germany. This is what Olga Husieva, a researcher at the Institute for Security Politics (ISPK) at the University of Kiel, told the authoritative Spanish newspaper El País : "This expert warns that Germany has been excluded from this cooperation for fear of infiltration by Russian spies into the German intelligence services."
Husieva considers it "very possible" that the cooperating countries will also operate jointly militarily in Ukraine in the future. The article deals with the latter option, in particular the question to what extent soldiers from NATO countries are already active. All experts agree that this is already the case and that Dutch soldiers are also active in Ukraine. “That's no secret,” Husieva said. This concerns advisors who provide training and investigate the effectiveness of the weapons supplied by allies. This is also necessary to prepare for a further escalation of the war to other European and/or NATO countries. The experts believe that it is a matter of time before that presence is expanded now that Ukraine is receiving more advanced weapons, such as the Dutch F-16s.
No NATO soldiers are fighting with the Ukrainian army. However, the Western armed forces are in close contact with Western volunteers, i.e. former soldiers, who have served in the Ukrainian army.
The direct reason for the article is French President Macron's warning that his country is prepared to send troops to Ukraine if necessary to prevent the country from being taken over by Russian imperialists. Last week, Macron repeated that warning . The experts say that the warning words are mainly intended to present the Russian aggressor Putin with a new dilemma and increase the risk of his military operations for him.

@ukrainejournal

⚡️ 31 MISSILES DESTROYED: 2 – BALLISTIC, 29 – cruise missiles
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
On the night of March 21, 2024, the enemy attacked with two ballistic/aeroballistic missiles "Iskander-M" (KN-23) / Kh-47M2 "Kinzhal", as well as 29 cruise missiles Kh-101/Kh-555 from 11 strategic bombers Tu-95MS (launch areas - Volgodonsk, Engels - Russian Federation).

The rockets came from the north, the main direction of the attack – Kyiv!

💥 Anti-aircraft missile units of the Air Force and mobile fire groups of the Defense Forces of Ukraine were involved in repelling the air attack.
As a result of successful combat work, all enemy missiles were shot down in the Kyiv region!

🤝 I thank everyone for the result and the saved lives of citizens.
Together to victory!
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
🇺🇦 Air Force Commander Lieutenant General Mykola Oleschuk

@ukrainejournal

11 bombers were out on the tarmac when the raid started. Might be why Russia hit Kyiv with everything last night

❗️ Ukrainian drones “hit targets” at an airfield in the Russian city of Engels, a source in the Main Intelligence Directorate told Radio Liberty .

At the same time, it is not disclosed which targets were hit and their number. The results are still being clarified, say the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate.

During the night, the city of Engels, in the Saratov region of ruzzia, was attacked by drones, which was confirmed by the regional governor - who true to ruzzian tradition said there were no casualties or damage. Local telegram channels published videos in which the sounds of explosions could be heard.

📌 It is known that the air base of the Russian strategic aviation is located in Engels. Tu-160 and Tu-95 MS bombers that are used to attack Ukraine are based there.

"Supporting Ukraine is not charity, but a way to Make America Great Again," stated General Tod Walters, former commander of US and NATO forces in Europe.

"In a column for the Atlantic Council, Walters argues that all but the shortest wars are fought in stages, often reaching a stalemate when both sides need to rearm and train their personnel before further operations can proceed.

He sees the current situation as a limited period for rearmament and Ukraine's reassessment of its theory of victory. Walters views President Zelensky's replacement of the head of the Armed Forces as a prudent step toward laying the foundation for a new approach to victory.

Walters believes that continued support for Ukraine will have a significant impact on the lives of most Americans:

- Confirming the global superiority of the USA without the loss of American lives.
- Further enhancing US global leadership, particularly in matters of artificial intelligence and space activities.
- Inflicting a military defeat on Russia through an updated American defense and industrial base, prompting China to reconsider the United States' ability and willingness to defend Taiwan.

However, if the United States fails to support Ukraine, Walters warns of adverse consequences:

- An emboldened Russia is likely to continue sowing global discord.
- Europe may seek to reduce its reliance on the American defense industry and military cooperation.
- The ability of the United States to protect its global interests may diminish as countries become reluctant to cooperate with an unreliable partner.

Walters meticulously analyzes and counters the arguments of opponents who advocate discontinuing aid to Ukraine.

He concludes by emphasizing that supporting Ukraine is not an act of charity but a means for the United States to reassert itself at a time when its influence is waning. Turning its back on Ukraine would leave its allies vulnerable, potentially triggering a series of failures for America that could last for decades.

From "The Analyst":

FRONTLINE UPDATE

There is still a good deal of activity around the borders of Belgorod. The Russian forces have deployed anti-air defences because a large number of drones and even short range missile artillery keeps hitting infrastructure in the city. Quite what the intention or even strategy of the Free Russia forces are is hard to fathom. It seems more like they intend to cause major distraction but little else.
However the Law of Unintended Consequences is making an appearance. Having poked the hornet’s nest, Russian forces have started shelling border villages and the Ukrainian border units have pulled back slightly to avoid the threat. The Liberation forces seem to expect they will pull Russian forces away from further south in the combat zone - yet they look like they could just end up causing more problems by making the Russians pay too much attention to the area and extend the front further.
There has been no change to the front at all until we get to Avdivka. The Russians have actually been pushed back on the northern part of the sector - where they posed the most danger of being able to get behind the river and the Ukrainian defence line. This is very welcome news.
In the central part of the Avdivka front the Russians have been slowed to a crawl, their rapid advances now a thing of the past. They seem to be loosing momentum exponentially, having used their entire reserves.
All along the rest of the East/SouthEast front there has been no further movement - this is quite significant and it shows how draining the Avdivka battle was for them.
The Robotyne salient however has shown Russian gains over almost all of their Surovikin line defences. The SE section of the salient is now very much under Russian control.
The battles in Krynky have died down but the Russians claim to be trying to take the southern side of the ruined Antonovsky Bridge. They’ve been trying that for over 8 months.
In other news there’s growing concern that the availability of commercial satellite images of Ukraine - often taken to order, are being obtained by Russia.
A recent study showed that photos of several targets in Ukraine were followed within 48 hours by a missile strike and then a request for photos of the same site (to check for damage) were requested usually within 24 hours.
This has caused some serious alarm - several companies know that supplying images to Russia is illegal but legitimate requests could be made by almost anyone who then pass them on. The companies say they vet such requests but there are thousands of people in various walks of life from bloggers to strategic analysts, who pay for these images to provide content. It doesn’t seem that difficult that the Russians found a way to get around the problem. So the question is what to do about it?

Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!

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