Harold Asmis @hasmis@qoto.org

#physics #weather **Storm factories go nuts** We now have a full Arctic spill at all points. This should last a week or two before the whole place is drained. Europe will soon get the spills, and the new baby storm in the Pacific has a rare clockwise spin.

#physics #weather **US national December plots down** NOAA has a great game to make the results not so bad. For the past few years, they have said '3rd warmest' then '4th', etc. If it got beyond 10, then they would say 'top third'. This month, it isn't even 'top half', maybe 'top 3/4'. We have to see what they say. Note that the main plot is just past Decembers because of seasonal effect.

#physics #weather **Arctic spill storm factory now starting in Atlantic** The bbc and other media keep insisting all this is just a lazy atmospheric river. Those are the pure ocean plumes without cold. They can drift forever, but when they hit mountains, they can produce rain. That's why the plumes are called 'precipitable water'.
But what we have in the Pacific are huge storms, near hurricanes, with a full feed of hot and cold. Now we are getting those hitting Europe. The storm drags in the cold feed, so the NW side is a blizzard.

#physics #weather **Pacific Storm Factory** Well, I find this fascinating, and have never seen it before. Yesterday, that storm near Japan was a baby, and now it's huge, fed by the Siberian spill. The big middle storm is now being fed by the Bering St. spill. There is no mention of the role of cold air in any of the news about these storms.

#physics #weather **All eyes on California**
My kids and grandson live on ground zero, so I am interested. The weather forecasters who can't physics themselves out of a paper bag, give a date of Jan 18 for it to end. But the power rating of the Siberian Spill looks to be increasing. Nobody is measuring it. An atmospheric plume is a benign thing unless cold air hits it. All those plumes are hooking with cold air, and forecasters can only see the pretty swirls. :) I have no estimate for it to end, perhaps the end of the month, but there's no physics to indicate that the Arctic headpoind is drawing down. Those other spills to Europe are weak.

**German left-wingers** After being on the Poots payroll for years, it will be interesting to see if they have any power left (sic)

#physics #weather **Ozone Follies**
I have no idea what the UN is talking about. I get a general impression that the ozone hole is getting bigger as things get colder. The chart is quite erratic.

#physics #weather *Large blob on the move** They finally fixed mimic again, so I can see. It is important to note the speed of the lobate blob. It's not like a spill, which is defined by the narrow laminar flow, but it was the big thing last year. At this speed, ENA will get it in a week.

#physics #weather **Europe lives in a plume paradise** They are surrounded by extreme cold, but nothing touches them. I am amazed.

#physics #weather **Give cold its due** The Siberian spill is still huge -- M9. You can see the clear blob incorporated into the ocean plume. Without the cold, these plumes can just drift forever, but the cold makes it rain.

**Washpost changes the headline** They named the big trouble-makers, and then changed it to **media**.

#physics #weather **Numerical Problem**

https://www.wired.com/story/friederike-otto-world-weather-attribution/

She says 10 times, the met says 160. Even the physics approach predicts more big heatwaves. As the oceans shut down, the plumes become too weak to clear 'solar furnace' heat waves. Super-hot, but short summers, like the 70's

#physics #weather **Arctic spills in the news** Ha, no news, but the Siberian spill is now the most powerful I have seen in terms of energy -- M9 spill. However, a new spill is opening up to the UK -- M3. There are no other spills right now. It is expected that other spills would drain the system, thus ending the California disaster.

#physics #weather **Dancing jet stream** Whoops, just a few days ago, it was a straight jet stream causing extreme weather. I just can't figure it out. :)

#physics #weather **December ice plot in** I can see it is going up, but nobody else can. It's a vision thing.

**Still not seeing a recession** I would have expected to see some sign of it, like all the small businesses in the industrial condos. No house sales in the neighbourhood.

#physics #weather **Cold blobs dead** They've been hit and shattered by ocean plumes. Except the Siberian flow. For a good M9 blob, you need to see powerful laminar flow behind it, and the others didn't have that. Siberia is going to extreme cold. NA has a Pacific plume schlooping over the mountains, so that is warmth.

**US supported drug cartels take over Mexico** The druggies have more money than the army. This all comes from the insatiable demand of US movie stars. It will get to the point that none of us will be able to vacation in the Sun. In Canada, we should legalize opium poppies and coca leaves. That stuff is a wonderful cure, compared to all the substitutes.

**Warm story before the cold** This is a nice story, with Polar Vortex Fairies. Everybody has a different story.

#physics #weather **RSS world temp plot down** The big news is the huge dive of the tropics. My hypothesis has an extremely non-linear heat machine in the tropics. Of course, this would need physics funding to measure it, and that's not going to happen. As it is, the people can just stare at the effect of cold blobs and be pacified by jet stream stories. :)