This man works on a small farm in Kenya. If anyone would be interested in joining a group voice chat with him (tomorrow) Sunday afternoon let me know.

Hello here are some friends I met on the [watchredditdie discord](discord.gg/jXjTetpvNB). Since we have a critical mass of fediverse people there I think it's a good nexus for outreach and evacuation from discord.

@zleap is the source of the tag and banner

@category_mirrory is a fan of category theory and math<->language metaphors such as homomorphism<->metaphor.

@jlj hosts nfld and is an expert in diodes and lateral thinking.

@nar is a big aether buff who is very short on time.

@Liberonscien likes tracing where restaurants get their ingredients.

# The Paradox of Consistency - Part One

**Background**: The government is testing citizens for telepathic potential.

**Procedure**: Each citizen is pulled into a room containing an experimenter, a face-down deck of 100 Zenner Cards (5 possible symbols), and 5 buttons each marked with a Zenner Symbol. The experimenter draws and looks at a card without showing it to the citizen, and the citizen tries to press the correct button, until the entire deck is depleted.

**Question**: At what threshold of correct guesses should the government consider it extremely likely the citizen has telepathic potential (<1% chance of reaching by random guessing)? Feel free to approximate.

**Assumptions**: The deck is perfectly random and can contain infinite duplicates. No cheating whatsoever occurs. No information leaks (except through telepathy).

**Hint**: Only trying values in [this tool](emathhelp.net/calculators/prob) is necessary to find the answer. The pre-loaded values show that there is a 44.05384% of chance of guessing more than 20 cards correctly without telepathic ability.

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H**a**p**p**y Bir**t**hd**a**y to **y**o**u**!
**H**a**p**py **B**i**r**th**d**a**y** **t**o **y**ou!
**H**a**p**py **B**i**r**th**d**a**y** **d**ea**r** jwi**l**deb**o**e**r**!
**H**ap**p**y Bir**t**h**d**a**y** t**o** **y**o**u**!

A**n**d ma**n**y mo**r**e**,** on Cha**n**nel **4**!
**A**nd **S**coo**b**y D**o**o, **o**n C**h**ann**e**l **2**!
And st**a**rs w**i**l**l** **b**e, o**n** Ch**a**nnel **3**!
**A**nd S**e**ve**n**-**E**le**v**e**n**, **o**n **c**h**a**nne**l** **7**!
A**n**d **F**rankenst**e**in**,** **o**n C**h**annel 9!
**A**n**d** a **s**in**g**in**g** **l**a**d**y, **o**n **C**hanne**l** 8**0**!
An**d** **a**ll t**h**e **r**e**s**t, on C**B**S!
@jwildeboer @clayogra @kmic @cjd @einziggurat @SystemSock @cereal @m0n5t3r @cos @rozenglass @wolf480pl @alcinnz @MangoMamba @z428 @Kitkat @mikulas_peksa @urien2 @humanetech@mastodon.social @StampedingLonghorn @Hyolobrika @jos @seasharp @clacke @torresjrjr @vera @cwebber @zleap @silmathoron @mray @VictorVenema @dsfgs @openscience

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