TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@qoto.org
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2993. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
Drones attacked the Chkalovsky military airfield outside Moscow, according to local residents
In Shchyolkovo near Moscow the residents heard gunfire and an alarm.
The outcome of the attack is not known. Enemy channels claim that the UAVs were shot down.
Psychologically the attack will likely increase the alarm in russia of the Ukrainian counter-attack and increase the pressure on Putin and the military leadership.
Ukrainian military counterintelligence and Warriors from the 95th Separate Polesian Air Assault Brigade used a drone with a loudspeaker to convince a Russian occupier to voluntarily lay down his arms and surrender.
Ukraine prepares for potential russian attack on "Decision-Making Centers" following Ukrainian Armed Forces counter-attack in the Kursk Region
Kyiv is preparing for the possibility that russia may launch missile strikes on parliament and other government buildings in response to the Ukrainian Armed Forces' (UAF) incursion into the Kursk region, a senior Ukrainian defence ministry source told The Times.
"Russia feels the need to give a very tough response, something big, to show the world that it is all-powerful and that something like Kursk will not go unpunished," the source said.
According to him, Russia could launch "not just four missiles" at Kyiv, but hundreds, including cruise and ballistic missiles.
"And this could become a big problem for our air defense. But I believe that we will be able to stop them," the representative of the Ukrainian military department noted.
Another Ukrainian official confirmed Russia's preparations for a large-scale missile attack on "decision-making centers" in Ukraine in a conversation with AFP.
BREAKING NEWS
Ukraine is storming the Kolotilovka border crossing into the Belgorod oblast - apparently started a couple of hours ago.
This could finally give us a clue as to what the real objectives are. Belgorod is a vital core centre for military supplies along the whole eastern front.
The objective won’t be taking the city, just cutting the logistics lines and support for frontal operations.
The Analyst, Military & Strategic
@Dianna_DiDi
From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX
UKRAINIAN OPSEC V. RUSSIAN
The one highly commendable aspect of the Kursk campaign was the complete cone of silence the Ukrainians managed to hold until the operation started. Nobody had a clue about it and the Russians missed it completely.
Furthermore that operational security blanket has continued with mappers told to keep quiet and only open source information available to those who can access it.
Ukrainian officially released video tends to be out dated or planned to increase the confusion in the Russian side.
On the Russian side, the mayhem has been verging on the hysteria. Simple questions about who was where and what was what, demands for orders, announcements of retreats, losses, panicky spotting of Ukrainian forces in places they may or may not have been. All of this continues.
The defence ministry has lost so much credibility in Putin’s eyes that the whole operation has been deemed a counter-terrorist activity and command given to the FSB.
I cannot think of anything more likely to sow yet more confusion between command structures and available forces.
Russian inflexibility and the lack of initiative, communication failures, overly centralised command with little local authority for commanders to take action, is specifically designed to ensure authoritarian leadership has control over the state. However it doesn’t work when emergency response is required. It’s always been a major Russian weakness, and we saw it during Prighozhin’s thunder run to Moscow - government doesn’t know what to do.
Meanwhile the Ukrainian disinformation and propaganda machine ensures Russia is kept off guard while maintaining a drip feed of real information to the outside world. Letting open source analysis do some of the work for it - which is having a highly detrimental effect on the Russians.
Their state of confusion is so bad it’s almost shocking.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2993. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
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