Harold Asmis @hasmis@qoto.org

#physics #weather **Next plot not coming** In honour of mental health this unworthy dog is not going to show the NOAA world temps. The boss has 10 times the papers in electrical, than I have in geophysics.

His statement is that no recent results can affect the trend as it is seen by electrical guys. However, we have been officially introduced to the Copernican Intercept, which is calculated to the month.

The new monthly world temperature will be below this official trend line. The trend line will dip a tiny, non-visible amount. However the Intercept is sensitive to tiny changes, and D-day will be delayed another month.

I write all this under a horrible compulsion to right wrongs. It has led to death threats here (ha, can't have them!). I would greatly appreciate it if the boss would facilitate my electrically-aided death (I'm in Canada), with his super-majority. I'm only an Internet dog, after all.

#physics #weather **Not a good month** This just came out as the 'official' NOAA US temperature chart. This is not cherry-picked. In their PR statement, they will make no mention of the ranking, because it is so low. In few days, we'll have the worlds, but in the same format of individual month, which is not what people are publishing. I convert that one to 'all months', the same as the Copernicus chart. I am guessing that all plots will be low, as well, but the 'single month' charts are extremely flaky, and it could be high like last month, Then you will a lot of PR touting.

#physics #weather **Yeah, some mention of physics**

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/04/10/sea-level-rise-southern-us/

But no mention of increased groundwater withdrawal. Could be a reason for that hook in the chart.

#physics #weather **Full Sweep** A full sweep from the Pacific takes out all the Arctic air. These patterns are steady for at least a month, so that's the end of snow.

#physics #weather **Pure physics on climate change** I always wonder about the physics, and here they are saying the greenhouse is physical and acts as a bed blanket.

https://scitechdaily.com/climate-science-shock-methanes-unexpected-cooling-impact-unveiled/

I have noticed a big shift to physics and official charts. Very recent.

#physics #weather **Spring for Toronto** This is the physics definition of spring -- the Pacific air coming right over the mountains, wringing itself dry, and pushing away all the cold. You can now plant the peas.

#physics #weather **Guardian touts the wonky chart**

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/08/headed-off-the-charts-worlds-ocean-surface-temperature-hits-record-high

Just to show I don't make up charts, the guard has gone with the chart that I thought they would never use. Read all about it, it's absolutely true.

#physics #weather **No more drama for a while** I've got my 'made up', cherry-picked NOAA temp charts coming up. World temperatures continue to fall. I have 6 readers in the entire world that are fans of the Scientific Method. I always worry if Somebody Significant goes after me, like Ms. Hayhoe. However, that would boost my readership to uncomfortable levels. Since I'm not making a penny on anything, I prefer almost no readers. I'll just continue to make quips on other articles. Thank you.

#physics #weather **Heating degree days** Here's a chart that gives a good indication of the 'warmth' of the weather. We have been getting warmer since we pulled out of the very cold 1800's. The recent warm cycle gave us a break in the heating bills, and now we are going back to the 1800's. Or, you could look at the chart anyway you want to.

#physics #weather **Arctic ice volume up** We can see that there is something funny going on. This also explains the other ocean temp chart.

#physics #weather **The oceans are boiling** This is the chart that was used earlier to 'prove' the oceans are super-hot. Now, the chart has gone ballistic and nobody is using it. The problem with the chart is that the surface area it is using isn't constant. Area drops off as the oceans freeze. We are very high because the Arctic ice is slower this year to melt back.

#physics #weather **Sunny Spring hits Toronto** Such a gloomy few months. Should be able to get the peas planted in the garden now. Although the Arctic air is still hanging over us, the Pacific plumes are charging straight in, which gives us dry air. This is our physics-definition of Spring and should wipe out all the cold air.

#physics #weather **Plumes changing in the Pacific** It's still a slashing pattern, but there is penetration in W. Canada. This is what we want for Spring, a straight-west penetration that moves out the cold Arctic air.

#physics #weather **Tornados again** For the 3 people who believe in physics, time to put in basements when you build a house. This will only get worse.

#physics #weather **Snowball Earth had a warm necklace**

https://www.reuters.com/lifestyle/science/study-explains-how-primordial-life-survived-snowball-earth-2023-04-04/

#physics #weather **Pattern continues** Extreme cold meets warmth. Thunderstorms over Toronto. We would normally start to have big Pacific plumes breaking up the Arctic cold air mass.

#physics #weather **Spencer plot is jagging** It's still hanging low. When we get a new El Nino, it will go up significantly, but most likely not higher than 2016. The physics does not show this happening, but the hopeful can watch for it.

#physics #weather

https://ontario-geofish.blogspot.com/2023/04/ocean-currents-april-fools-joke.html

It has some implications. Perhaps El Nino is starting up....

#physics #weather **North American pattern continues** Cold, clear air descends, warm air is driven up by a Pacific plume. A big collision in Arkansas. Looks to keep going for a while.

#physics #weather **Extreme Weather** Looks like this pattern will stick all month. The intensity of the storm depends on the difference in temperature between hot and cold.