🎓 Doc Freemo 🇳🇱 @freemo@qoto.org

@freemo @mike805 indeed. As it is unsurprising South Africa are leading the world in calling for justice. Israel is an apartheid state and with lack of rights and suppression it was inevitable that tinderbox would alight. Remember Mandela was once considered a terrorist. What Hamas did was deplorable but the response is beyond acceptable.

@freemo

Pick a random person from the social security registry, and it will be a better choice than any career politician.

@sergeant

Vendor support person: “you’ll see a slider in your account that enables us to access your data for the purposes of troubleshooting, please enable that and you can disable it when we are done.”

Me: “ok, done.”

Support: “great thank you, I am now able to look at your data so give me one second. I am looking now.”

Me: “Cool. By the way I actually didn’t do the slider because I guessed it probably didn’t do anything.”

@BernieDoesIt

I grew up in extreme poverty that continued into adulthood. I lived in the ghetto, on welfare in section 8 housing in a home with my grandparents, cousins, uncle, and mother all in the same small home.

Thank you for the QED though regarding your own bias.

@jkxyz @scottsantens

All this handwringing about teacher shortages is just so much hot air. You want more teachers?

▪️ Pay a decent living salary
▪️ Increase benefits
▪️ Cover / reimburse cost of teaching materials
▪️ Protect / increase school meal programs so teachers don't have to spend their own income on feeding their students
▪️ Institute programs to ameliorate job burnout

This isn't fucking rocket science, people.
#teachers #education

@radiojammor

Oh, so you are paying a universal basic income and providing shelter.

There you go lying about what I said again.. and i asked you to go away the last time.

Well look at you, you are actually a UBI advocate!

A soup kitchen is not a UBI, you are being blocked now for thinking it is.

@scottsantens

@freemo @JoeQuinlan @florida_ted It is both flaws in judgement and flaws in ethical standards.

If half of an airline's flights are full and half are empty, passengers will complain that the flights are full every time, contrasting with the assessment of the crew who report that half of the flights are empty. How do you call this effect/paradox? (I forgot)

The same effect explains that if you have an average number of friends (= popularity), more than half of your friends are more popular than you.

Or when your doctor tells you you're in average physical condition but each time you go cycling, most cyclists you come across are faster than you (because the fast cyclists are also the ones who spend the most time on the roads and are encountered disproportionately).

#stats #statistics #math #paradox

@mjambon Yea its a bit harder to understand because its a bit of applying it in the opposite way you normally think of it.

So regression to the mean is explained one way that i think is not particularly counter intuitive to how it is applies but let me start with the basics.

Formally, regression to the mean is all about how if you take lots of samples of things with all sorts of bizzare distributions, in the end they will eventually average out to a normal distribution (thus explaining why normal distributions tend to be the default and crop up everyone)...

In practice though the fallacy aspect arrises when you pay attention to addressing outliers, and on resampling they appear to have been "fixed", when in reality they only cropped up as outliers in the first place due to random chance and nothing as changed.

A very typical example given is if you look at a city and pick the top 5 intersections where accidents took place last year and put additional safety measures in place the next year you will notice that those intersections have reduced the number of accidents significantly. You assume this is due to your safety measures when in fact that would have happened regardless since they were only outliers by random chance and they simple "regressed to the mean"...

So how does that apply here. Well like i said its a bit of what i just said but kinda in reverse. You are assuming your sampling is average, when in fact you are samping outliers. So while the reality tends to regress towards the mean (went home after their normal average length bike ride) those that remain are the outliers but you dont recognize them as outliers. So its the same principle of regression to the mean just, the inverse of it.

Make sense now?

@Shamar @toiletpaper @scottsantens > Uhm… no: only van Gogh was an artist.

Sorry, yes I mispoke. I should have said “people” not artist. Otherwise my poiunt stands

Meucci was a inventor (invented the phone)

I am aware of who is. He had the marketable skill of being able to create a device that was more less a telephone, but lacked the complete set of marketable skills needed to market it. Namely, he was not particularly skillful in how to create or file patents and thus was unable to monetize his invention.

Which is again in strong support of my position, you need marketable skills, not just some random melange of skills that might create genius, but will prevent that genius from having utility since you lack the needed, and complete, skills to take it there.

and Olivetti was a visionary enterpreneur (his company invented the first programmabke desktop computer, then illegally copied by HP).

Olivette is in fact the strongest example in support of my point. He managed to start a company, it was quite successful during his lifetime (albeit it more so after too). In fact in his own words he praised the capitalist system, specifically the USA where he moved to be the pinnacle of modern economies.

The market was unable to understand the utility provided, because it simply does not work as in the classical economy models.

What are you talking about, the market cant “understand” utility, again thats not what utility is… The market can not exist in any state other than one in which utility is represented in the market, it is by definition.

Not to mention these are all examples of things where the market literally did demonstrate the utility. Van gogh had his paintings sold for millions. The fact that it was after his death only means they had utility to people later and not before… When he was alive his paintings brought people less joy, and thus had less utility,a nd people paid less for it. Later after his death people enjoyed his paintings more, meaning they had more utility then they had during his life, and as such their price reflected it.

Similarly with Meucci, his invention certainly had utility to people, but since he poorly documented the patent his invention it had less utility for people. A well documented good idea has more utility (by a large margin) then a less documented one.

And finally again Olivette literally had a very successful company and very much realized the utility of his work in his life.

There is an annoying feature of the market called information asymmetry that makes often impossible to understand (and thus pay for) what provide value. It’s a slightly advanced topic in microeconomics (that in fact, I studied at the University, in the course of Political Science, decades ago).

Again you seem to fail to understand the meaning of utility here. The utility of a thing is intimitatly related to the information attached to it. If your product is not well documented or have the info needed to show its value it objectively has less utility, the information you attach to a thing is a large part of how much utility that thing has. Things dont exist in a vacuum.

So there is no need to continue this convesation: keep thinking that I confirmed your opinion if it make you feel better than understanding what I actually wrote..

I mean, you can also just actually listen to what i said and try to understand it rather than disagreeing with concepts you clearly never bothered to understand before you decided if you agreed with it… that works too.

@toiletpaper @scottsantens