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Stochastic scheduling of autonomous mobile robots at hospitals. (arXiv:2309.12318v1 [cs.RO]) arxiv.org/abs/2309.12318

Stochastic scheduling of autonomous mobile robots at hospitals

The outbreak of the New Coronavirus has significantly increased the vulnerability of medical staff. This paper addresses the safety and stress relief of medical personnel by proposing a solution to the scheduling problem of autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) in a stochastic environment. Considering the stochastic nature of travel and service times for AMRs affected by the surrounding environment, the routes of AMRs are planned to minimize the daily cost of the hospital (including the AMR fixed cost, penalty cost of violating the time window, and transportation cost). To efficiently generate high-quality solutions, we identify several properties and incorporate them into an improved Tabu Search (I-TS) algorithm for problem-solving. Experimental evaluations demonstrate that the I-TS algorithm outperforms existing methods by producing higher-quality solutions. By leveraging the characteristics of medical request environments, we intelligently allocate an appropriate number of AMRs to efficiently provide services, resulting in substantial cost reductions for hospitals and enhanced utilization of medical resources. These findings confirm the effectiveness of the proposed stochastic programming model in determining the optimal number of AMRs and their corresponding service routes across various environmental settings.

arxiv.org

On the elastodynamics of rotating planets. (arXiv:2309.12370v1 [physics.class-ph]) arxiv.org/abs/2309.12370

On the elastodynamics of rotating planets

Equations of motion are derived for (visco)elastic, self-gravitating, and variably-rotating planets. The equations are written using a decomposition of the elastic motion that separates the body's elastic deformation from its net translational and rotational motion as far as possible. This separation is achieved by introducing degrees of freedom that represent the body's rigid motions; it is made precise by imposing constraints that are physically motivated and should be practically useful. In essence, a Tisserand frame is introduced exactly into the equations of solid mechanics. The necessary concepts are first introduced in the context of a solid body, motivated by symmetries and conservation laws, and the corresponding equations of motion are derived. Next, it is shown how those ideas and equations of motion can readily be extended to describe a layered fluid--solid body. A possibly new conservation law concerning inviscid fluids is then stated. Thereafter the equilibria and linearisation of the fluid--solid equations of motion are discussed, along with new equations for use within normal-mode coupling calculations and other Galerkin methods. Finally, the extension of these ideas to the description of multiple, interacting fluid--solid planets is qualitatively discussed.

arxiv.org

Probability of Default modelling with L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and applications in credit risk under the IFRS 9. (arXiv:2309.12384v1 [q-fin.RM]) arxiv.org/abs/2309.12384

Probability of Default modelling with Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and applications in credit risk under the IFRS 9

In this paper we develop a framework for estimating Probability of Default (PD) based on stochastic models governing an appropriate asset value processes. In particular, we build upon a Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and consider a generalized model that incorporates multiple latent variables affecting the evolution of the process. We obtain an Integral Equation (IE) formulation for the corresponding PD as a function of the initial position of the asset value process and the time until maturity, from which we then prove that the PD function satisfies an appropriate Partial Integro-Differential Equation (PIDE). These representations allow us to show that appropriate weak (viscosity) as well as strong solutions exist, and develop subsequent numerical schemes for the estimation of the PD function. Such a framework is necessary under the newly introduced International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) 9 regulation, which has imposed further requirements on the sophistication and rigor underlying credit modelling methodologies. We consider special cases of the generalized model that can be used for applications to credit risk modelling and provide examples specific to provisioning under IFRS 9, and more.

arxiv.org

Mathematical modelling of the first HIV/ZIKV co-infection cases in Colombia and Brazil. (arXiv:2309.12385v1 [q-bio.PE]) arxiv.org/abs/2309.12385

Mathematical modelling of the first HIV/ZIKV co-infection cases in Colombia and Brazil

This paper presents a mathematical model to investigate co-infection with HIV/AIDS and zika virus (ZIKV) in Colombia and Brazil, where the first cases were reported in 2015-2016. The model considers the sexual transmission dynamics of both viruses and vector-host interactions. We begin by exploring the qualitative behaviour of each model separately. Then, we analyze the dynamics of the co-infection model using the thresholds and results defined separately for each model. The model also considers the impact of intervention strategies, such as, personal protection, antiretroviral therapy (ART), and sexual protection (condoms use). Using available parameter values for Colombia and Brazil, the model is calibrated to predict the potential effect of implementing combinations of those intervention strategies on the co-infection spread. According to these findings, transmission through sexual contact is a determining factor in the long-term behaviour of these two diseases. Furthermore, it is important to note that co-infection with HIV and ZIKV may result in higher rates of HIV transmission and an increased risk of severe congenital disabilities linked to ZIKV infection. As a result, control measures have been implemented to limit the number of infected individuals and mosquitoes, with the aim of halting disease transmission. This study provides novel insights into the dynamics of HIV/ZIKV co-infection and highlights the importance of integrated intervention strategies in controlling the spread of these viruses, which may impact public health

arxiv.org

Principal Stratification with Continuous Post-Treatment Variables: Nonparametric Identification and Semiparametric Estimation. (arXiv:2309.12425v1 [stat.ME]) arxiv.org/abs/2309.12425

Principal Stratification with Continuous Post-Treatment Variables: Nonparametric Identification and Semiparametric Estimation

Causal inference is often complicated by post-treatment variables, which appear in many scientific problems, including noncompliance, truncation by death, mediation, and surrogate endpoint evaluation. Principal stratification is a strategy that adjusts for the potential values of the post-treatment variables, defined as the principal strata. It allows for characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity across principal strata and unveiling the mechanism of the treatment on the outcome related to post-treatment variables. However, the existing literature has primarily focused on binary post-treatment variables, leaving the case with continuous post-treatment variables largely unexplored, due to the complexity of infinitely many principal strata that challenge both the identification and estimation of causal effects. We fill this gap by providing nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation theory for principal stratification with continuous post-treatment variables. We propose to use working models to approximate the underlying causal effect surfaces and derive the efficient influence functions of the corresponding model parameters. Based on the theory, we construct doubly robust estimators and implement them in an R package.

arxiv.org

Robust fake-post detection against real-coloring adversaries. (arXiv:2309.11530v1 [math.PR]) arxiv.org/abs/2309.11530

Robust fake-post detection against real-coloring adversaries

The viral propagation of fake posts on online social networks (OSNs) has become an alarming concern. The paper aims to design control mechanisms for fake post detection while negligibly affecting the propagation of real posts. Towards this, a warning mechanism based on crowd-signals was recently proposed, where all users actively declare the post as real or fake. In this paper, we consider a more realistic framework where users exhibit different adversarial or non-cooperative behaviour: (i) they can independently decide whether to provide their response, (ii) they can choose not to consider the warning signal while providing the response, and (iii) they can be real-coloring adversaries who deliberately declare any post as real. To analyze the post-propagation process in this complex system, we propose and study a new branching process, namely total-current population-dependent branching process with multiple death types. At first, we compare and show that the existing warning mechanism significantly under-performs in the presence of adversaries. Then, we design new mechanisms which remarkably perform better than the existing mechanism by cleverly eliminating the influence of the responses of the adversaries. Finally, we propose another enhanced mechanism which assumes minimal knowledge about the user-specific parameters. The theoretical results are validated using Monte-Carlo simulations.

arxiv.org
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