arXiv Statistics @arxiv_stats@qoto.org

True Self-Avoiding Walk for Accelerating Markov-Chain Monte Carlo Integration https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30532 #stat.CO #stat.ML #cs.LG

Dynamic Co-Expression Network Estimation via Multivariate Mixed-Effects Models https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30577 #stat.ME #stat.CO

Orthogonalized Kernel Regression for Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Residual Risk: Application to School Shootings in the Contiguous United States https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30607 #stat.AP #stat.ME

When prompt perturbations break your A/B test: A valid statistical test for generative surveying https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27463 #stat.ME #stat.AP #cs.AI

Calibrated Inference for the Conditional Average Treatment Effect in the Few-Placebo Regime via Gaussian Processes https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27473 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Stop Suppressing the Tail: Causal Inference for Extreme Events https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27474 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Iterative Causal Discovery: Per-Edge Impossibility Certificates, Tier-Aware Oracle Queries, and the $1+K$ Lower Bound https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27477 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Triangular-Reference Schr\"odinger Bridges for Time Series Generation https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27478 #stat.ML #math.PR #cs.LG

Model--based clustering for spherical and hyper--spherical data using elliptically symmetric distributions https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27496 #stat.ME

Identifiable Bayesian Deep Generative Copulas with Unknown Layer Widths for Data with Arbitrary Marginal Distributions https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27523 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Semiparametrically Efficient Inference for Kernel Measures of Noise Heterogeneity https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27526 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Accelerating Reinforcement Learning Training Using Simulation Surrogate Models https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27556 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Purely analytic composites: Relative variance contributions of indicators corresponding to a priori indicator weights https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27597 #stat.AP

Length-biased Birnbaum-Saunders quantile regression with application to water evaporation https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26253 #stat.ME #stat.AP

Learning Nonlinear Factor Models with Unknown Monotone Links from Incomplete and Noisy Data https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26271 #stat.ML #econ.EM #cs.LG

Beyond Differences: Doubly Robust Meta-Learners for Ratio-Based Treatment Effects https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26288 #stat.ML #stat.ME #cs.LG

Cross-modal dependence analysis with asynchronous longitudinal multimodal data https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26312 #stat.ME

Unobserved Heterogeneity in Threshold Regression Based on the Hitting Times of a Reflected Brownian Motion for Recurrent Hypoglycemia https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26335 #stat.ME

When Does LeJEPA Learn a World Model? https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26379 #stat.ML #cs.LG

Small-Area Precipitation Forecasting and Drought--Flood Early Warning with Reverse-Martingale Regularized Recurrent Networks https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26401 #stat.AP #stat.ME