TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@qoto.org

From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX

HEAVY STRIKES INTO RUSSIAN TERRITORY

First I have to acknowledge that the Ukrainians themselves have announced that ten F-16 were delivered and are currently operating inside the country.
Pretty much a whole squadron, depending on how many you have in that grouping. Some countries it’s as few as 8 some as high as 12. Yesterday official video was released and deliberate fly-overs continued in Odesa and western Ukrainian cities, mostly as morale boosters.
The range and level of Ukrainian strikes against key Russian support targets in Luhansk and Donetsk continues whenever they can isolate a target of importance. Yesterday they hit several buildings around Luhansk that were linked to machinery repair for the Russian army, seemingly disguised and de-centralised. Ukrainian intelligence must have picked up a pattern of equipment moving from one site to another and they hit the entire complex of buildings. The resulting fires and explosions demonstrated they had clearly hit something of value, as smoke billowed skyward and fire raged.
The pressure on what’s left of the Russian Black Sea Fleet and the supply effort for refuelling transports and warship in the Sea of Azov again reared its head.
In Sevastopol the Kilo class submarine that was damaged last year in a Storm Shadow attack, was sunk for good while undergoing repairs.
Last night the Azov port refuelling piers, the remaining operational fuel reserves tanks and much of the associated port complex used for transferring equipment along the coast and to Crimea, was hit in a massive series of attacks that have gone from simply disabling it to outright destruction. The oil tanks are ablaze as is the port itself.
Having gone from attacking the key parts of oil refineries- the cracking plant that separates the oil derivatives into different fuels, Ukraine has been concentrating on storage sites and tanks. Doing this becomes not only an incredibly difficult operation to put out for Russian fire services - they often can’t and have to leave it to burn out - but it can spread to other tanks in the right wind conditions. Either way such a fire usually means the whole site is unavailable and off line causing ever more problems for the refining industry. That in turn puts pressure on the Russian military and civil sectors as refined oil product like petrol and diesel prices soar at the pumps, and Russia is forced to buy in from neighbours.
Amusingly the devastated oil tanks in Azov were blamed by local authorities not on the visible and explosive Ukrainian drones but on ‘a cigarette thrown from a car window that ignited dry grass, setting an intense fire that spread into the oil depot’.
The loss of yet another repair site deep inside Luhansk has got to be a blow. Russian military vehicles are already far fewer that they were, their reckless and feckless use leading to such heavy losses. So when damaged units are repaired they contribute hugely to maintaining the war. And repairs matter even more when equipment gets scarcer. It’s unlikely just the buildings either - trained mechanics and stores of spares would have been destroyed too.
Each and every attack makes it more and more evident to Russians themselves that the war has come home. Their airspace is far from secure, their economy is under constant attack. Every day is more expense on things Russia has no money or means to easily fix.

So what do we know from the Ukrainian footage of the F-16?
First they were delivered with drop tanks that can carry an additional 360 litres each. The F-16 can carry as many as three, one under each wing and one under the centre line. That adds as much as 40 minutes of operating time, so overall could as much as double its operating range.
CONTINUED..

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From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX

MAJOR ASSAULT ON KONSTANTINIVKA

The Russians have tried repeatedly to attack the town from the east, but have been repelled by Ukrainian defenders on three occasions in the last few weeks.
However over the weekend they launched an assault from the north, using the village of Pobeda they captured four weeks ago, to try and outflank the defenders.
Konstantinivka is reaching the point that Russian forces can come from the north, south and east, and its relatively isolated, surrounded by vast areas of agricultural land. Its capture would unlock a large area of territory that’s hard to defend.
Also, by approaching from another direction and moving quickly, the Russians aimed to avoid another manpower sapping frontal attack.
The manpower issue is becoming a concern for the Russians as recruitment dries up. Despite major incentives of 1.9 million rubles ($2,200) as a signing bonus from Moscow, plus regional governments being instructed to add another $2,000, plus $2,200 a month in salary - the three combined are twice the average annual pay in Russia and a small fortune. Yet few take it up, largely because the government’s reputation for actually paying up is atrocious. They often use contractual get out clauses to find a way not to.
So manpower is starting to matter to the Russians, after having burned out half a million men in wasteful attacks.
With this in mind, the Russians launched a major high speed armoured assault.
The advantage they had was the road from Marinka through Pobeda linked directly to the target.
However the Ukrainians had fortified a vineyard and terraces above the road to its west, giving them a clear view of anything coming down it. The Russians knew this and managed to destroy at least 1 Leopard 1A5 with drones while shelling the terraces. The knew there were other tanks there too waiting to counter attack, but couldn’t find them.
The main Russian assault was designed to push out the defenders from the vineyard and then open the way for the attack on Konstantinivka directly, having seized the ground to its northeast.
Video clearly shows the scale and speed of the Russian assault, but despite their preparatory attacks on the defenders, the column coming down the road found itself under intense fire, the Ukrainians launching everything they had in well coordinated strikes.
Russian IFV types are blowing up on mines, smashed by artillery and crippled by kamikaze drone attacks.
The few Russian troops who made it close to the vineyard were rapidly attacked by drones and Ukrainian defenders.
While all this was going on the Russians did manage to advance relatively unscathed a couple of hundred meters above the vineyard.
Overall the loss in vehicles and the complete failure of the attack came as another rude shock.
The Russians constantly underestimate the defence and do not have the capacity to attack in sufficient strength without a far greater force they seem unable to muster, as the almost continuous offensive they started in the spring is finally looking exhausted.

‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!

⚫ Until Hezbollah figures out how it will “respond” to Israel, the Jewish state continues to hunt down Hezbollah commanders and elite fighters like it is duck season.

Hussain Abdul-Hussain

⚫ Before Iran targets civilians and children in Israel tonight or later, remember its past actions. Iran has attacked Saudi Arabia, killed half a million Syrians and one million Iraqis, supported the Sudanese army in displacing nine million citizens, destroyed Lebanon, and backed terrorists in Gaza and Yemen. Iran, not Israel, is the aggressor behind today's attack on the American base. This is why we must stand against them. The Muslim Brotherhood and Iran’s regime are part of the problem, not the solution. No Arab country will allow rockets or drones to pass toward Israel or any other nation—except those under Iran's influence.

Amjad Taha

⚫ The Houthis have begun their invasion of Israel, their first wave is here.. they plan to take Jerusalem!

⚫ On August 5 in the evening, Ali Jamal al-Din Jawad, a senior commander in the Radwan force, was killed. The assassination took place in the village of Ebba in southern Lebanon. Jawad was born in 1987 and is originally from the village of Zebqine. From the IDF announcement it can be understood that Jawad played a significant operational role in the Radwan unit and his elimination significantly harms Radwan's ability to carry out planned activities against Israeli territory and its citizens. The main role of the Radwan unit is to carry out special operations such as infiltrating Israeli territory, taking over territory such as communities and bases, killing and kidnapping civilians and soldiers.

Israel Alma

Hezbollah has not yet made up it's mind how to respond. Meanwhile, Israel keeps killing operatives.

⚫ Multiple Hezbollah operatives were reportedly killed in an alleged Israeli airstrike on the southern Lebanese village of Meifadoun. Hezbollah confirms the death of one of its operatives, while Saudi Al-Hadath names another as Amin Badreddine, nephew of killed senior Hezbollah official Mustafa Badreddine who was accused of assassinating former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Al-Hariri. Lebanese media reports of another deadly airstrike on the village of Addeiseh.

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/donald-trumps-revenge-tour-crashes-and-burns/57571/

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/donald-trump-having-a-nervous-breakdown/57561/

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/senile-donald-trump-goes-insane-about-kamabla-harris/57562/

Good morning Resisters everywhere

I do not trust Musk one tiny bit

https://steady.substack.com/p/whos-minding-musk

Going off to start dinner. It takes an hour and 15 minutes to cook. So Goodnight Resisters.

❗️ Russians have created and are distributing a fake web application called "Reserve+" to collect the personal data of Ukrainians.

"Reserve+" is a Ukrainian app for people liable for military service where they can update their data.

The fake Russian links mimic the original name reserveplus.mod.gov.ua but end in .top, .website, .org, etc. The Ministry of Defense said it is already working to ensure data protection.

@liveukraine_media

Up to 6 missiles were launched at Kyiv. Air defense is working.

⬜ The Knesset building was illuminated in orange at the request of the Bibas family to celebrate Ariel Bibas's fifth birthday.

Ariel Bibas, 5, and his brother Kfir, 1, are still being held hostage by Hamas in Gaza

Dad's are the strongest hugs🫶
Children meet border guard dads who have returned home from the front line.

Good Night to you! Stand with Ukraine! 🗺

@ukrainejournal

Operational information as of 22.00 05.08.2024 regarding the Russian invasion

The defense forces continue to courageously defend Ukraine.
Since the beginning of the day, 108 combat clashes have taken place, the enemy has carried out four missile strikes using four missiles, 36 air strikes using 43 anti-aircraft missiles, carried out 558 kamikaze drone strikes and almost 3,400 attacks on the positions of our troops and populated areas using various types of weapons.

In the Kharkiv direction, during the day, the occupiers conducted four attacks near Tykhi and Vovchansk. Units of the Defense Forces have successfully repelled three enemy assaults, another battle is ongoing. According to preliminary information, since the beginning of the day, the enemy's losses amounted to 90 dead and wounded occupiers, six artillery systems, an infantry fighting vehicle, 34 unmanned aerial vehicles, three units of special equipment and a car were destroyed. In addition, six artillery systems, eight units of vehicles and three units of special equipment of the enemy were damaged.

In the Kupian direction, the Defense Forces repulsed three enemy attacks in the Petropavlivka, Berestovo and Stelmakhivka areas, another battle is ongoing, the situation is under control.

Eight times the enemy attacked in the Lymansky direction , tried to advance in the direction of the settlements of Makiivka, Terny, Nevske and in the Serebryansky forest, currently the battle is going on near Terny.

On the Siverskyi direction, during the day, our defenders repelled ten enemy assaults in the Ivano-Daryivka, Verkhnyokamyanskyi, Pereiznyi and Vyimka districts. Fighting is still going on in one location.

11 combat clashes took place in the Kramatorsk direction . The occupiers were active in the area of ​​Chasovoy Yar and Ivanivskoye, six enemy attempts to dislodge us from our positions proved futile, five attacks are ongoing. The situation is under control.

With the support of aviation, the enemy tried 23 times to penetrate our defenses in the direction of Toretsk . During the day, the occupiers attacked the positions of Ukrainian defenders near the settlements of Severnye, Toretsk and New York. 15 assaults have been repelled, eight attacks are still ongoing.

Since the beginning of the day, in the Pokrovsky direction, 24 offensive and assault actions of the enemy have been repulsed in the areas of Panteleimonivka, Novooleksandrivka, Vozdvizhenka, Ivanivka, Zhelannogo, Novoselivka Pershoya and Yasnobrodivka. Seven more clashes are ongoing. Our troops are taking measures to maintain the designated borders. The losses of the enemy, known at the moment, amount to more than 150 eliminated and wounded occupiers, Ukrainian servicemen also destroyed two artillery systems, two BBM, three unmanned aerial vehicles, two units of automobiles and three special equipment. In addition, two anti-aircraft guns, two vehicles and three enemy artillery systems were damaged.

At this time of the day, there are five combat clashes in the Kurakhiv direction . The invaders remain active, trying to advance in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Georgiivka and Kostyantynivka settlements. Units of the Defense Forces are currently repelling two attacks by the occupiers, three attacks have already ended without success for the enemy.

Two skirmishes took place in the direction of Vremivsk in the direction of Vodyanyi and Rozdolny. All enemy assaults were choked.
In the Orihiv direction, our troops repelled one enemy attack in the Robotyny direction, the enemy was unsuccessful .

In the Dnieper direction, units of our troops successfully repelled five enemy attacks on our positions.

Today we celebrate the soldiers of 100 separate mechanized brigades , who confidently hold the lines and repelled more than a dozen enemy assaults today.

Glory to the Ukrainian soldiers!
Glory to Ukraine!

@ukrainejournal

https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/clarence-thomas-has-insane-new-scandal/57560/