TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@qoto.org
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian Z fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
❗️❗️Russia targeted the dam of the Kyiv Sea, located north of the capital, with a missile hitting it.
If the dam were to fail, millions of people living downstream could face deadly consequences.
🪐 Subscribe to Live: Ukraine
❗️Explosions in Kyiv at this hour as Ukraine is currently under a massive Russian missile and drone attack from land, air and sea.
Updates to follow.
📢 Subscribe to Kyiv Post
Ukraine is under massive missile attack.
Sheltering in the metro during this morning's 8 hour Russian missile attack, Kyiv residents sing "How not to love you, my Kyiv!"
📹: Ukrinform
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Operational information of the General Staff of Ukraine as of 08.00 on 08/25/2024 regarding the Russian invasion
Glory to Ukraine!
The nine hundred and fourteenth day of large-scale armed aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine has begun.
During the past day, 160 combat clashes were recorded. The hottest situation was in the Pokrovsky direction.
According to detailed information, yesterday the enemy hit the positions of Ukrainian units and settlements five times with 15 missiles and 95 airstrikes, dropping 127 anti-aircraft missiles. In addition, he carried out more than 4,800 attacks, 143 of them from rocket salvo systems.
The aggressor carried out airstrikes in the areas of Svesa, Pervomaiske, Druzhba, Katerynivka, Yunakivka, Kindrativka, Velika Pisarivka settlements of the Sumy region; Hoptivka, Kozacha Lopan, Petropavlivka, Kharkiv region; Chasiv Yar, Dilyivka, Shcherbynivka, Zalizne, Druzhba, Toretsk, Oleksandro-Shultine, Memryk, Oleksandropil, Myrnograd, Vozdvizhenka, Dolynivka, Vugledar, Kostyantynivka, Rozdolne, Velika Novosilka of the Donetsk region; Lobkovo, Pyatikhatky, Novoandriivka of the Zaporizhzhia region; Novotyaginka, Burgunka, Tomarine, Zmiivka, Kherson region.
Yesterday, the aviation and missile troops and artillery of the Defense Forces made 14 strikes on the areas of concentration of personnel and anti-aircraft defenses of the enemy. In addition, the control post, four artillery systems, two radars, two remote mining systems and an ammunition depot were hit.
In the Kharkiv direction, three battles were fought near Hlyboky and Vovchansk.
The enemy attacked 14 times in the Kupian direction. Defense forces repelled assaults near Novoselivka, Stelmakhivka, Synkivka, and Hlushkivka.
There were also 14 skirmishes near Druzhelyubivka, Makiivka, Novosadovo, Nevsky, and Dibrova in the Lymansky direction.
Nine combat clashes took place in the Seversky direction. Ukrainian defenders repelled the assaults of the Russian invaders near Verkhnokamyanskyi, Bilogorivka, Viimka, and Spirny.
In the Kramatorsk direction, the Russians attacked 19 times near Stupochky, Chasovoy Yar, Kalynyvka, Hryhorivka, Predtechyny.
In the Toretsk direction, 14 battles were fought near Nelipivka, Toretsk, New York and Diliivka.
In the Pokrovsky direction, our defenders repelled 58 enemy assaults, in particular, in the areas of the settlements of Vozdvizhenka, Kalinove, Zelene Pole, Myrolyubivka, Grodivka, Ptyche, Novogrodivka. The greatest concentration of attacks was near Novogrodivka and Kalinovo.
In the direction of Kurakhivka, the Defense Forces stopped 18 enemy attacks near Karlivka, Georgiivka, Mykhailivka, Krasnohorivka, and Kostyantynivka.
In the direction of Vremivsk, the Russian invaders advanced eight times in the direction of Vodyanyi, Ugledar and Katerynivka. They had no success.
There were three skirmishes near Novoandriivka and Shcherbaki in the Orihiv direction.
In the Gulyaipil and Prydniprovsky directions, the situation has not changed much.
No signs of the formation of enemy offensive groups were detected in the Volyn and Poliske directions.
On the border with the Chernihiv and Sumy regions, the enemy maintains a military presence, carries out mortar and artillery attacks on populated areas from the territory of the Russian Federation.
At the same time, our soldiers continue to actively inflict significant losses in manpower and equipment on the occupying troops, exhausting the enemy along the entire line of battle .
In general, the Russian invaders lost 1,190 people last day. Ukrainian soldiers also destroyed five tanks, 11 armored fighting vehicles, 47 artillery systems, two anti-aircraft guns, an air defense vehicle, 31 operational-tactical unmanned aerial vehicles, 92 vehicles and 17 units of special equipment of the occupiers.
Join the ranks of the Armed Forces!
Our strength is unity! Glory to Ukraine!
@ukrainejournal
CONTINUES…
They have already reached several very good defence lines with rivers and hills to aid them.
It’s now got to start to be about consolidation in many areas and preparing to defend what they have taken.
The eastern part of the operation seems to be held up a little- again largely due to consolidation and Russian skirmishing units.
My concern is that this incursion is itself a large and concerning protrusion that will eventually have to be defended on three sides. Let alone on its flanks at the international border - all of which will have to be defended against near certain Russian operations.
It’s either that or the Russians simply ignore it, concentrate on the central front, where they gain ground daily and do nothing more than contain what Ukraine has taken until they choose to do something in their own time.
Right now I think the Russians see this as a very unwelcome and embarrassing distraction. It’s the main front that wins and loses this war in their minds.
Ukraine has done well to take so much land - it may take yet more, but I honestly struggle to see what use it’s going to be in the mid-term fight.
Russian acquiescence in its existence is the worst possible outcome. By the end of September we’ll have a far better idea of where and how this is going to play out.
I still think it’s all a waste of men and resources. If this lot had been used to pinch off the huge salient the Russians have built in the central front, before they could have built defences, it could have been decisive in slowing them down and even stopping them in my view. But there we go- we have what we have and now we have to watch it develop for good or ill.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
MILITARY & STRATEGIC:
RUSSIAN KORNEVO COLLAPSE
Ukrainian forces were able to catch the Russian defenders completely off guard, breaking through into this key town on the northern part of the Kursk salient.
The Ukrainian advance had been slowed by reservoirs and the Krepna river on one side, which allowed the Russians to build up defensive forces on their side of it.
The Ukrainians already had control of a small village, Shiravli, but the roads and basic infrastructure were far from conducive to a major military operation to get behind the Russians.
Once over the river the Ukrainians could turn and head west through three smaller villages north of the river, and push the Russians out - eventually bringing them to Kornevo, the key town.
To the east of the salient Ukrainian forces are engaging scattered groups of Russian naval infantry whose aim is to skirmish with Ukrainian units to slow them down - they don’t expect to stop them. Ukraine needs to push from the south through the Russian naval infantry, north, then swing some of those units west to join at Shiravli. They can then push west with other units to capture Kornevo in a giant right hook.
South of Kornevo, Russian forces are relatively weak, most of them actually being in the town.
The Ukrainians managed to capture three key villages south of the town putting them in a secure position if the Russians made a move. The large forest south of Kornevo permitted the Ukrainians to sneak into the area and get close.
Sensing alarm at Ukrainian moves the commander of the Russian forces decided to deploy some of his units to the flanks outside of the town - they believed they had managed to stop the Ukrainians as they had made no move against Kornevo itself. This thinned his forces in the town to try and hold up any advance through the north bank villages and south of the forest.
The Ukrainians are experts at spotting opportunities and quickly saw what had happened - launching a rapid strike into Kornevo and pushing the Russians half way out of the town before they knew what was even happening. At the same time the Ukrainian forces exploited the diluted forces on the flanks and attacked those too.
The Russians appear to be completely overwhelmed in the town and have no reserves to support them, so much so that the loss of the town is seen as inevitable.
Ukrainians have forced the remaining Russian flanking forces into headlong retreat.
The Russian naval infantry was largely defeated - so much so that the Ukrainian forces managed to get so far behind their lines they captured their EW anti-drone vehicle intact.
The swift moving Ukrainians have been too much for the Russians who are not used or trained for this type of operation.
However we need to look more deeply at what the Russians are doing because it falls in line with what I said over a week ago. We need to be very aware this is how Russian forces manage these scenarios.
They have - and their propaganda backs it up, accepted the loss of territory for now and they know they will lose more. All they can do is exactly what the naval infantry are doing - delays and ambush and skirmish.
If they can defend a town and slow the Ukrainians up that’s what they will do, but high command doesn’t truly expect it to work. It’s all about gaining time. Meanwhile they will build defensive positions out of reach and prepare forces at a distance for either a line defence or for an eventual counter attack.
They have accepted the Ukrainians have the initiative right now - but they have land and patience enough to wait until they are ready to react.
This is exactly how they operated once the shock of invasion passed in 1941. Sacrificial delays while troops were dragged in from other places to mount a defence at a place of their choosing.
What Ukraine has to decide is how far it really wants to go, and not play into Russian hands and attack their defence lines which are some 20km or more away.
Ukraine needs to assess its own defensive positions, not get greedy or over extend itself. CONTINUES…
From the anonymous military analyst
KHARKIV COUNTER OFFENSIVE
It’s been coming a while but the Ukrainians do seem to have engaged in a counter offensive in the Kharkiv sector. The OPSEC is tight but the move seems to be aimed at cutting off
Vovchansk from its access to the border regions behind.
With Russian forces being forced to deploy to cover the Kursk offensive further north, the timing is good.
This pressures the Russians to stay put and not interfere further north while at the same time achieving - hopefully- another major collapse of Russian positions that would be exceptionally humiliating for Putin. The whole Kharkiv operation has been a disaster from the day it started.
If Ukraine can dislodge the Russians then that places them in a position to enter Russia itself and cause mayhem in another sector of the frontline.
The whole strategic situation for Russia is changing.
The manpower issues are becoming increasingly difficult with losses running at 1300 a day. Recruitment isn’t working and even though they increased manpower in Ukraine from 400,000 to 600,000 almost all of that increase has been burned up. Moscow is faced with another round of undercover forced recruitment of another 200,000.
This has upset the big industrial war producers who are easy targets for the recruitment process because they can’t afford to loose the manpower. Putin won’t declare a public mobilisation because it’s so unpopular.
The army tends to find the softest targets and goes after those, but the regions are also complaining. Lack of manpower is resulting in infrastructure failure due to lack of maintenance and their budgets to enforce conscription and mobilisation are virtually zero.
There has been no effort to recruit women into work or industry - a move also seen as even more unpopular even as it’s technically essential.
It’s all a lesson in how, in an idealised dictatorship, the very fabric of the dictatorship fails to operate and do what it must do to survive, because it’s afraid of unsettling the people and risking its ability to survive if they get upset.
Dressing up victory and war as endless success when you aren’t winning and won’t even admit it’s a real war comes back to bite you in the end. All the pretence about what it is and why you’re doing it starts not to make so much sense. Forcing more men into the meat grinder is just another way of driving home you haven’t got a clue how to win, or when this thing can end. Even the lies start unraveling when every promise and excuse eventually falls flat or fails to materialise.
Putin only has himself to blame. He is clearly no strategic genius, just a bitter little man whose mind seems unable to focus on the details because it’s just too much to listen to. He never visits the front or meets ordinary soldiers and airmen. He never meets the injured or hands out medals to men in their hospital beds. He remains aloof and remote and isolated from reality. He’s become more and more like Hitler as the war proceeds. He could never face the public or the bombed cities, visit troops and couldn’t stand the site of injured or dead soldiers. These tyrants can never face what they have done.
Strangely enough Trump has the same feeling towards injuries and death as he made so clear again recently.
All these men in the end, are guilty cowards.
I wish the people of Ukraine well, I wish them victory and I promise to continue to do what little I can to help them win.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!
@ukrainejournal
Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov shared a heartwarming event on the city's special day—lioness Vesta gave birth to lion cubs. The mayor noted that this symbolizes strength, resilience, and the continuation of life, even amid the most challenging times. He emphasized that despite everything, "Life goes on!"
@ukrainejournal
⚡️BREAKING:
❗️Under the guise of military exercises, Belarus is drawing troops to the border with Ukraine, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said with reference to Ukrainian intelligence.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine called on Belarus "not to make tragic mistakes for its own country under the pressure of Moscow" and withdraw its troops from the border with Ukraine to a distance that exceeds the range of fire systems available in the Armed Forces of Belarus.
@ukrainejournal
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian Z fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
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