Perfume @Perfume@qoto.org
2024/02/29停用。
Joined Nov 2020
最近記性差，除了丟掉一把Sou•Sou的長柄傘，昨晚匆匆出門，走到路口才發現自己忘記戴口罩，只好衝進便利商店買一包應急。
感覺好像該吃銀杏補腦細胞了。
這篇比較了加拿大與澳洲在國防三軍上的實力差別:
"Given shared and common histories, values, and interests, from time to time various parties have called for Canada to join ANZUS (which would become CANZUS), and for all five of the core Anglosphere nations to form something like a CANZUKUS, expanding the Five Eyes intelligence arrangements into a more all-encompassing, treaty-based, military alliance with mutual defense obligations.
For various reasons such calls have not gained traction. This is due in part to the concentration of Canada’s population, industry, and government in the Atlantic-focused east, and a general lack of recognition among Canadians of their status, opportunities, and vulnerabilities as a Pacific nation. The generally low priority placed on defense investment by successive Canadian governments and an over-reliance on the U.S. umbrella have not helped, as exemplified by Canada’s relative military placing against smaller Australia as outlined above."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/10/why-is-canada-missing-from-the-indo-pacific/
配置F-35C的卡爾文森號加上配置F-35B的出雲號，美日讓西太平洋成為F-35系列實戰陣地。
"太平洋艦隊指出，「卡爾文森號」是美國海軍首艘部署F-35C艦載戰鬥機和CMV-22B「魚鷹」艦載運輸機的航空母艦，「卡爾文森號」航艦打擊群此次與日本護衛艦「加賀號」在南海進行聯合演訓，演訓項目包括艦載機、水面艦艇之間的協調戰術演練、海上加油及海上打擊演練，此次也是「卡爾文森號」航艦打擊群今年第二次在南海部署。"
承認問題總比死不承認來得好~
[ An unpublished government report commissioned by Taiwan’s defense ministry, which was reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, found a culture of paperwork that cut into combat training. It said “endless misconduct and mismanagement” had weakened young people’s willingness to join the forces. ]
澳洲出手重新鞏固大洋洲:
"澳洲外交部部長潘恩（Marise Payne）、澳洲貿易部長特漢（Dan Tehan）和澳洲太平洋事務部長賽索嘉（Zed Seselja）今天發表聯合聲明，指Digicel Pacific是太平洋地區具有領導地位的通訊企業；它的手機和網路業務範圍遍及巴布亞紐幾內亞（Papua New Guinea）、諾魯（Nauru）、薩摩亞（Samoa）、萬那杜（Vanuatu）、東加（Tonga）和斐濟（Fiji）。
聲明提到，澳洲電訊致力確保Digicel Pacific向太平洋國家提供可靠的服務，並且致力與太平洋各國政府建立互信關係。"
首次看到大隅海峽被通行:
"中俄共10艘海軍艦艇18日首度同時通過位於北海道和本州之間的津輕海峽，進入太平洋後南下，航行經過伊豆群島附近；22日通過九州鹿兒島縣大隅半島與種子島之間的大隅海峽進入東海，這也是中俄兩國艦艇首度同時通過大隅海峽。
中俄艦隊幾乎繞行日本列島一周，23日在東海分航。
日本放送協會（NHK）報導，磯崎今天上午在記者會上表示，此外也確認到俄羅斯海軍艦艇在與中國艦艇分航後，通過日本與韓國間的對馬海峽北上，航行通過日本海。
磯崎指出，這是首次確認到中俄海軍同時航行通過津輕海峽、伊豆群島周遭海域與大隅海峽。"
"杜登24日接受澳洲天空新聞台（Sky News）專訪，被問及澳洲是否會與中國爆發戰爭，他回應稱，這是中國應該回答的問題。杜登表示，中國過去幾年來對台灣的意圖越來越明顯，在過去6年，澳洲內閣國家安全委員會（National Security Committee）一直都有在關注此議題，而從中國以對待香港的方式看來，顯示中國已決定要進一步對付台灣。
杜登表示，澳洲與美國有長達70年的盟友關係。若中國武力犯台，美國將要如何反應，澳洲都會與美國共同進退。他強調，沒有人希望衝突，但這問題「要交由中國回答」。"
逛書店翻到Foreign Affairs，一本要六百多，在雜誌架上算貴的。後來發現：一年紙本六本要四千出頭，官網純數位訂閱只要一千二，紙本加數位只要兩千五，瞬間又有敗家訂閱的衝動⋯⋯
中國計畫中的內循環經濟可能面臨內需市場因社福縮減而開支越發保守的惡性循環:
"As more shoppers hold back, consumption is becoming an even smaller part of China’s economy. In 2020, private consumption accounted for 38.1% of gross domestic product, its lowest level since 2016, and down from 39.2% in 2019. "
"Getting Chinese households to spend more requires addressing hard-to-resolve structural issues, such as persistent inequality and a lack of an extensive social safety net, which leaves many families wanting to save more in case of emergencies, say researchers and economists."
PLA使用無人機影響心理層面:
"This ambiguity in communication could lead to a great deal of confusion and miscommunication.” The only viable communication alternative would be via military and diplomatic channels: Any communication would have to go from the intercepting Taiwanese fighter pilot to their home base, up the chain of command, and then to its Chinese counterpart down to the individual unit and operator of UAV(s). The time required for establishing this communication process would then present itself as valuable time for the PLAAF: While the process is playing out, China’s UAVs would intrude farther into Taiwan’s ADIZ (or potentially even Taiwanese airspace). This would fit with China’s desired messaging toward both domestic and Taiwanese audiences, illustrating Chinese technological capabilities and allowing the PLA to demonstrate how it can intrude deeper and deeper into Taiwanese airspace at will."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/10/how-uavs-could-spark-a-military-conflict-in-the-taiwan-strait/
「美國、德國、丹麥、芬蘭、法國、荷蘭、瑞典、加拿大、挪威和紐西蘭大使18日發表聯合聲明，要求公正且快速解決卡瓦拉案，並緊急釋放他。土耳其外交部其後召見他們，指責聯合聲明不負責任。」
「其中7國大使是土耳其的北大西洋公約組織（NATO）盟邦的大使，倘若驅逐他們，勢必會引發艾爾段掌權19年以來與西方國家爆發的最嚴重齟齬。」
「國發會晚間發布新聞稿指出，首站抵達斯洛伐克後，訪團與斯方在技術與供應鏈合作、科研合作、貿易及投資等面向進一步強化雙方關係，並簽署包括電動車、太空發展、智慧城市、中小企業數位化、觀光及科學園區合作等領域7項MOU，為未來進一步強化台斯經貿領域的合作打下穩固根基。」
外媒看<長津湖>將之與穩固統治聯繫起來:
"Whether due to a new economic normal or the next step in national rejuvenation, engaging in war will no longer undermine the authority of the Chinese Communist Party. Instead, it has the potential to strengthen its mandate as leader of the most populous nation in the world."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/10/the-battle-at-lake-changjin-and-chinas-new-view-of-war/
不曉得可以撐多久...
"根據「趙家人俱樂部」網站說明，這是一份對「程式設計隨想」整理的《太子黨關係網絡》的視覺化作品，揭露隱秘的中共權貴的權力圖譜；這份視覺化作品對現任中共政治局25名成員（七常委以外）的另18人資訊會「隨時補充更新」。"
徒子徒孫們現在紛紛投共，反攻大陸成了不敢說的過去。
"關於臺灣要反攻大陸一事，蔣介石確實是認真的，也有差一步就要發動的時期。然而，屢屢遭到扮演「剎車器」的美國反對，以致前功盡棄。以防衛臺灣為主要目標的美國，與想要光復大陸、重返榮耀的臺灣，兩者的戰略目標完全不同的情況下，這樣的結果是可想而知的。
這樣一來，單獨反攻是唯一的方法，但是如何克服臺灣海峽成為一大難關。臺灣要獨自運送龐大兵力和物資渡海上岸困難重重，勢必需要美國的協助。得不到美國的支持，蔣介石也不敢恣意妄為，遲遲無法正式發動反攻計畫。
之後，1965年發生的小規模海戰（史稱「八六海戰」），臺灣的海軍突撃隊被中國軍隊徹底擊沉，證明了臺灣要憑一己之力實現反攻大陸根本是不可能的，蔣介石似乎也不得不認清這項事實。"
PLA意圖將老舊無雷達的殲六改裝成無人機以消耗台灣防空飛彈的傳聞看來不是空穴來風:
"The J-6 is a Chinese copy of the Soviet Mikoyan-Gurevich MiG-19 interceptor, whose manned version was officially retired from PLAAF service in 2010. By that time, the type was regarded as obsolete by all measures, with the basic J-6 not even equipped with a radar.
Since then, numerous J-6s have been seen on satellite imagery of two airbases in China’s coastal provinces opposite Taiwan. The airframes on these bases, Liancheng in Fujian province and Yangtang-li, which is also known as Xingning, in neighbouring Guangdong province, are parked in neat rows at the airbases.
Reports emerged from 2013 that China had converted the type into unmanned aircraft, for use either as a decoy to overwhelm adversary air defences by their sheer numbers or as a rudimentary unmanned combat aircraft."
大勢所趨:
"APIG由法國全國性、地方媒體組成，包括「費加洛報」、「世界報」等，該聯盟負責人盧埃特（Pierre Louette）表示，這項協議將為聯盟會員、「尤其是其中規模最小的」，帶來「顯著的資金」。
APIG和臉書都沒透露協議細節。「路透」21日引述消息人士說法，這項初步協議採用「條款清單」形式，列出主要條件，為接下來聯盟會員與臉書簽署個別協議鋪路；內容授權分兩種，一種是針對在臉書主平台使用新聞內容，以及針對在臉書即將推出的Facebook News使用新聞內容。"
2024/02/29停用。
Joined Nov 2020
