Harold Asmis @hasmis@qoto.org

#physics #weather Next plot not coming In honour of mental health this unworthy dog is not going to show the NOAA world temps. The boss has 10 times the papers in electrical, than I have in geophysics.

His statement is that no recent results can affect the trend as it is seen by electrical guys. However, we have been officially introduced to the Copernican Intercept, which is calculated to the month.

The new monthly world temperature will be below this official trend line. The trend line will dip a tiny, non-visible amount. However the Intercept is sensitive to tiny changes, and D-day will be delayed another month.

I write all this under a horrible compulsion to right wrongs. It has led to death threats here (ha, can’t have them!). I would greatly appreciate it if the boss would facilitate my electrically-aided death (I’m in Canada), with his super-majority. I’m only an Internet dog, after all.

@freemo This is the official PR report. I am surprised they mention ‘middle third’ which they haven’t done before. They don’t go with the trend, but you can, if you want to. They tend to just mention the newest results.

https://www.noaa.gov/news/freight-train-of-atmospheric-rivers-brought-record-rain-snow-in-march

@freemo NOAA won’t mention that. This is an official chart. No colour commentary.

#physics #weather Not a good month This just came out as the ‘official’ NOAA US temperature chart. This is not cherry-picked. In their PR statement, they will make no mention of the ranking, because it is so low. In few days, we’ll have the worlds, but in the same format of individual month, which is not what people are publishing. I convert that one to ‘all months’, the same as the Copernicus chart. I am guessing that all plots will be low, as well, but the ‘single month’ charts are extremely flaky, and it could be high like last month, Then you will a lot of PR touting.

#physics #weather Yeah, some mention of physics

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/04/10/sea-level-rise-southern-us/

But no mention of increased groundwater withdrawal. Could be a reason for that hook in the chart.

ps. Summer is defined as stagnant air, this is Spring.

#physics #weather Full Sweep A full sweep from the Pacific takes out all the Arctic air. These patterns are steady for at least a month, so that’s the end of snow.

Now, here’s a doomer story worth listening to.

Yeah, not using AI.

New doomer story This article was written by an AI. Let’s calculate the percentage success of doomer stories – zero! All doom, like covid, has come out of the blue.

@Gert That’s with every drought, and every rain storm, every hurricane, etc. More of an interesting headline (and I’ve read it) – “Drought nothing to do with climate change.”

@lupyuen It's hilarious about how he would even know. I'm assuming it kept working...

@jeber @rdaily You need a genuine dark-ages megaphone you can put on your head.

@pganssle Never make your life insurance too juicy. You only really need them to get over a hard year. A couple of million is enough. Make it 10 mill and you won’t live long…

Beautiful Spring with no house sales Nothing in the neighbourhood. Everybody expects the gov’t will pump again.

#weather Sea ice and snow cover This should all be shrinking rapidly now.

@pieist They live in a happy world, with no scam calls....

@giorgiosironi Too stupid, but assumed to be smart.

ps. the UK might have to wait a bit.

#weather #gardening Toronto Mini-drought After endless rain, we get warm, dry, sunny weather. I’m less of a grouch, and in the garden all day. I have my drip hose on all day now. We are planting the early crops of peas and potatoes.