arXiv Statistics @arxiv_stats@qoto.org

Rare Event Analysis via Stochastic Optimal Control https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13213 #physics.chem-ph #stat.ML #math.OC #cs.LG

Identifiability of Potentially Degenerate Gaussian Mixture Models With Piecewise Affine Mixing https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13218 #stat.ML #math.ST #stat.TH #cs.AI #cs.LG

Estimating effect thresholds and beyond: A flexible framework for multivariate alert detection https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13264 #stat.ME #stat.AP

Efficient estimation of cumulative incidence curves via data fusion with surrogates: application to integrated analysis of vaccine trial and immunobridging data https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13265 #stat.ME #stat.AP

Sequential Change Detection for Multiple Data Streams with Differential Privacy https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13274 #math.ST #stat.TH #cs.CR

Addressing Confounding by Indication Through (Un)Measured Centre Characteristics in Learn-As-you-GO(LAGO) Trials https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13276 #stat.ME #math.ST #stat.TH

Newton's Algorithm as a Gradient Flow: A Geometric Framework for Recursive Mixture Estimation https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13341 #stat.ME

A Machine Learning Framework for Uncertainty-Calibrated Capability Decision under Finite Samples https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.13352 #stat.AP

GPU-Accelerated Sequential Monte Carlo for Bayesian Spectral Analysis https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03271 #physics.data-an #stat.CO

FunctionalCalibration: an R package for estimation in aggregated functional data model https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03284 #stat.CO #stat.ME

Generative Unsupervised Downscaling of Climate Models via Domain Alignment: Application to Wind Fields https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03341 #physics.ao-ph #stat.AP #stat.ML

On the complexity of standard and waste-free SMC samplers https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03352 #stat.CO

The Long-Range Memory and the Fractal Dimension: a Case Study for Alc\^antara https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03355 #stat.AP

Robust Standard Errors for Bayesian Posterior Functionals via the Infinitesimal Jackknife https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03398 #stat.ME #stat.AP #stat.CO

Is it Cake or is it AI? A Systematic Review of Human Uncertainty in Distinguishing Generative Artificial Intelligence Content https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03437 #stat.AP #cs.CY

Inference for Clustering: Conformal Sets for Cluster Labels https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03488 #stat.ME

Nonparametric Regression Discontinuity Designs with Survival Outcomes https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03502 #stat.ML #stat.ME #cs.LG

Multilevel Regression Discontinuity Models with Latent Variables https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03535 #stat.ME

E-Values, Bayes Risk, Dual Role of Markov's Inequality https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.00337 #math.ST #stat.TH

Spatiotemporal Characterization of Overdose Mortality in Georgia, USA Using Spectral and Nonlinear Interaction Analysis, 2003-2021 https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.00353 #stat.AP