Harold Asmis @hasmis@qoto.org

#physics #weather **Physics of thermal windows #2** Since Europe is freezing, and the 20 below stuff is keeping away the 60 below stuff, we go on.
The overwhelming benefit of installing new windows is the sealing of air influx. This is noticed immediately with better humidity control. All else is gravy on the cake.
My 30 year old windows are fogging. Turns out that because of all the heat stress, the best glass sandwiches exchange air at 1% per year. All that 'argon fill' is useless. The new glass has 'selective reflection' which is good. But there is no difference between an air-vented sandwich, and a fancy sealed one.
The 'dirty trick' of the glass element is that it is packed with desiccant, the same as what your camera was packed with. That absorbs the water that sneaks in. After 30 years, this becomes a soggy mess and the windows fog, and all those minerals coat the inside glass. Blah!
-- tbc

#physics #weather **Somebody has responded** Yeah, I can go on for another day! I was thinking of stopping this stuff.

_Hi.I found your blog via Mastodon. And I find it fascinating. But of course, I don't learn any geophysic background. And I'm in Europe. Would you care to provide a little more explanation about why El Nino is not in the forecast? And why it won't change before 6 months? And why 20 years (this is a very loooong forecast, isn't?)
Thanks for sharing your expertise!

Blogger Harold Asmis said...
I have more background on the sidebar -- my geophysics pages. In a tiktok nutshell, we have had a big temperature cycles in the far and near past. There was a lot of ink spilled on why the current warm rise was not a cycle, but the physics hypothesis goes with the 'continuity hypothesis' of geology, and says it is just another cycle.
This is against the 'carbon thermal blanket hypothesis' which physics says is proven false. The hypothesis of cycles has the mechanism of ocean currents changing. They stay the same for a long time and then suddenly change, in a chaotic manner. However, when they are in the process of changing, you see little signs in the ocean currents. Right now, we have a very strong cold current feeding the Pacific Belt. Formerly, this has been a short rebound of El Nino, and the past ones can be seen in the old current maps.
El Nino is a reverse of the main westerly current on the Pacific belt. It has a huge effect on the current, and this is the primary force. For historic times, it was going off every 7 years or so, and then a rebound La Nina. But we are not in Kansas any more, and there have been major changes. I am looking for a sign of reversal. It has the mechanism of 'building up' heat around Indonesia. There is no sign of it, so I am going with previous cycles and say 20 years, at minimum. There is a chance we have gone to a major 'Little Ice Age' cycle and that is 300 years._

**That is way too long for the tiktok generation. They can stick to fantasy.**

#physics #weather **Simple momentum locks Pacific Cold Phase**

https://ontario-geofish.blogspot.com/2023/01/state-of-oceans-jan-17-2023.html

Not looking good for Australia, but they don't seem to be here, which is good for them.

**Davos not crazy enough for Musk** Old white males putting on their skis.
#1 I'm cutting down to only two megayachts.
#2 I'm only going to have 10 empty houses.
Musk: I'm firing everybody.
:)

#physics #weather **Europe a hunkahunka burning cold** The good news is that the 60 below stuff is being held off, but it still wants to come to the party.

#physics #weather **New Calicane has formed** I've lost track of everything, but a new storm has been born, and Calicane #2 has gathered strength and is moving down. The mimic shows that the main warm feed of #2 is being pushed down by cold.

#physics #weather **Two baby storms merging to one** This is all happening very fast - 'I was a twin in the womb, and ate the other one."

#physics **On the physics of thermal windows** Now that California and the UK must join us Canadians, we need to discuss new windows for the masses. Our old single-pane windows rattle in their frames, and leak like a sieve.
The greatest benefit you can have is by sealing your house. In winter, a leaky house has 20% humidity that kills you. An over-sealed house has 60% which causes the windows to rain, and produces black mold. You want a time in the winter with 40%, to kill all the little orgasmisms. (sic).
The glass sandwich has about a total effect of 5%, yet it is the big selling point. You want casement windows that seal like a fridge. You don't need triple pane unless you live by the train.
--tbc.

Whoops, the success of the hypothesis must be world-changing.

**Institute of Scientific Method** Reading all these studies of infinitely small improvements, I am dreaming that I will be in charge of the above funding institute with infinite money. We will only fund studies following the Scientific Method where the failure of a hypothesis lands you in a giant 'Three Stooges' pratfall, flat on your ass. If that happens we have a big party, lots of laughs, and double the funding. :)

#physics #weather **UK gets the full blast** This is what I was talking about when I said they would get what they had last time. That's the 'full stream' pouring over them. Very nice winter pictures. Of course, this is 'extreme weather' predicted by 'clange'. I hope all their 'warm weather dancing' is keeping them warm. :)

#physics #weather **Washpost turns on forecasters**
“You have no idea come Dec. 1 what your winter is going to look like because our seasonal forecasts are so bad,” said Jeffrey Mount, a senior fellow with the Public Policy Institute of California’s Water Policy Center, in an interview. “They are just not reliable enough to make definitive water supply decisions.”
This is funny. And, of course, the guard turns to climate change, and 'they saw it coming all the time'.

#physics #weather **California storms run aground - two new storms form** Last night, I was haunted by the image of 3 perfect storms. Now, they have mucked up a bit.

Ha! It was a spike.

**The Anti-Influencer** Even though my blog hits are a random spike, my brain went on a flight of fancy while walking the dog. Every influencer is a whirlwind of energy. How could I have an influence for the Scientific Method, while getting lots of money and not doing any work? I came to the conclusion -- No chance! So, the people are fed the pablum by hard-working influencers that ooze charisma. Those rains will stop for California and Australia, and I' walk my dog. :) ps. Here in Canada, the calicanes will cause an 1830 'Endless Snow'. Fun.

**Into the big time** Yeah, the people of California are tired of being fed pablum. Or, it's just a ton of link spam. :) But my blog has gone from my usual dozen to a lot. Drat that every time before, it's garbage. :( Anyway, my brain hurts from thinking about all that, so good-bye for now.

#physics **3d printing with AI**
https://www.yankodesign.com/2023/01/14/dont-buy-a-3d-printer-do-this-instead/

In a couple of years, the Good Dr. will be able to buy a 3d AI bobble-head of himself as a wizard. Right now, both AI art, and 3d printing are 'meh'. But, what great things can be done with it combined?

#earthquake #physics **Water-activated earthquakes** The earthquakes in Texas, and formerly Oklahoma were acknowledged, even by the powers, to be activated by water injection. If all those lined-up storms dump on California, the hypothesis is that there will be a noticeable increase in earthquakes. The odds of a big one remain the same as always. (just said to cover my sensitive parts). :)

#physics #weather **North America can now do the warmie dance** We are getting the residual of all the California storm action. There is a lot of fantasy on the headlines and I have no idea what chart it comes from.