TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@qoto.org
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2993. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
I bet they don't like all the attention.
We have a clipper coming and I am back outside until it arrives. It's only 82⁰ right now.
Going inside until evening. This is a heat alert day and it's 1 PM
From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX
SUSTAINABLE OPERATIONS? NOT EVEN CLOSE FOR RUSSIA
According to British intelligence and open source information, Russia has over the course of the past 12 months , produced just under 750 BMP-3 (IFV), while having lost around 780 of them over the same time frame.
However the BMP-1, 2 and MT-LB are now largely exhausted and completely irreplaceable. So allowing for the rough 1 loss to 1 new vehicle - which is quite an impressive rate, is still nowhere near enough to make up for stockpiled and now exhausted supplies of every other type.
Clearly they simply don’t have the production to meet the requirements the army has - in fact they cannot possibly reach the numbers required to make any inroads into the losses overall.
Then you have the artillery problem. Yesterday alone Ukraine took out 62 Russian artillery pieces. Many of these were D-30 sixty + year old systems of towed artillery that have either been dragged out of stores and refurbished or supplied by N.Korea. These are lower calibre, shorter ranged towed and manned pieces that are far from cutting edge. It’s a 122mm piece that first entered service in 1960 and was designed around 1957.
This is now Russia’s main artillery because the Ukrainians have reduced the modern SPG and heavy artillery to such low levels by concentrating so heavily on Russian artillery for over a year now.
In terms of air defence systems Russia has now been observed to have removed all of the equipment in 11 of 17 of its recognised strategic air defence sites around the country, to get them to the front. Replacing these systems is virtually impossible.
And if that wasn’t sufficient, the British intelligence estimate based on satellites and official and open source information- shows Russia lost 70,000 men just in May-June.
That’s simply staggering in modern war and approaching WW1 levels of death rates.
Again, Russia is not sustaining this war with what it needs to win it, its domestic production simply isn’t able to meet demand so every day the Ukrainians attrition war against Russia slowly you would think, pays off.
And it does in that Russia kills far fewer Ukrainians than it loses of its own badly resourced and trained soldiers.
Yet that cannot be said of land regained.
Like it or not Ukraine is still, over all, losing more ground than it retakes and the Russians still keep advancing bit by tiny bit in various spots along the front.
This has to be stopped. And it needs to be reversed. Because until it is, peace can never be achieved on terms Ukraine can live with. Somewhere along the line Russia’s unsustainable war must cost it dearly - and right now that’s just not happening.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX
SUSTAINABLE OPERATIONS? NOT EVEN CLOSE FOR RUSSIA
According to British intelligence and open source information, Russia has over the course of the past 12 months , produced just under 750 BMP-3 (IFV), while having lost around 780 of them over the same time frame.
However the BMP-1, 2 and MT-LB are now largely exhausted and completely irreplaceable. So allowing for the rough 1 loss to 1 new vehicle - which is quite an impressive rate, is still nowhere near enough to make up for stockpiled and now exhausted supplies of every other type.
Clearly they simply don’t have the production to meet the requirements the army has - in fact they cannot possibly reach the numbers required to make any inroads into the losses overall.
Then you have the artillery problem. Yesterday alone Ukraine took out 62 Russian artillery pieces. Many of these were D-30 sixty + year old systems of towed artillery that have either been dragged out of stores and refurbished or supplied by N.Korea. These are lower calibre, shorter ranged towed and manned pieces that are far from cutting edge. It’s a 122mm piece that first entered service in 1960 and was designed around 1957.
This is now Russia’s main artillery because the Ukrainians have reduced the modern SPG and heavy artillery to such low levels by concentrating so heavily on Russian artillery for over a year now.
In terms of air defence systems Russia has now been observed to have removed all of the equipment in 11 of 17 of its recognised strategic air defence sites around the country, to get them to the front. Replacing these systems is virtually impossible.
And if that wasn’t sufficient, the British intelligence estimate based on satellites and official and open source information- shows Russia lost 70,000 men just in May-June.
That’s simply staggering in modern war and approaching WW1 levels of death rates.
Again, Russia is not sustaining this war with what it needs to win it, its domestic production simply isn’t able to meet demand so every day the Ukrainians attrition war against Russia slowly you would think, pays off.
And it does in that Russia kills far fewer Ukrainians than it loses of its own badly resourced and trained soldiers.
Yet that cannot be said of land regained.
Like it or not Ukraine is still, over all, losing more ground than it retakes and the Russians still keep advancing bit by tiny bit in various spots along the front.
This has to be stopped. And it needs to be reversed. Because until it is, peace can never be achieved on terms Ukraine can live with. Somewhere along the line Russia’s unsustainable war must cost it dearly - and right now that’s just not happening.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
27 ships. Good job Ukraine
Ukraine-Russia war – live: Last Russian naval patrol ship leaves Crimea in big win for Kyiv’s drone campaign
Kyiv has destroyed or damaged 27 Russian naval vessels since the invasion began
Ukraine-Russia war – live: Last Russian naval patrol ship leaves Crimea in big win for Kyiv’s drone campaign
Kyiv has destroyed or damaged 27 Russian naval vessels since the invasion began.
Ukraine says Vladimir Putin has withdrawn the last Russian naval patrol ship from its base in Crimea- a victory for Kyiv’s sustained campaign against Moscow’s naval infrastructure on the occupied peninsula.
Ukraine has deployed aerial and naval drones as well as missiles in a concerted effort to push Russian naval forces out of Sevastopol, and much of Putin’s Black Sea Fleet has now been pulled back to the Russian port city of Novorossiysk.
“The last patrol ship of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation is bolting from our Crimea just now. Remember this day,” Navy spokesman Dmytro Pletenchuk said.
Kyiv has destroyed or damaged 27 Russian naval vessels over the course of the war, Ukraine’s navy chief Vice-Admiral Oleksiy Neizhpapa said.
In May, Ukraine said it had destroyed the last Russian warship armed with cruise missiles that was stationed in Crimea.
The development comes as Volodymyr Zelensky said he was “not afraid” to work with Donald Trump if the Republican candidate comes to power and wins the US presidential elections.
Olena Lyashchenko died in Kryvyi Rih on July 8, 2024. The russian army hit the Metinvest enterprise with a missile, killing 10 people. The woman worked there as an accountant.
Elena was 44 years old. She loved to travel. She liked to spend time in the country, in the circle of relatives and friends. Recently, she also did manicures, which she did well.
"Olenochka was very responsive, frank, sociable and sincere! She never left anyone in trouble. Even when I had piles of papers and stacks of reports left on my desk, she silently took half to herself and helped. She approached everything very diligently. It became gloomy without her...", said a close friend Yuliya Matvienko.
Elena is survived by her parents, husband, daughter and sisters.
Ukraine is becoming a leader in innovations on the battlefield thanks to the DELTA — NATO combat system
Ukraine's DELTA combat system received high praise from NATO's Supreme Commander for Transformation, General Philip Lavigne, and NATO's Deputy Chief of Staff for Capability Development, Vice Admiral Jeffrey W. Hughes.
NATO representatives noted the significant work of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine to ensure the interoperability of Ukrainian and NATO systems, as well as the innovative approach to the development of the DELTA combat system.
"DELTA has proven that it can exchange information between various NATO allied states. With the appearance of DELTA, Ukraine is strengthening its position in the world as a powerful innovation hub that generates effective solutions for effective warfare," said Kateryna Chernogorenko, Deputy Minister of Defense for Digital Development, Digital Transformation and Digitalization.
more details
@ukrainejournal
Russian anger builds as Greece prepares a military deal with Ukraine
Greece’s concern for its own security has made it a supporter of Ukraine since the full-scale Russian invasion.
News|Russia-Ukraine war
Russian anger builds as Greece prepares a military deal with Ukraine
Greece’s concern for its own security has made it a supporter of Ukraine since the full-scale Russian invasion.
From left, Swiss Federal President Viola Amherd, Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet at this month's peace summit in Ukraine [Alessandro Della Valle/Pool via Reuters]
By John T Psaropoulos
Published On 16 Jul 202416 Jul 2024
Athens, Greece – On March 6, Russia fired a missile into the Ukrainian port of Odesa that exploded about 400 metres (1,300ft) from where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was preparing to tour the city with Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis.
“As we were getting into our cars, we heard a large explosion,” Mitsotakis later told reporters. “We were all concerned, especially if you consider that we were in an open space with no cover. It was quite savage.”
Many Western leaders have visited Zelenskyy, but this was the only occasion when there was a plausible threat to their life and safety. Analysts in Athens do not believe it was an accident.
On this day 2 years ago, Russia attacked Vinnytsia and killed 22 people, including 4-year-old Liza.
Liza was born prematurely, diagnosed with Down syndrome, and had heart surgery at 7 months. Despite these challenges, she thrived with attentive care.
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Here is the bastard who killed her
🇮🇳 India has summoned the Ukrainian ambassador to discuss Zelensky's remarks on the meeting in Russia between Prime Minister Modi and Putin.
Last week, Zelensky criticized Modi's meeting with Putin, calling it a "devastating blow to peace efforts."
"It's sad to see the leader of the world's largest democracy hugging the world's most notorious criminal in Moscow," the president said.
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I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 73 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2993. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
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