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Hi everyone, as you know I broke my leg and am not the type of person who asks for prayers. So if you can please sacrificial a goat for me in the name of Beelzebub I'd really appreciate it, thanks. I can use all the goat sacrifices I can get.

tripu boosted

Mildly #NSFW 

You know how distort our perception of reality and our expectations, and make us feel frustrated and miserable, because many individual users, most algorithms, and everyone who's trying to sell something routinely script, set up, pick, filter, retouch and tweak what they share so that their lives seem amazing…?

Well, something like this might be the epitome of that — at least for guys.

bibliogram.pussthecat.org/p/CW

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"We value your privacy" = newspeak for "We live on your data"

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@zpartacoos

> _“Perhaps if it seems so ‘reasonable’ it is?”_

Yes… that's how it should be. But it's not that easy, is it? Thus my “seemingly reasonable”.

It takes time to examine complex arguments, and there are lots and lots of very talented charlatans, deranged PhD's, conspiracy theorists with mountains of creativity and resources at their disposal — and more than anything else, just decent, rational people with biases or mistakes in their reasoning who happen to be inadvertently defending wrong views.

One can find thick books, documentaries, and long blog posts with lots of seemingly robust references promoting any conceivable position on any conceivable topic. A lot of that seems reasonable.

😟

> _“How are you gauging whether your belief about being a dangerous epidemic […] is based on available data or some other motive/bias?”_

I think I'm relying mostly on _authority_ (eg: MD's and biologists over anonymous Reddit users and my cousin; research institutions and international bodies over internet fora and TV pundits) and on _majorities_ (eg: I give more weight to what the majority of experts say than to the fringe doctor associations and isolated denunciators).

What are your tools or recipes to navigate this epistemic storm?

> _“A simple approach is to track your weekly/monthly level of conviction about various covid-related hypothesis as you read more + gather data and see how your convictions change overtime. Chances are that if they rarely change you're just choosing to belief a skewed biased narrative.”_

I'm not sure about that. Is a changing narrative a sign of accuracy or enlightenment? eg, my trust in the overall safety of air travel has not changed significantly over the last two or three decades. Is that because I'm captive to a skewed/biased view, or is it that what I thought about the subject thirty years ago was basically right?

/cc @Pat

@Pat

> _“Certainty kills more than uncertainty. If you’re unsure, you err on the side of caution.”_

I'm not sure it works that way. Lots of counterexamples.

Before [Ignaz Semmelweis](en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignaz_Se), caution might well make doctors avoid the novel and highly dubious practice of hand-washing. The uncertainty and risks associated with sudden political changes could make a cautious individual oppose (or at least retire support for) the French Revolution or the American War of Independence. If the most cautious of pundits had had it their way, we would still not have “horseless carriages” or flying vehicles (those do kill many people, but they also take people to hospitals, evacuate refugees, airlift medicines and food, and simply make prosperous, modern life possible).

It's easy to see where “caution” lies with the benefit of hindsight; not so much when things are still being debated.

I hate it when I stumble upon yet another seemingly reasonable and well-argued article downplaying (I think it's a dangerous epidemic), sceptical of covid (I got my two shots), or debunking (I am long on ).

This epistemic uncertainty is killing me.

@trinsec

Definitely hot in summer. And all the asphalt doesn't help.

Then, I guess what you're comparing it to, of course. Having lived in London and Tokyo, and visited places like NYC, does not strike me as particularly high-rise. And although it has its fair share of ugly buildings, it's not brutalist nor particularly degraded or anything like that.

As in most other European cities, there are beautiful picturesque old neighbourhoods suffused in History and art.

Perhaps you spent too much time in the outskirts or in commuter towns? I also find that the weather has a huge impact in how I perceive the places I visit.

I like Madrid. I have seen cities that seem much more liveable to me (the no. 1 in that ranking is very odd) — but Madrid has a farily balanced combination of financial/job opportunities, culture, services, atmosphere, and tolerance, IMHO.

---

Drop a DM before visiting next time, and perhaps I can show you around :) (/cc @lucifargundam).

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