EdofO @EdofO@qoto.org
@famulare are there any studies comparing dose to dose yet? Not 3 vs 4, with the 4th being a bivalent, but 3 v 3 or 4 v 4 taken at similar dates?
I have a suspicion that the differences will be minor, but I haven't seen any non-inferiority studies yet tackling the issue directly.
@famulare
Finally made my own box.
Three stage (washable microfiber to carbon filter to HEPA).
Can "attach" to any sized fan through a plastic trash bag.
Can pull apart and collapse through Velcro and tape so portable enough for a carry-on.
Will add a USB powered UVC light next.
<$100 all-in.
Would have to be something like a 3 day doubling time for a month, despite widespread NPIs, and finishes infecting every single person in Guangdong by the end of this week.
This strains credulity.
Both figures are likely to be way off.
@gidmk
I'm estimating around as bad as Hong Kong, so 0.2% excess death rate. 90%CI 1.5-4 million dead, 40 million needing intensive care, more than that with long-COVID.
Maybe was inevitable over a long time period, but not this many this fast. Hospital collapse risk.
@halcek @gidmk
There are widely available photos and videos of mass graves, hospitals packed wall to wall, and stories of crematoriums unable to keep up.
Yet, supposedly, only a few people in all of China have died this month, out of 1.4 billion people.
We can maybe trust previous China data, at least 80% or so, but nothing over the past month.
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