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Wasserstein Parallel Transport for Predicting the Dynamics of Statistical Systems arxiv.org/abs/2603.23736 .ML .PR .ST .TH .LG

Minimax Optimal Estimation of Mean and Covariance Functions with Spectral Regularization arxiv.org/abs/2603.18311 .ST .TH

Bridging Theory and Practice in Efficient Gaussian Process-Based Statistical Modeling for Large Datasets arxiv.org/abs/2603.18324 .CO

Synthetic Data, Information, and Prior Knowledge: Why Synthetic Data Augmentation to Boost Sample Doesn't Work for Statistical Inference arxiv.org/abs/2603.18345 .ME

Beyond Distance: Quantifying Point Cloud Dynamics with Persistent Homology and Dynamic Optimal Transport arxiv.org/abs/2603.15683 .ML .LG

Learnability with Partial Labels and Adaptive Nearest Neighbors arxiv.org/abs/2603.15781 .ML .LG

On the Equivalence between Neyman Orthogonality and Pathwise Differentiability arxiv.org/abs/2603.15817 .ME .ST .TH

A Portfolio-Anchored Frequency-Severity Risk Index for Trip and Driver Assessment Using Telematics Signals arxiv.org/abs/2603.15839 -fin.RM .AP

A Utility Score Framework for Dose Optimization Studies with Binary Efficacy-Safety Endpoints: Sample Size Determination and Bias Characterization arxiv.org/abs/2603.15884 .AP .ME

SEMMS with Random Effects: A Mixed-Model Extension for Variable Selection in Clustered and Longitudinal Data arxiv.org/abs/2603.15902 .CO .ME

Learning to Recall with Transformers Beyond Orthogonal Embeddings arxiv.org/abs/2603.15923 .ML .LG

A Hybrid Tsallis-Polarization Impurity Measure for Decision Trees: Theoretical Foundations and Empirical Evaluation arxiv.org/abs/2603.13241 .ML .AI .LG

Filtered Spectral Projection for Quantum Principal Component Analysis arxiv.org/abs/2603.13441 -mat.mtrl-sci .ML .LG

Modeling Heterogeneous Mediation Effects in Survival Analysis via an Interpretable M-Learner Framework arxiv.org/abs/2603.13464 .ME

An Empirical Bayes Perspective on Heteroskedastic Mean Estimation arxiv.org/abs/2603.13499 .ST .TH

Standard Acquisition Is Sufficient for Asynchronous Bayesian Optimization arxiv.org/abs/2603.13501 .ML .LG

Edgewise Envelopes Between Balanced Forman and Ollivier-Ricci Curvature arxiv.org/abs/2603.13535 .CO .CO .DG

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