tobychev @tobychev@qoto.org
Not sure what this account will be about, mostly boosting things I find interesting.
Joined Nov 2022
tobychev
boosted
A reminder that we still need your support. The Russian authorities have designated Meduza as a “foreign agent,” blocked our website, shattered our crowdfunding inside Russia, banished our journalists, and, finally, outlawed us. https://support.meduza.io/en
@Loukas
Notera att min länk har mycket längre tidsperspektiv än Wikipedia figuren du länkade till, tittar vi hur identiteten rör sig sen 2014 så har pro-skottska andelen gått upp typ 6%
Men med detta vill jag nog inte säga något mer intressant än att det är svårt att säga något säkert om hur folk i stort tycker.
@Loukas
@Loukas
Resultatet i enkätundersökning är dock ganska känsligt för hur en frågar, och medielogiken är ju sådan att frågorna redaktionen betalar för mycket handlar om det dagsaktuella ("om valet var idag"). En kan lätt tänka sig att det som då mäts har mer betoning på flyktiga dagsfrågor än mer trögrörliga åsikter.
Jämför självständighetsfrågan med frågan om den egna identiteten: https://www.whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/moreno-national-identity-5/?groups%5B0%5D%5B0%5D=Scottish%2Bnot%2BBritish&groups%5B0%5D%5B1%5D=More%2BScottish%2Bthan%2BBritish&groups%5B1%5D%5B3%5D=More%2BBritish%2Bthan%2BScottish&groups%5B1%5D%5B4%5D=British%2Bnot%2BScottish&groups%5B2%5D%5B6%5D=Other%2Bdescription&groups%5B2%5D%5B7%5D=None%2Bof%2Bthese
tobychev
boosted
Hi, I think we need even better ways to help new users.
Thousands are signing up every day, but many leave soon after because of confusion.
My idea is that we get behind a hashtag and make it a kind of decentralised helpdesk for new people. This is already happening and I want to add energy to this.
Which hashtag would be best to unite around?
tobychev
boosted
If it happens, it could be another indication that while the Kremlin prizes elite stability (see the low number of cadre changes since 2/2022), it prefers avoiding even minimal risks. Uss has been regarded as an unpopular governor whose bid for a 2nd term might attract complications.
@Loukas
Well, they don't really put any effort into determining if he really has any contact (like asking to see call history) but mainly
I'm thinking in of this section, where the authors even feel obliged so say it is just wild speculation (but print it anyway): "Niemeyer said that if [Wagenknecht] formed her own party, she could garner about 10 to 20 percent of the national vote, drawing some AfD support. But if she officially forged an alliance with the AfD, Niemeyer asserted, without citing any specific polling, 'she would probably be given a majority.'"
@Loukas
I don't really get why Niemeyer gets so much space, an ex-husband "whose house was raided in late March as part of a criminal investigation over his alleged involvement in a plot by the ultra-right Reichsbürger movement to overthrow the German government" does not strike me as the most reliable analyst of German politics...
tobychev
boosted
@Radical_EgoCom I am once again asking everyone to realize that composting is an option if you have dietary restrictions that prevent you from eating the rich.
tobychev
boosted
Vad är det DN skriver egentligen??
"Den svenska avskyn för ryssen har djupa rötter. Ibland kan man undra varför – historiskt har Ryssland trots allt inte förorsakat Sverige så djupt lidande. Lars Linder läser Dick Harrisons nya bok om den väldiga och opålitliga grannen i öster."
Byt ut "ryssen" mot "juden". Funkar bra?
https://www.dn.se/kultur/den-larde-dick-harrison-har-haft-lite-for-brattom-i-fienden/
@cygnus_ww
Yeah, visa applications can suck tremendously, and I expect this is in no small part because the entire enterprise of migration control is pretty sucky at its core: coming up with reason to deny foreigners from tainting the motherland...
As an aside, I wonder if the visa services in the EU have deteriorated after Schengen was enacted and made visa applicants more purely into "foreigners" as most neighbours now don't need to trouble with it?
tobychev
boosted
An interesting as subtle bias in our image generators: the American smile
https://medium.com/@socialcreature/ai-and-the-american-smile-76d23a0fbfaf
@brendannyhan
Alternative title "people don't know what's good for them" :(
Would be interesting to extend the test with a feed containing corrections to several media outlets to remind subjects that actual errors aren't as rare as the public corrections.
Personally I find public corrections a mark of competence; when a news weekly I subscribed to got a new editor that proudly proclaimed he would publish no trigger warnings (none has been published previously) while also cutting the modes corrections section I stopped subscribing.
@niemanlab @dangillmor
tobychev
boosted
New @niemanlab by study coauthor @dangillmor: "The corrections dilemma: Admitting your mistakes increases accuracy but reduces audience trust, a new study finds" https://www.niemanlab.org/2023/03/the-corrections-dilemma-admitting-your-mistakes-increases-accuracy-but-reduces-audience-trust-a-new-study-finds/
tobychev
boosted
one aspect of diffusion-based generative models which I find kind of funny / bittersweet is that
i) the optimisation problem is convex in terms of the { score / denoiser / ... }, and is even a least-squares problem in some formulations. this means that it would be extremely well-adapted to the sorts of statistical theory which people loved 10-15 years ago, but
ii) these models have become { popular, feasible, etc. } in the neural network era (and even as a direct result of certain NN architectures?), and the aforementioned favourable convexity properties are largely absent in weight space, and thus don't obviously yield any insights about the recent practical successes.
@AstroMikeHudson
A friend got into trouble because plagiarism software discovered he was reusing stuff he'd written in earlier work, only the software said the source was by a colleague who in reality had stolen the text from my friend.
tobychev
boosted
The 2023 edition of my long-running anti-establishment art-science-fusion code-therapy smooth-baritone causal inference & Bayesian data analysis course is complete. 20 lectures, from the basics of causal inference & Bayesian updating to mixed models & Gaussian processes.
Lecture recordings, slides, homework sets and solutions are all listed here. Take it at your own pace. First half is a solid course in regression and causal inference. Second half turns it up to 11. https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023#calendar--topical-outline
tobychev
boosted
Nonprofits delenda est.
---
RT @JakeMGrumbach
Leave it to state legislatures to make Congress look like paragons of virtue. Truly wild story of corruption in the Ohio state legislature in the post-Citizens United era.
https://grist.org/politics/ohio-bribery-scandal-larry-householder-verdict/
h/t Pierson
https://twitter.com/JakeMGrumbach/status/1635337460262764544
tobychev
boosted
Very provocative article by Animah Kosai on Corruption Perception Index.
We so easily forget that the ones who corrupt are the ones who pay bribes, not the ones who receive them.
Corruption and bribes are mechanisms at the disposal of the rich and powerful to tilt the playing field in their favour and away from the lesser rich and powerful, so who are the ones to blame?
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/who-corrupt-really-animah-kosai
Not sure what this account will be about, mostly boosting things I find interesting.
Joined Nov 2022
