Harold Asmis @hasmis@qoto.org

#physics #weather **Full Sweep** A full sweep from the Pacific takes out all the Arctic air. These patterns are steady for at least a month, so that's the end of snow.

#physics #weather **Pure physics on climate change** I always wonder about the physics, and here they are saying the greenhouse is physical and acts as a bed blanket.

https://scitechdaily.com/climate-science-shock-methanes-unexpected-cooling-impact-unveiled/

I have noticed a big shift to physics and official charts. Very recent.

#physics #weather **Spring for Toronto** This is the physics definition of spring -- the Pacific air coming right over the mountains, wringing itself dry, and pushing away all the cold. You can now plant the peas.

#physics #weather **Guardian touts the wonky chart**

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/08/headed-off-the-charts-worlds-ocean-surface-temperature-hits-record-high

Just to show I don't make up charts, the guard has gone with the chart that I thought they would never use. Read all about it, it's absolutely true.

#physics #weather **No more drama for a while** I've got my 'made up', cherry-picked NOAA temp charts coming up. World temperatures continue to fall. I have 6 readers in the entire world that are fans of the Scientific Method. I always worry if Somebody Significant goes after me, like Ms. Hayhoe. However, that would boost my readership to uncomfortable levels. Since I'm not making a penny on anything, I prefer almost no readers. I'll just continue to make quips on other articles. Thank you.

#physics #weather **Heating degree days** Here's a chart that gives a good indication of the 'warmth' of the weather. We have been getting warmer since we pulled out of the very cold 1800's. The recent warm cycle gave us a break in the heating bills, and now we are going back to the 1800's. Or, you could look at the chart anyway you want to.

#physics #weather **Arctic ice volume up** We can see that there is something funny going on. This also explains the other ocean temp chart.

#physics #weather **The oceans are boiling** This is the chart that was used earlier to 'prove' the oceans are super-hot. Now, the chart has gone ballistic and nobody is using it. The problem with the chart is that the surface area it is using isn't constant. Area drops off as the oceans freeze. We are very high because the Arctic ice is slower this year to melt back.

#physics #weather **Sunny Spring hits Toronto** Such a gloomy few months. Should be able to get the peas planted in the garden now. Although the Arctic air is still hanging over us, the Pacific plumes are charging straight in, which gives us dry air. This is our physics-definition of Spring and should wipe out all the cold air.

#physics #weather **Plumes changing in the Pacific** It's still a slashing pattern, but there is penetration in W. Canada. This is what we want for Spring, a straight-west penetration that moves out the cold Arctic air.

#physics #weather **Tornados again** For the 3 people who believe in physics, time to put in basements when you build a house. This will only get worse.

#physics #weather **Snowball Earth had a warm necklace**

https://www.reuters.com/lifestyle/science/study-explains-how-primordial-life-survived-snowball-earth-2023-04-04/

#physics #weather **Pattern continues** Extreme cold meets warmth. Thunderstorms over Toronto. We would normally start to have big Pacific plumes breaking up the Arctic cold air mass.

#physics #weather **Spencer plot is jagging** It's still hanging low. When we get a new El Nino, it will go up significantly, but most likely not higher than 2016. The physics does not show this happening, but the hopeful can watch for it.

#physics #weather

https://ontario-geofish.blogspot.com/2023/04/ocean-currents-april-fools-joke.html

It has some implications. Perhaps El Nino is starting up....

#physics #weather **North American pattern continues** Cold, clear air descends, warm air is driven up by a Pacific plume. A big collision in Arkansas. Looks to keep going for a while.

#physics #weather **Extreme Weather** Looks like this pattern will stick all month. The intensity of the storm depends on the difference in temperature between hot and cold.

#physics #weather **Muddled winds** Nothing is clear, the Arctic air is breaking up. I now include 'boiler plate' on the explanation.

#physics #weather **Scientific Method** OK, a major disagreement on the philosophy of the SM. It is my understanding that the SM requires a fixed hypothesis, that follows the current thinking and all laws of physics.
You cast that hypothesis, like plate tectonics, and you wait for further data. The hypothesis stands or falls. The late J. Tuzo Wilson was a consultant to us, and he regaled us with stories of his constantly failing hypotheses. He enjoyed the process of failure, and then he got things right.
I have cast the hypothesis that ocean currents and convection dominate the weather, and I am waiting for it to fail. Then I will do another one. No sweat. No money involved, No personal glory.
The hypothesis is measured by the official world temperatures as determined by satellite. This has been a constant method since 1980. The world temperatures on these charts is going down.
I throw down the glove and wait. Many political organizations cannot take a failure of their position, and there are trillions of dollars at stake. I have nothing at stake.
There are other positions that are not SM. That is the 'Discovery Method' of adjusting explanations as new things are discovered. I have found it is good entertainment, but not useful.

#physics #weather **Oscillating pattern for North America** Cold coming down, then pushed by by warmth, rinse, repeat.